India Revises Its Carbon Credit Trading Scheme for Voluntary Players

India made a bold move in 2024 by revamping its Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS), allowing non-obligated entities to participate in the tradable carbon credits market. That means companies and individuals can voluntarily use carbon credits to address their planet-warming emissions. 

This significant revision introduces an offset mechanism, enabling these entities to register projects and obtain tradable carbon credit certificates (CCCs). Each credit represents one tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent (tCO2e). The aim is to efficiently price emissions through CCC trading and expand the voluntary carbon market.

India Opens Doors for Voluntary Carbon Credit Buyers 

In 2023, India introduced the 2023 Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS), encompassing both compliance and voluntary sectors. However, while the compliance segment is scheduled to commence in 2025-26, there is no set timeline for the launch of the voluntary carbon market. 

Under India’s revised carbon market scheme, obligated entities have the flexibility to purchase additional credits or sell surplus ones. Meanwhile, businesses can trade CCCs to offset their emissions. 

RELATED: Indian State Inks Three Deals Worth $266M in Carbon Credits

However, sectors facing challenges in meeting reduction targets, particularly those with hard-to-abate emissions, are exploring the possibility of trading energy-saving certificates (ESCerts) and renewable energy certificates (RECs) as offsets.

India emerged as a favorable destination for energy transition investments after successfully hosting the G20 Summit last year. During the same year, the country added about 17 GW of capacity, with non-fossil additions accounting for 13.8 GW. 

As seen below, renewable energy has the largest growth in terms of electricity supply capacity in the South Asian country. 

Chart from Reuters

Moreover, India increased its financial support to propel the green hydrogen ecosystem and initiated preparations for its domestic carbon markets.

Key decisions regarding international participation in the carbon credit market are expected in 2024, setting the trajectory for India’s engagement. Additionally, discussions on the scope, design, and procedures of the scheme, including linkages with international standards and registries, are anticipated to be addressed.

India’s Energy Transition Priorities to Drive Climate Action

India’s move reflects its commitment to combating climate change and aligning with global efforts towards decarbonization. This year, the super-emitter is anticipated to intensify its efforts in implementing its energy transition strategy while navigating challenges related to energy security and affordability. 

India’s strategy will prioritize various aspects in power and renewables market, including:

Clean energy transition advancing; coal reliance to remain high:

Electricity demand to grow with GDP growth, driven by local activity due to elections and El-nino impact.
Total capacity addition to grow by 60% YoY; coal share in generation to decrease marginally to 73.2% in 2024.

Improving domestic fuel supply (Coal and Gas) remains top priority:

India expected to surpass 1 billion metric tons of domestic coal production in 2024.
Boost in domestic gas production due to new gas pricing reforms.

Focus on green hydrogen/ammonia:

Shift towards creating local demand and supporting excess costs.
Launch of new schemes to aggregate demand from public sector units and large consumers.

Renewables at the forefront of India’s climate policy:

Highest renewable capacity addition (>20 GW) expected in 2024.
Falling module costs and tender backlog driving record capacity addition.
Increasing prominence of hybrid renewable tenders and stand-alone storage tenders.

Chart from Reuters

Bridging the Gap: Integrity Measures and Global Carbon Markets

The strategy also underscores the importance of integrity measures in bridging the emissions reduction gap and achieving climate goals.

In a recent report by the Carbon Market Institute, global carbon pricing mechanisms have raised an impressive $100 billion in 2022 and now covered 23% of global greenhouse gas emissions. 

Despite these achievements, current government pledges are projected to result in a temperature rise between 2.1°C and 2.8°C. Carbon markets hold considerable potential to bridge the emissions reduction gap necessary to approach a 1.5°C trajectory. 

However, there is still work to be done to bolster integrity measures and accelerate international cooperation in this regard.

In 2023, the global carbon trading markets experienced robust growth, reaching a record value of over $947 billion, representing a 2% increase from the previous year. This growth was primarily driven by higher prices in key markets such as Europe and North America, despite similar permit trading volumes.

The EU’s Emissions Trading System (ETS) maintained its position as the most valuable market, accounting for 87% of the global total. However, weakening demand from industrial buyers and the power sector towards the end of 2023 led to a bearish trend that has persisted into 2024. 

RELATED: Carbon Prices and Voluntary Carbon Markets Faced Major Declines in 2023, What’s Next for 2024?

Conversely, North American prices reached record highs, and China’s national ETS also saw unprecedented price levels in 2023.

India’s revised Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) presents a significant step forward in the global effort towards decarbonization. This, combined with the strong growth observed in the global carbon trading market, underscores a promising trajectory towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions. 

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Lululemon and Samsara Eco Reveal World’s First Recycled Textile Using Enzymes

Australian environmental technology startup Samsara Eco, in collaboration with athletic apparel giant Lululemon, has unveiled the world’s first enzymatically recycled nylon 6,6 product. Their initiative represents a significant milestone, advancing the fashion industry closer to establishing a circular, sustainable ecosystem.

Launched in 2020, Samsara Eco specializes in infinite recycling to end plastic pollution. They believe that the planet can’t solve the climate crisis without solving the plastics crisis. The company’s patented process that breaks plastic down to its core molecules is carbon-neutral and can re-create brand-new plastic infinitely. 

