America to See a Surge in Renewable Capacity in 2024

The United States is poised for a significant boost in renewable energy capacity by over 67 gigawatts (GW) in 2024, driven by policy shifts and economic factors, per S&P Global Market Intelligence analysis. Solar energy, in particular, is set to lead the charge, with over 56 GW of capacity expected to come online. 

This surge reflects a broader trend toward cleaner energy sources and marks a pivotal moment in America’s energy transition. Additionally, around 11 GW of wind generation and 21 GW of energy storage are projected to come online.

Solar Dominance in America’s Energy Landscape

While natural gas has been considered a transitional fuel, the analysis indicates a net gain of only 394 megawatts (MW) of natural gas capacity in 2024. This is overshadowed by planned retirements, with 4,028 MW of natural gas expected to be retired. 

The only new nuclear capacity addition is the 1,114-MW unit 4 at the Vogtle Nuclear Plant in Georgia. 

But the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasted that nuclear power will reach an all-time high in 2025. Industry experts also believe that nuclear will start to soar this year.

RELEVANT: How Nuclear Energy in the U.S. Got Its Groove Back, Poised to Soar in 2024

US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm recently stated that wind and solar energy could surpass coal generation for the first time in US history. The trend towards cleaner energy sources will continue, to achieve 80% clean energy on the path to 100% clean electricity by 2035.

In 2024, around 5 GW of fossil-fired capacity will retire, which is less than half of the previous year’s total. Of this, around 3,634 MW of gas-fired capacity and 1,035 MW of coal-fired resources will shut down.

However, the challenges and opportunities of the energy transition are evident, particularly in grid operator PJM Interconnection LLC. 

PJM has seen a surge in renewables, prompting concerns about reliability risks. Solar energy has surpassed natural gas in new service requests, indicating a shift in the energy landscape.

Cargill’s Sustainable Power Partnership

Solar energy is taking the lead in the energy landscape, with 56 GW of solar capacity this year. Within the PJM Interconnection region alone, around 9 GW of solar capacity is anticipated.

READ MORE: Harnessing the Sun: America’s Solar Snapshot in April 2024

PJM plans for about 10 GW of new capacity additions in 2024, with minimal retirements of just 80 MW from wind generation.

Cargill Inc., a major player in the food industry, has expanded its renewable energy portfolio by contracting an additional 300 MW of wind and solar capacity. With this addition, Cargill’s offsite renewable energy portfolio now stands at 716 MW.

The largest private company in the US has embarked on its first journey using specialized sails partially powered by the wind in 2023. Their goal is to examine how wind energy can contribute to reducing energy and carbon emissions in the shipping industry.

The company has entered into five power purchase agreements (PPAs) to bring online the new wind and solar capacity. However, the specific locations of these new generating resources were not disclose. 

Still, once operational later this year, they can help Cargill reduce its carbon emissions by nearly 820,000 metric tons/year.

Cargill’s global renewable energy portfolio comprises 15 projects across 12 countries. These include virtual PPAs with: 

Ocean Breeze Energy GmbH & Co. KG for 35 MW from the Bard offshore wind farm in Germany, 
Galileo Green Energy GmbH for 55 MW from a solar project in Italy, 
Vattenfall AB for 78 MW from the Hanze Windpark project in the Netherlands, 
TC Energy Corp. subsidiary Blue Cloud Wind Energy LLC for 130 MW from a Texas wind farm, and
A self-production contract for generation from a wind farm in Bahia, Brazil.

Regional Insights into Renewable Energy Expansion

The Electric Reliability Council of Texas Inc. (ERCOT) will also see over 27 GW of new resources added in 2024, including over 16 GW of solar capacity, according to S&P Global. Additionally, nearly 8 GW of energy storage, over 2 GW of wind resources, and 790 MW of natural gas generation are part of the planned capacity additions.

California ISO will also add over 12 GW of capacity, with 5 GW and 7 GW, from solar and energy storage, respectively. ISOs refer to independent system operators.

In the Midcontinent ISO (MISO) region, over 12 GW of capacity additions are projected. Meanwhile, the retirement in this region will be at 1,368 MW of fossil fuel generation.

ISO New England is forecast to add over 2 GW of capacity, offset by 1,692 MW of natural gas retirements. Meanwhile, the New York ISO region will add 2,044 MW of capacity in 2024.

Within the Southwest Power Pool (SPP) region, about 2 GW of renewable capacity additions are anticipated, along with 788 MW of natural gas additions.

Outside of formal ISO or RTO regions, approximately 25 GW of capacity additions and 2 GW of retirements are forecasted. This includes over 14 GW of solar projects, followed by over 4 GW of energy storage, 2 GW of wind, and 2 GW of gas.