A Step Towards Sustainable Fashion

The fashion industry currently contributes about 10% of annual global carbon emissions, poised to increase by 50% by 2030. Additionally, the industry heavily relies on plastic-derived textiles sourced from petroleum, equivalent to 342 million barrels of petroleum.

Alarmingly, the industry produces 2 million tonnes of textile waste every year, while around 10% of microplastics found in the ocean come from this waste.

However, a small portion of these materials undergo recycling. According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, merely 15% of plastic-derived textiles are recycled.

Nylon 6,6 is one of the most widely used plastics in the textile sector, with nearly 4 million tonnes of it manufactured annually. The material serves as a fundamental fiber in many of Lululemon’s top-selling products, particularly its popular Swiftly Tech long-sleeve top. 

Using the recycled nylon 6,6 produced through Samsara Eco’s recycling technology, the clothing giant has developed samples of the said top, marking the world’s first instance of this nylon recycled in such a manner. 

Due to its robust, heavy-duty properties, nylon 6,6 has traditionally posed challenges for recycling. Yet, it has found applications across various industries, including fashion, automotive, and electronics.

But with Samsara Eco’s pioneering technology (patent pending), nylon 6,6 can now be recovered and extracted from end-of-life textiles. This offers the potential to create a fully circular ecosystem for the apparel industry. 

Enzymatic Recycling: Revolutionizing the Textile Industry

Currently, fashion companies like Lululemon have two primary methods for recycling textiles: mechanical and chemical processes involving solvents. However, both approaches pose challenges. Mechanical recycling limits the number of times recovered plastics can be recycled, while chemical methods often consume excessive energy.

Samsara Eco, which secured a $56 million Series A in 2022, addresses both of those concerns through its innovative enzymatic infinite textile recycling. The Australian startup’s manufacturing process operates swiftly and at low temperatures, producing a more sustainable recycled and new product. 

Paul Riley, the company’s CEO and Founder, highlighted their commitment to keeping a low carbon footprint during their recycling process. Riley also noted that their enzymatic recycling process reduces emissions and can save millions of tonnes of carbon compared to producing virgin nylon 6,6. He further said that:

“We’ve started with nylon 6,6, but this sets the trajectory of what’s possible for recycling across a range of industries as we continue expanding our library of plastic-eating enzymes. This is one giant leap for the future of sustainable fashion and circularity.” 

The company employs enzymes capable of targeting complex plastics, known as polymers, and converting them back to their original chemical composition, referred to as monomers. This unique capability is what renders the startup’s recycling technology infinite.

Here’s how the recycling process looks like and its major benefits:  

Over 90% of the nylon used in each of the Lululemon Swiftly top samples is from Samsara’s enzymatic recycling process.

In June 2023, Samsara Eco unveiled its partnership with Lululemon as its inaugural textile collaborator. The Swiftly recycled nylon marks the subsequent phase of their collaboration, fostering lower-impact alternative textiles within the apparel industry.

READ MORE: Lululemon to Recycle Textiles Infinitely with Plastic-Eating Enzymes

Collaboration and Innovation in Sustainability

For decades, scientists have dedicated extensive research efforts to discovering the most cost-effective methods for breaking down plastics, with a particular focus on polyethylene terephthalate (PET). Through collaborative initiatives and the integration of artificial intelligence (AI), practical applications of plastic-eating enzymes have been accelerated.

Other startups are also innovating in the field to help address the plastic crisis. For instance, Circ has pioneered a distinctive hydrothermal processing technology tailored for recycling blended textiles, such as polyester-cotton blends. The Circ system utilizes hot water, pressure, and chemical solvents to recycle both materials.

RELATED: Revolutionizing Textile Recycling with HTC

These innovative ventures may qualify for plastic credits or carbon credits. Each plastic credit represents the diversion or recycling of one ton of plastic waste that would otherwise have been left uncollected or unrecycled.

By incorporating plastic credits alongside carbon credits, companies can effectively address their sustainability objectives. Many organizations view reducing plastic waste as an integral component of their broader commitments to achieving net-zero emissions.

The partnership between Lululemon and Samsara Eco goes beyond mere material innovation. They embody the exciting potential and influence that can be realized through collaboration and inter-industry partnerships. This breakthrough not only heralds a pivotal moment for sustainable innovation in apparel but also for all sectors aiming to transition towards more circular models. 

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Kyoto Network and TXP Launch Pioneering Carbon Credit Rewards Program

TrustXPay (TXP) and Kyoto Network have joined forces to introduce an innovative carbon credit rewards program, marking a significant milestone in sustainable finance. TXP users can now earn verified carbon credits from Kyoto Network, converting cashback into discounted carbon credits. 

Each carbon credit corresponds to one metric ton of carbon dioxide reduced or removed from the atmosphere.

TXP is a soon-to-be-launched digital finance platform for carbon trading. Kyoto Network is a global leader specializing in environmental management and sustainability (EMS) solutions.

Empowering Users to Offset Carbon Footprint

The carbon credit rewards initiative allows users to contribute to carbon offsetting efforts while benefiting from the platform. Shahid Munir, TXP’s Founder, emphasizes the partnership’s commitment to environmental responsibility and driving positive change. He particularly noted that:

“Collaborating with the Kyoto Network is not just about offering a rewards program; it’s about making a meaningful impact on our environment and society, and we are committed to driving positive change.”

The TXP carbon trading platform enables businesses to purchase verified carbon credits seamlessly, incentivizing environmentally conscious practices. Similar to airline miles programs, TXP customers can benefit from selling earned carbon credits.

This collaboration represents a bold step towards integrating sustainability into everyday financial transactions, empowering users to make a meaningful impact on the environment.

Sheraz Malik, Founder & CEO of the Kyoto Network, expressed enthusiasm for the partnership. He specifically emphasized their commitment to helping TXP customers offset their carbon footprint. 

By sourcing high-quality carbon credits globally, verified by leading carbon registries, the Kyoto Network aims to accelerate the planet’s climate goals. 

Kyoto Network leads in ESG solutions, offering expertise in EMS, sustainability reporting, and market advisory services. They tailored solutions to aid organizations in meeting regulatory requirements, achieving sustainability objectives, and creating long-term value. They have tools such as the KyoGreen carbon calculator that empowers individuals to calculate and offset their carbon footprint with ease.

KyoGreen platform snapshot

The platform empowers both individuals and enterprises to effortlessly assess their carbon footprint, invest in carbon offsets, and nurture a harmonious bond with the environment. Through its advanced features and user-friendly interface, KyoGreen provides users with the tools to enact meaningful change and participate in initiatives that support environmental preservation.

Transforming Loyalty Rewards into Environmental Impact

The collaboration between TXP and the Kyoto Network pioneers offering carbon credits through a loyalty rewards program. Generally, loyalty rewards programs aim to foster a sense of connection and value between the company and its customers. The program encourages repeat business and rewards customer loyalty over time. 

As such, the partnership sets a precedent for future sustainability solutions through Fintech, financial technologies, particularly in carbon markets. These markets are fragmented and complex and their real-world climate benefits are challenging to verify.

Fintech can help simplify the carbon market by offering actionable data and enhancing transparency.

Amro Zakaria, Director of Middle East & Africa for the Kyoto Network, sees the partnership as a milestone in addressing financial inclusion and climate change. By integrating KyoGreen into TXP’s reward system, they demonstrate a commitment to innovation and responsible banking practices. This initiative not only transforms financial transactions but also leads the way towards a more sustainable market.

The collaboration comes at the heels of a recent report that carbon credits could be the next billion-dollar insurance market. It estimates that insurance premiums from these credits may hit over $1 billion by 2030 and $30 billion by 2050. 

READ MORE: Carbon Credit Insurance Market to Hit $1B in 2030, $30B by 2050

Providing financial assurance to carbon credit transactions is critical to boost buyers and investors’ confidence in the market. Tie this up to Fintech solutions and the market would be getting the help it needs from the financial sector to further scale and soar.  

In an era where environmental sustainability is crucial, Fintech plays a vital role in driving tangible impact. 

The partnership between TXP and Kyoto Network represents a significant leap forward in the intersection of finance and sustainability. By offering carbon credits through a loyalty rewards program, they not only incentivize environmentally conscious behavior but also pave the way for future innovations in Fintech-driven sustainable solutions.

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US Power Sector Sees Largest CO2 Emission Drop Since 2020

The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has released a report highlighting a significant milestone: a 7% decrease in carbon dioxide emissions from the country’s power sector in 2023, marking the most substantial annual drop since 2020. This achievement reflects shifts in fossil fuel-based electricity generation and underscores ongoing efforts to mitigate climate impact.

The agency’s data showed that all four quarters of 2023 saw significant reductions in measured pollutants compared to 2022. The decline in emissions is mainly due to shifts in the mix of fossil fuel-based electricity generation.   

Key Driver of Emission Reductions

Power plants, including coal, natural gas, and oil facilities, significantly contribute to CO2 emissions, demanding urgent action for environmental preservation. The United States, a major emitter, has been implementing various measures to address these planet-warming emissions to mitigate climate impact. 

The EPA publishes quarterly and annual updates on power plant emissions data, including sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon dioxide (CO2), and mercury (Hg). The following is the breakdown of the change in annual emissions, 2023 versus 2022, per pollutant:  

15% decrease for NOX
24% decrease for SO2
17% decrease for Hg
7% decrease for CO2

In the long-term, between 1990 and 2023, power plant emissions also saw significant reductions: SO2 emissions dropped by 96%, NOx emissions by 90%. In 2023, Cross-State Air Pollution Rule and Acid Rain Program sources emitted 0.65 million tons of SO2, down by 11.2 million tons from 1995. 

Similarly, NOx emissions were reduced by 5.2 million tons. Additionally, power plants cut CO2 emissions by 28% from 1995 to 2023 while complying with emission reduction programs.

Natural Gas Role and Future Regulations

Coal generation dropped by 18%, leading to notable emission reductions compared to the previous year. Meanwhile, power production from natural gas plants increased by 8%. 