As the US continues its transition towards a more sustainable energy future, the surge in renewable energy capacity in 2024 underscores the nation’s commitment to combating climate change and embracing clean energy solutions. 

READ MORE: US EPA to Invest $20B in Climate and Clean Energy Projects for Underserved Communities

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Emissions Futures Rally by Over 25%: Insights from Xpansiv’s CBL Platform

Explore the latest trends and developments in emissions futures trading, powered by data from Xpansiv Data and Analytics. Dive into the significant rally witnessed in CME Group’s CBL emissions futures, along with the surge in trading activity for lithium contracts.

Xpansiv offers robust market data from CBL, the world’s largest spot environmental commodity exchange, including daily and historical bids, offers, and transaction data for various environmental commodities traded on the CBL platform. 

This spot data is supplemented by forward prices from premier market intermediaries and aggregated registry statistics and ratings from leading providers.

Emissions Futures Surge at CME Group’s CBL Platform

CME Group’s CBL emissions futures experienced a significant rally of over 25% for December CBL N-GEO and CBL GEO futures prices. These contracts settled at $1.16 and $0.62, respectively, marking notable increases of 26.5% and 27.5% compared to the previous week. 

Source: Xpansiv

The surge was particularly noticeable with CBL N-GEO futures jumping 12.0% on substantial volume, reaching nearly 2.2 million metric tons. However, spot prices remained relatively stable, with N-GEO closing at $0.49 (down 2.0% for the week) and GEO ending unchanged at $0.66.

Spot trading activity remained subdued, with a notable block of new vintage India solar credits settling at $1.90. Offers on the CBL central limit order book included various renewable credits from different regions. These include the following offers: 

vintage 2021 VCS 2250 Pakistan Delta Blue credits, 
vintage 2020 VCS 3279 Bangladesh cookstoves, and 
vintage 2022 VCS 2604 China Waste Handling Credits, among others.

The total trading volume for CBL emissions futures reached 3.1 million tons, with the spot exchange adding 84,722 tons. Three-quarters of these were settled through the mart’s portfolio of Global Emissions Offset contracts.

In the REC market, activity primarily centered around PJM markets, with Pennsylvania tier 1 v2024 is experiencing the most volume. Other notable trades included Maryland solar v2024 and Virginia solar v2023 credits as seen below.

The majority of the week’s total REC volume (87%) comprised bilateral trades settled through CBL’s same-day settlement infrastructure.

On the CBL screen, New Jersey solar credits stood out with over 6,000 credits matched in numerous transactions at $208. Additionally, the California Low Carbon Fuels Standard (LCFS) contract saw 15,000 credits settled, and 1,500 Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) allowance contracts were exchanged.

Lithium CME Trading Boom

Another rising commodity witnessing a trading surge in the CME Group is lithium

Despite declining battery metal prices, trading of lithium in CME’s trading platform draws increased attention from funds. 

Open interest in the contract reached a record high of 24,328 contracts in the first quarter. This uptick shows increased liquidity within the contract and suggests a maturing market for the lithium industry.

The growth in open interest follows a robust year in 2023, driven by arbitrage trading between China and the US. China’s introduction of its lithium carbonate contract on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange further contributed to trading activity. This underscores the growing importance of lithium derivatives markets for industry participants to manage price risks.

Despite challenges in the industry, such as an over 80% decline in lithium prices from their record high in November 2022, the surge in open interest provides assurance to funds and financial participants. It gives them confidence in trading the contract, enabling them to enter and exit positions as needed, even in the face of adverse price movements.

Moreover, the growing interest from Asia-based funds reflects the increasing appeal of lithium as an investment opportunity.

READ MORE: Key Challenges and Opportunities in Global Lithium Metal Market

As emissions futures experience notable price movements and trading volumes, stakeholders navigate dynamic markets with insights from comprehensive spot firm data provided by Xpansiv. Meanwhile, the surge in open interest for lithium contracts signals growing investor interest and maturity in the lithium market, despite price challenges.

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Singapore’s CRX Partners with Malaysian University for Carbon Projects

In the latest developments in the carbon market, Malaysian University – Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM) and Singapore-based Climate Resources Exchange International (CRX) have collaborated by signing a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to spearhead carbon-related projects in Malaysia. This alliance is poised to help both countries leverage their expertise to address the pressing climate challenges.

Unlocking Advantages of the CRX-UTM Partnership in Malaysia

Singapore-based CRX is a carbon management consultancy firm dealing with renewable projects, carbon profiling, carbon offsetting, and carbon trading.