Despite the rise in natural gas plant output, carbon pollution from these facilities rose by 6.4% in 2023. The agency discovered that the country’s 2,000+ natural gas-powered plants emitted 697 million metric tons of CO2 last year, up from 655 million metric tons in the previous year. 

However, because natural gas-fired plants emit less CO2 than coal-fired ones, they have contributed to an overall reduction in US greenhouse gas emissions. 

Nevertheless, efforts to expand natural gas-fired fleets have faced opposition in some communities concerned about environmental impact. Currently, natural gas-fired power plants account for about 35% of the sector’s emissions, per the US Energy Information Administration report.

The Edison Electric Institute (EEI), a trade group representing US investor-owned utilities, has consistently advocated for the importance of natural gas-fired power plants in facilitating the integration of renewables into the electric grid. They emphasized the evolving US energy mix, noting that 40% of electricity now comes from clean, carbon-free resources. 

In May 2023, the Biden administration proposed new rules aimed at reducing climate-warming emissions from large gas-fired power plants. 

These rules would mandate that such plants co-fire with 96% clean hydrogen by 2038. Additionally, the proposed regulations would require nearly all coal-fired plants lacking carbon capture and sequestration technology to cease operations by 2035.

READ MORE: EPA to Regulate Gas-Fired Power Plants with Carbon Capture

EPA’s Call for Continued Action

The EPA further reported that overall fossil fuel generation decreased by 2% in 2023 compared to 2022. Total CO2 emissions from the power sector decreased from about 1.5 billion metric tons in 2022 to 1.4 billion metric tons in 2023.

Furthermore, the retirement of coal-fired power plants in 2023 led to significant reductions in other pollutants detrimental to public health. Joseph Goffman, Assistant Administrator for EPA’s Office of Air and Radiation acknowledged the progress made but emphasized the need for further advancements. He particularly noted that:

“This snapshot of progress over the past year shows we are moving in the right direction, but more progress is needed… President Biden is committed to building a clean energy future, and EPA will continue to work with state, Tribal and local leaders, in addition to major players in the power sector, to build on our progress and protect public health.”

The substantial decrease in CO2 emissions from the US power sector in 2023 is a positive development. But it also signals the need for continued action and innovation.

The shift away from coal and towards natural gas generation presents both opportunities and challenges, particularly in balancing energy needs with environmental concerns. With ongoing regulatory proposals and advocacy for clean energy solutions, stakeholders must collaborate to further reduce emissions and safeguard public health and the environment.

RELEVANT: Transforming the American Clean Energy Landscape Under Biden’s Era

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New Monthly EV Sales Record to Kickstart 2024

There’s been a lot of doom-and-gloom forecasting in the electric vehicle (EV) markets.

High inflation, combined with a tough market for new vehicles and the still-unresolved issue of charging network coverage have all been cited as leading reasons as to why buyers are hitting the brakes on new EV purchases.

Major automakers like Ford and Audi announced late last year that EV sales weren’t meeting expectations. And they would be cutting production targets by as much as 50% for 2024.

And while it’s true that growth has been slowing down in the EV markets, it’s important to keep the frame of reference in mind: EV sales more than doubled in 2021, growing by nearly 120%. That kind of growth is simply unsustainable no matter how hot or important a market is.

In 2022, EV sales grew by almost 60%. While this pace certainly slowed in 2023, last year still saw an astounding 35% increase in global electric car sales – growth strong enough to make Warren Buffett blush.

RELATED: Mercedes-Benz Q2 EV Sales Up 123%, Aims to Bring New Fleet to Net Zero by 2039

Simply put, this supposed slowdown in the EV markets has less to do with actual demand, and more to do with expectations having been set too high from previous years.

Pedal to the Metal for January EV Sales

This growth trend has been sustained well into the beginning of this year.

This January, over 1.1 million EVs were sold worldwide versus 660,000 sold in the same period last year, a new monthly global sales record.

That’s 69% year-over-year growth – significantly higher than the average for last year.

Here’s a breakdown of what growth looked like in each region:

As you can see, EV growth is still being predominantly led by China, which almost doubled its sales from the year previous. In 2023, China represented nearly 60% of all global electric vehicle sales. 

Thanks to a strong history of government subsidies and other financial incentives for their EV industry, EVs in China enjoy the highest market penetration rate of anywhere in the world.

By the end of last year, EVs accounted for an estimated one-sixth of the entire Chinese vehicle market.

On top of this, with a healthy marketplace filled with domestic manufacturers, the plethora of available options for EV buyers means that no single model of electric vehicle has a market share greater than 10%.

Compare that to the U.S., where Tesla’s Model Y accounted for just over one-third of all EVs sold last year, and the Model 3 another 20%.

Speaking of the U.S: in 2023, EV sales in the States grew by over 50%, and the domestic market saw 41% YoY growth in January.

This figure is slightly down from 2022’s EV sales growth rate of 65%. But it shows that even if growth is slowing down from the previous breakneck pace, it’s still very robust.

The Outlook for 2024 is Green

Global sales growth for EVs this year is forecast to end up roughly between the 25-30% mark. According to research firm Bloomberg NEF, EV sales in North America are projected to grow by 32%.

As for the other pain point of growing the domestic EV market, the charging network, growth is also looking solid.

Last month, the Biden Administration announced that funding had been secured for $623 million in grants to build more public chargers around urban and rural communities alike, as well as major travel corridors. This program is part of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, which has a total of $7.5 billion budgeted towards building out the nation’s network of EV chargers.

READ MORE: Charging Ahead: USA’s $623 Million Boost for EV Infrastructure

Since President Biden took office, the U.S. public charging network has grown by 75% to nearly 170,000 total public chargers. Additionally, the White House has committed to increasing that number to at least 500,000 chargers by 2030.

With nearly every aspect of the EV markets firing on all cylinders, 2024 should be another banner year for growth – even if it won’t be quite as high as it was back during 2021-2023.

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Lithium Producers Adapt to Price Plummet, Cut Costs and Delay Investments

Lithium producers are facing challenges due to the low prices of lithium, prompting them to take measures to cut costs and protect profits. The drop in lithium prices has been significant, driven by increased supply and a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) sales. 

Source: Trading Economics

In response to these market conditions, lithium producers are reducing production, scaling back expansion plans, and focusing on cost-saving initiatives. The world’s biggest provider of lithium for EV batteries, Albemarle, announced additional cost-saving measures, reducing capex by delaying planned lithium investments. 

Albemarle’s Cost-Cutting Measures 

Albemarle outlined plans to cut capital expenditures for 2024 by $300 million to $500 million compared to 2023. 

Moreover, the company aims to slash costs by about $100 million, with over $50 million targeted for the current year. They’ll be implementing measures such as reducing headcount and decreasing spending on contracted services.

The leading lithium producer’s Q4 2023 financial report showed a significant decline in adjusted EBITDA. It has a net loss of $315 million, representing a 125.3% decrease year-over-year. Net sales totalled $2.36 billion, down 10.1% compared to the previous year.

Looking ahead to 2024, Albemarle has identified strategic investments and projects for slow down in response to current market dynamics. 

Albemarle’s Chairman and CEO Jerry Masters noted that new greenfield projects, particularly in the West, are not economically feasible at current lithium prices. 

Construction and engineering work at the Richburg, SC, MegaFlex conversion facility has been halted until prices improve. But permitting activities will continue at the company’s Kings Mountain site in North Carolina.

READ MORE: Albemarle Shifts Focus in Lithium Strategy Amid Market Softening

In terms of future initiatives, Albemarle will prioritize large, high-return projects that are nearing completion or in startup stages. Meanwhile, they’ll be limiting mergers and acquisitions activity.

Projects that will continue development include the commissioning of the Maison lithium conversion facility and the expansion of the Kemerton lithium conversion facility in Western Australia.

The Rise and Fall of Lithium: From EV Boom to Market Downturn

During 2020 and 2021, the electric vehicle (EV) market experienced significant growth, leading to a surge in demand for lithium, a key component in EV batteries. EV sales saw remarkable increases, with a 45.9% jump in 2020 and a further 100% increase in 2021. This led to a total of EVs sold at 9.78 million units. 

This surge in demand created a deficit in lithium supplies in 2021, quickly turning into a surplus of 40,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent by 2022. Despite the surplus, market expectations continued to drive lithium prices upwards.

However, the boom in the lithium market was short-lived as the global economy weakened and EV sales slowed down, particularly in Mainland China, due to the repeal of EV subsidies. This led to a significant downturn in the lithium market in 2023. 

As more lithium production capacity comes online, the surplus of lithium is expected to widen further, reaching 100,000 Mt of LCE in 2024.

Australia remains the largest producer of lithium, followed by Chile and China. The U.S. lagged far behind, at the 8th spot after Canada.

Production of lithium is forecasted to increase by 35.7% in 2024 compared to the previous year. Analysts anticipate that lithium prices will stabilize and reach a cyclical bottom in 2024 as inventory build ups are relieved.

The current market conditions are particularly challenging for lower-grade spodumene concentrate and lepidolite producers. These producers are feeling the brunt of the downturn, as they are more susceptible to price changes and are typically the first to reduce output when prices drop too low. 

For instance, Pilbara Minerals, an Australian spodumene producer, announced that it’s unlikely to pay an interim dividend for the first half of fiscal year 2024 to preserve its balance sheet. 

Similarly, some spodumene producers have been considering changes to pricing settlement terms to prevent buyers from relying on inventories. For example, IGO Ltd. modified the offtake pricing model for spodumene from the Greenbushes deposit, the world’s largest lithium spodumene deposit. The company also announced a reduction in production for the second half of 2024. 

Core Lithium Ltd., another Australian producer, halted mining operations at the Grants open pit to slow output and alleviate oversupply. Analysts anticipate that Australian lithium miners will continue to curtail supply in the near term due to uncertain prices. 

What Lithium Producers and Investors Can Expect

As some lithium miners reduce production, investors in lithium projects are grappling with whether to proceed or postpone project development. Analysts anticipate that projects may face delays, with a particular impact on unfunded greenfield projects. They also foresee more higher-cost and pure-play lithium producers exiting the market or postponing their projects due to the current challenging conditions. 