The MoU was signed by the UTM Vice-Chancellor, Professor. Datuk Fauzi and the CEO of CRX, Mr. Vinod Kesava towards the end of March. This collaboration is expected to change the carbon economy of Malaysia.

Mr. Vinod Kesava has highly applauded the partnership and has said,

 “It is our great privilege and honor to collaborate with UTM in addressing the climate emergency and provide credible and pragmatic solutions for climate change mitigation and adaptation. Carbon finance is a critical element in developing robust projects with clear and transparent methodologies for monitoring, reporting, and verification. This cooperation paves the roadmap forward for accelerating initiatives created by putting our heads together and working as one.”

We note them down below:

Fulfill Commitments to the Paris Agreement

One key goal of this partnership is to produce carbon credits in Malaysia, aligning with the nation’s Paris Agreement commitments and net-zero targets. These credits will flow through Malaysia’s voluntary carbon market (VCM) exchange- the Bursa Carbon Exchange (BCX).

(BCX is a shariah-compliant multi-environmental product exchange that facilitates the trading of high-quality carbon credits via standardized carbon contracts.)

Introducing Climate-Friendly Solutions

Both organizations will primarily focus on climate-friendly solutions like:

Harnessing blue carbon from oceanic areas
Building large-scale afforestation projects
Inducting technology in agricultural activities- For example, producing biochar from agricultural waste via controlled pyrolysis.

Malaysia’s forests play a crucial role in reducing climate impact by sequestering approximately 259 MtCO2e annually. This is achieved legally by conserving the forests and demarking protected areas for national parks and wildlife sanctuaries.

Paving the road for EVs.

With the EV revolution happening globally, CRX plans to ramp from EV infrastructure in Malaysia through its registered Electric Vehicle Accelerator (EVA) Grouped Project Activity. Malaysian EV operators will join EVA and generate revenue from carbon credits through their involvement.

Forging a Joint Effort Towards Carbon Credit Development

According to McKinsey Nature Analytics, the country has a carbon crediting potential of up to 40 MT of CO2 annually through Nature-based solutions (NBS) projects. This is equivalent to 3% of the global NBS potential.

The collective expertise and resources of academia and industry have the potential to pave the way for a more sustainable future. CRX and the Malaysian university will pool their resources to create premium carbon credits. They would adhere to both compliance and voluntary market regulations through the procurement of carbon finance.

Late last year the organizations had agreed to bolster collaboration in renewable energy. Well, this partnership is an extension of the previous agreement that promised proper carbon capture, utilization, and storage. The expected output would be the generation of high-quality carbon credits in the Malaysian economy.

RELATED: Net Zero Framework For Malaysia To Be Released This Year (carboncredits.com)

The CRX-UTM Collaboration: Powering Malaysia’s Net-Zero Drive

Malaysia strongly believes in robust collaboration between government, businesses, academia, and society to propel its net-zero ambition. UTM has supported the Malaysian government’s vision and has established an innovative sustainability agenda known as the UTM Sustainability Blueprint. It serves as a roadmap for sustainable practices within the university.

Professor Datuk Fauzi, Vice-Chancellor of UTM has noted,

“The partnership with CRX is a testament to unwavering commitment to tackling climate change and achieving net-zero emissions. Together, we are creating an unstoppable force that will drive global and local efforts to combat this urgent threat and shape a sustainable future for our planet.”

Furthermore, joining forces with a global brand renders significant recognition for the Malaysian University. CRX’s extensive expertise in international carbon trading offers UTM vast opportunities to engage in carbon credit projects. It will further give the institution exposure to industry stakeholders and governmental agencies in Malaysia.

As discussed by eminent leaders in academia, the collaborative activities between UTM and CRX will facilitate the exchange of knowledge, expertise, and research aimed at effectively addressing the impact of climate change.

The innovative carbon projects will catalyze the emergence of new industries and business opportunities. This, in turn, could contribute to job creation and economic diversification, positioning both Singapore and Malaysia as leaders in the global transition to a low-carbon economy.

All in all, these collaborative activities will bolster Malaysia’s ambition to become a net-zero country by 2050.

FURTHER READING: Singapore’s Carbon Credit Market Surging At 21% CAGR • Carbon Credits

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Sublime Systems Lands $87 Million Funding from DOE for Low-Carbon Cement

Sublime Systems, a startup pioneering a revolutionary method of producing fossil-fuel-free cement, has been chosen by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Clean Energy Demonstrations (OCED) to start negotiations for up to $87 million in funding under the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and Inflation Reduction Act. 

The funding, part of the Industrial Demonstrations Program, aims to support projects like Sublime’s First Commercial Electrochemical Cement Manufacturing initiative. Selected among 33 projects spanning over 20 states, these initiatives collectively receive up to $6 billion to showcase their commercial-scale decarbonization solutions. 