RELATED: Top Lithium Stocks Making Waves in 2024

With lithium projects facing financial challenges, analysts also expect an increase in merger and acquisition (M&A) activity. Major producers with positive cash flow may seek deals in the market, while junior companies may attempt to sell projects, especially given the scarcity of private capital compared to previous years. But this isn’t the case with Li-FT Power (LIFT; LIFFF), the fastest developing North American lithium junior. 

Li-FT Power‘s strategy centers on consolidating and advancing hard rock lithium pegmatite projects in Canada, focusing on established lithium districts. The company is well-financed to advance its projects, underscoring its dedication to exploring and developing top-tier lithium assets in Canada.

The tumultuous journey of lithium producers reflects the cyclical nature of commodity markets, where booms are often followed by busts. As Albemarle and other key players in the industry adapt to the challenges posed by plummeting lithium prices, their resilience and strategic responses will shape the future landscape of the lithium market.

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World’s Largest EV Battery Maker, CATL, Enters Carbon Credit Market

The carbon asset management market sees the entry of a significant player, Chinese battery technology giant CATL’s (Contemporary Amperex Technology) subsidiary, Contemporary Green Energy (CGE).

CGE specializes in investments, construction, and operations within the new energy sector, particularly in wind and solar energy. It particularly focuses on storage and trading of green power. Additionally, the company provides decarbonization services, including consulting and other carbon reduction solutions to businesses.

Bolstering CATL’s Carbon Reduction Matrix

The creation of a carbon asset management company appears to complement and strengthen CATL‘s existing carbon reduction tool matrix.

The term “carbon assets” refers to new assets generated by China’s national emissions trading scheme. These include various carbon emission quotas, also known as carbon credits, issued by the government and eligible carbon reduction projects, as defined by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) industry standards.

The growing interest in carbon asset management is evident in the increasing number of players entering the market. Data shows over 4,800 carbon asset management-related companies in China, with more than 1,100 established in 2023 alone.

Industry experts believe that companies with significant carbon emissions and those engaged in the development or procurement of carbon assets handle substantial capital. Thus, the standardization, systematization, and optimization of carbon asset management become essential.

CATL reported Scope 1 and Scope 2 carbon emissions of 3.24 million tons in 2022, according to its environmental, social, and governance (ESG) report.

To meet Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) requirements, CATL aims to reduce its carbon emissions by at least 90%. The leading lithium battery company will offset the remaining 10% by purchasing carbon credits to achieve operational carbon neutrality. 

CATL announced plans last year to achieve carbon neutrality in its core operations by 2025 and across the value chain by 2035. This suggests significant challenges ahead in meeting carbon reduction targets over the next few years. The battery maker identified what it called 5 key links in its value chain where emissions will be cut:

Mining
Bulk raw materials
Battery materials
Cell manufacturing
Battery systems

Given CATL’s scale, the annual expense on carbon credits for this purpose is expected to be substantial.

CATL’s EV Battery Dominance Amidst Challenges

The global leader in lithium battery production said that 2023 profit reaches $6.3 billion on strong battery sales. 

CATL continues to maintain a significant lead in battery manufacturing both globally and within China, the largest electric vehicle (EV) market in the world. 

As of November 2023, CATL’s share of the global EV battery market increased to 37.4%, up from 36.9% in October, according to data from SNE Research Inc. BYD Co. held the second position with a market share of 15.7%, taking over LG’s 2nd place in 2022.

Despite its leading position, CATL faces headwinds as the momentum in EV sales begins to slow down. 

Elon Musk’s Tesla reported Q4 2023 earnings that failed to meet expectations and cautioned about weaker sales growth in 2024. Additionally, both Volkswagen AG and Renault SA have scaled back their plans to sell shares in their EV businesses.

Similarly, EV production was down in China because of no more state subsidies, causing downward pressure on lithium prices. Lithium is the key element that powers up EV batteries.

Still, CATL remains hopeful on the market’s long-term forecasts, knowing that EV is essential for decarbonization efforts globally. 

The same optimism is shared by battery-related companies abroad such as the junior Canadian lithium company, Li-FT Power (LIFT: LIFFF). The company focuses on advancing the exploration and development of high-quality lithium assets in North America. 

CATL’s Carbon Asset Strategy

Due to current limitations in decarbonization technology, CATL must offset remaining carbon emissions by buying carbon credits. Establishing a dedicated carbon asset management company aims to rejuvenate carbon credits as assets and enhance their value preservation and appreciation.

Moving towards carbon asset management signifies more than just buying and selling; it involves actively reducing emissions to lower compliance costs, utilizing financial tools effectively, and optimizing resource allocation based on current carbon asset status.

For CATL, establishing a carbon asset management company is likely aimed at fulfilling its own needs. This is especially considering the pressure to reduce emissions following the European Union’s new battery regulation.

At CATL’s home, the carbon market in China has been rapidly expanding and upgrading, with the official restart of CCER in January after nearly 7 years. This expansion resulted in increased activity in carbon credit markets, creating opportunities for development within the carbon asset management sector.

READ MORE: New Rules to Jumpstart China’s Voluntary Carbon Credit Market

CGE, with 54 subsidiaries, mostly involved in offshore wind power development, serves as a stable source of green power for CATL, presenting a crucial avenue for carbon emissions reduction.

Despite not belonging to the 8 major energy-consuming industries, CATL’s early engagement in carbon trading and its substantial resources position it as a formidable player in the carbon asset management market.

Disclosure: Owners, members, directors and employees of carboncredits.com have/may have stock or option position in any of the companies mentioned: LIFFF

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Ending the Big Lie: No More Fake News for Fossil Fuels

The Canadian Parliament is introducing a new drastic, and highly controversial move against false fossil fuel advertising.

With more and more countries implementing stricter greenhouse gas emissions controls, such as banning future sales of gas-powered vehicles, it could soon no longer matter what pro-fossil fuel supporters advocate for.

The fight against climate change and emissions reductions is being taken up by regulatory bodies and organizations with the power to enforce these new laws and take action against those who break them.

But it didn’t always used to be this way. In fact, big oil fought for a very long time to conceal, downplay, and outright deny the evidence of the impact that fossil fuels were having on our planet.

Take the picture above, for instance. This newspaper ad ran all the way back in 1991 and was paid for by an organization named “Informed Citizens for the Environment”.

Despite the name, this organization was created by a coalition of the National Coal Association, the Western Fuels Association (another coal supplier), and the Edison Electrical Institute (an association that includes all publicly traded U.S. electric companies).

Also known as the “Information Council for the Environment” or ICE, this group had one simple goal: to “reposition global warming as theory (not fact).”

And that’s not just an assumption either. That’s taken verbatim from one of their own internal documents, seen below:

Source: ICE campaign plan enclosures

This was only the start of what would become a lengthy and drawn-out fight over an inconvenient truth… all for the sake of oil money.

Putting the Gas in Gaslighting

One of the most prominent examples of big oil’s attempt to keep climate change under wraps comes from oil supermajor ExxonMobil.

Mobil led a campaign in the mid-90s prior to their merger with Exxon, spending money on an aggressive ad campaign that produced over 50 ads in the ‘90s and 2000s that all questioned the scientific validity of climate change.

Of course, it wasn’t just Exxon and Mobil. One major group lobbying for climate change denial was the Global Climate Coalition (GCC for short).

With members comprised of Phillips, Exxon (later ExxonMobil), the American Petroleum Institute, National Coal Association, Edison Electric Institute, and more, the GCC was one of the loudest voices at the table when it came to climate change, actively lobbying key government officials as well as running vicious ad campaigns and smear attack against climate scientists.

The defeat of former President Clinton’s early 1993 carbon energy tax proposal, part of his plan to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions, is largely attributed to lobbying by the GCC.

Later on, GCC efforts to have the U.S. withdraw from the Kyoto Protocol under President Bush Jr. were successful, with the decision having said to be “… in part based on input from [the GCC]”, according to White House briefing notes.

While the GCC would later disband in 2001 following the United States’ withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol, big oil’s efforts to detract and downplay climate change would continue well past the turn of the millennium. Their strategy gradually shifted from outright denial, to doubt, to shifting the blame, and finally to greenwashing.

Better Late than Never: The Government Steps In

Remember what was said earlier about how the fight against climate change is now being taken up by regulatory bodies with the power to enforce laws?

Well, it may be a few decades late and much of the damage may already be done, but at least one government is finally taking action: the Canadian one.

In bill C-372 brought to Canada’s House of Commons on February 5th, known as the Fossil Fuel Advertising Act, the government is looking to make it illegal to falsely promote the burning of fossil fuels as a benefit to the public – much as the Canadian parliament did back in 1989 with tobacco.

Those of you reading this who aren’t Canadian may not be aware, but thanks to the efforts of the Canadian government, there are very strict laws regarding tobacco advertising and packaging in Canada.

Take a look at some of these:

Is it enough to keep away the kids who really want to try smoking? Probably not. But peeling away the glamourization and “cool” factor of tobacco and speaking plainly about its health impacts can go a long way towards keeping it out of the hands of the young and impressionable.

In the same way, the Fossil Fuel Advertising Act has a similar aim, which was directly referenced by MP Charlie Angus who developed the bill.

“To claim that there are clean fossil fuels is like saying there are safe cigarettes. We know that is simply not true.”

– Charlie Angus

In the terms of the language of the Bill:

It is prohibited for a person to promote a fossil fuel or the production of a fossil fuel in a manner that is false, misleading or deceptive with respect to or that is likely to create an erroneous impression about the characteristics, health or environmental effects or health or environmental hazards of the fossil fuel, its production or the emissions that result from its production or use.

In simpler terms: no more lying about the health and environmental impacts of fossil fuels.

Failure to do so could result in a fine of up to $1.5 million dollars and potentially even a two-year jail term.

Though this bill hasn’t passed yet and won’t come up for vote until later this fall at the earliest, it’s a strong (if overdue) move from the Canadian government that will hopefully spur other countries to take similar courses of action.

In the meantime, you can check out the bill for yourself here – it’s a short read.

The post Ending the Big Lie: No More Fake News for Fossil Fuels appeared first on Carbon Credits.

EU Carbon Prices at 28-Month Low Amid New 2040 Climate Goal

The European Union’s carbon market has recently experienced a significant downturn, with carbon prices hitting a 28-month low. This decline is due to various factors including macroeconomic uncertainties and decreased volatility in global gas and power markets. 

Amidst this market turmoil, the EU has unveiled a bold new climate target, aiming to slash greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 90% by 2040. Despite initial optimism, analysts predict further bearish trends as economic headwinds persist.

Carbon Crunch: EU’s Carbon Market Saga

The EU carbon prices recently hit a 28-month low, trading at Euros 56.5 per mtCO2e ($60.5/mtCO2e) on Feb. 14, according to data from the Intercontinental Exchange. Comparatively, EU Allowances (EUAs) were at a record high of over Euros 100/mtCO2e around the same time last year. 

READ MORE: EU Carbon Prices Surge to 100 Euros

However, since the 4th quarter of 2023, prices have been on a notable downward trajectory. Analysts attributed that trend to macroeconomic uncertainties, political challenges, and decreased volatility in the global gas and power markets.

The recent weakness in the European carbon market was evident in the EU daily carbon auction, where both prices and demand experienced sharp declines. As shown below, the cleared price for the EUA auction at 56.24 Euros or US$58.45/mtCO2e was the lowest price since Q3 2021. 

Traders and analysts anticipate the bearish trend in the EU carbon complex to persist as the region anticipates further economic headwinds in the coming months. 

Moreover, a veteran hedge fund investor sees a further slump in European Union carbon permits on the horizon as energy supplies soar and demand remains subdued. Per Lekander, CEO of London-based Clean Energy Transition, said that a flood of renewable power, alongside falling gas prices and a recovery in nuclear and hydro plants will keep the pressure on carbon prices

Prices have already slumped 30% this year as that combination curbs pollution that’s the basis for demand to buy emissions permits in Europe.

Analysis by S&P Global expects average prices for 2024 to plummet to Eur 63.90/mtCO2e, compared to Eur 85.30/mtCO2e in 2023 and Eur 81.50/mtCO2e in 2022.

Thus, many have revised down their EUA 2024 price forecasts. They attribute the decline to recession concerns and reduced emissions from power and industrial sectors. 

EU’s Bold Climate Agenda for 2040

The European Commission unveiled a bold new climate target, setting its sights on slashing the bloc’s GHG emissions by 90% by 2040, relative to 1990 levels.

This ambitious target closely aligns with the recommendations put forth by the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change. The organization advises a reduction of emissions by 90% to 95%. 

More notably, this intermediary step serves as a crucial bridge between the EU’s current objectives:

Cutting net emissions by 55% by 2030 and achieving net zero emissions by 2050.

The analysis conducted in the impact assessment of the new proposal indicates that the remaining EU GHG emissions in 2040 should not exceed 850 million metric tons of CO2-equivalent (MtCO2-eq). Meanwhile, carbon removals, facilitated through land-based and industrial carbon removal methods, should aim to reach up to 400 MtCO2.

Achieving this new climate agenda requires a couple of initiatives, including:

a significant shift towards renewable energy systems, 
phasing out coal-fueled power generation and reducing overall fossil fuel usage by 80%, 
and a substantial reduction in gas dependency within the EU’s energy infrastructure. 

It also calls for major transformations in various sectors such as transportation, agriculture, construction, manufacturing, and waste management.

RELATED: Top 1% of Polluting Companies Cause 50% of EU ETS Emissions

This ambitious target is essential to ensure the EU remains aligned with the objectives outlined in the 2015 Paris Agreement. The agreement aims to limit the planet’s long-term average temperature increase to well below 2°C and preferably below 1.5°C.

From Downturn to Turnaround

Moreover, the proposal underscores the economic imperative of addressing climate change, highlighting the potential costs of inaction. Failure to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels could result in additional costs of 2.4 trillion euros in the EU by 2050, primarily due to the heightened risk of more severe and destructive extreme weather events.

In 2022, the EU made significant strides in reducing GHG emissions, achieving a 33% reduction compared to 1990 levels. 

EU CO2 Emissions, 1965-2022

Source: Statista

Additionally, a separate EU document outlines plans to capture and store hundreds of millions of tons of CO2 emissions by 2050, emphasizing the substantial investment required in new technologies to address climate challenges effectively.

However, it’s important to note that the 2040 ambition is currently a non-binding recommendation from the European Commission, intended to initiate political discussions. A formal proposal will only be presented after the elections to the European Parliament.

It remains uncertain how the final decision would impact the European carbon market and prices. Regardless, the EC’s ambitious 2040 climate target underscores the EU’s commitment to addressing climate change and ensuring a sustainable future.

However, it remains imperative for policymakers to translate these goals into concrete actions to mitigate the potential costs of inaction.

The post EU Carbon Prices at 28-Month Low Amid New 2040 Climate Goal appeared first on Carbon Credits.