These efforts are crucial for transitioning energy-intensive industries towards net zero emissions. They can also help bolster local economies, generate high-quality jobs, and mitigate harmful emissions detrimental to public health. 

Cement’s Carbon Challenge

To understand the innovative strides of Sublime Systems, it’s crucial to grasp the conventional cement-making process and its environmental hurdles.

Cement, when mixed with water, sand, and gravel, constitutes concrete, the second most consumed substance globally after water. This process has remained largely unaltered for centuries. 

Unfortunately, producing traditional cement contributes significantly to carbon emissions, accounting for about 8% of the world’s total emissions. That’s because using ordinary Portland cement (OPC) process to manufacture traditional cement relies on fossil-fueled kilns operating at extreme temperatures. 

This is what Sublime Systems will try to address. Founded in 2020, the Massachusetts-based company works with a clear mission – to revolutionize cement production and mitigate its environmental impact. Here’s the Sublime process of cement manufacturing:

Through innovative electrochemical processes, Sublime has scaled up its cement manufacturing to a pilot capacity of 250 metric tons per year (TPY). The forthcoming commercial facility in Holyoke will be capable of producing up to 30,000 TPY of Sublime Cement. It’s slated to open as early as 2026, boasting significant reductions in fossil fuel pollution typically associated with industrial growth.

Sublime Systems’ approach hinges on two primary innovations: electrochemical reactions and renewable energy integration. 

RELATED: Electrochemical: A More Efficient Way of Capturing CO2 than DAC?

Instead of traditional methods that rely on high temperatures, Sublime employs electrochemical reactions to produce cement. This revolutionary approach eliminates the need for burning fossil fuels, thereby significantly reducing carbon emissions.

Then by using electricity to power these reactions, Sublime’s plants have the potential to integrate renewable energy sources such as solar and wind. This strategic shift reduces emissions and aligns with renewable energy goals, contributing to a more sustainable future.

Other companies are creating innovative ways to capture carbon dioxide to make it as an ingredient in its cement-free, carbon-negative concrete.

Sublime Systems’ Path to Sustainable Cement Production

Dr. Leah Ellis, CEO and Co-Founder of Sublime Systems highlighted the biggest hurdle hindering this kind of breakthrough innovation in fighting climate change, saying:

“Access to sufficient capital for industrial-scale demonstrations is the single biggest obstacle preventing breakthrough innovations from reaching the scale humanity needs to combat the climate crisis.”

Ellis praised the Department of Energy for addressing this obstacle through funding from OCED’s Industrial Demonstrations Program (IDP). She expressed excitement about collaborating with the department on funding their first commercial manufacturing scale-up. It would be able to produce clean cement while fostering economic opportunities for the surrounding community.

Furthermore, OCED applicants, including Sublime Systems, were mandated by the DOE to submit Community Benefits Plans (CBPs). These plans outline strategies to engage communities, create high-quality jobs, and prioritize economic and environmental justice for disadvantaged groups. 

In Sublime’s case, their decision to establish their first commercial manufacturing facility in Holyoke, Massachusetts was guided by screening tools developed by Justice 40. The startup anticipates the creation of hundreds of jobs during the construction phase of the project. 

The company has forged a strategic partnership agreement with the United Steelworkers (USW), representing approximately half of unionized cement workers in the U.S., focusing on operational roles in the Holyoke plant. Additionally, Sublime has entered into a Memoranda of Understanding to negotiate project labor agreements with building trade unions in the region for the construction phase.

Sublime Systems’ Holistic Approach

Augmenting Sublime’s Community Benefits Plan is a collaboration with the Smithsonian Science Education Center (SSEC). The OCED selection includes funding to leverage SSEC’s educational programming resources to support this objective.

U.S. Secretary of Energy Jennifer M. Granholm emphasized the critical role of advancing decarbonization technologies in pivotal industries such as steel, paper, concrete, and glass. She underscored the significance of President Biden’s industrial strategy, facilitating the Department of Energy’s (DOE) historic investment in industrial decarbonization. 

Granholm highlighted the aim to substantially reduce emissions from hard-to-decarbonize sectors, ensuring that American businesses and workers remain competitive on the global stage.

Sublime has already secured reservations for over 45,000 tons of Sublime Cement, demonstrating strong demand for their sustainable cement.

Sublime Systems’ selection for funding under the U.S. Department of Energy’s IDP marks a significant step towards revolutionizing cement production. With innovative electrochemical processes and a commitment to community engagement, Sublime is poised to lead the way in decarbonizing the cement industry, fostering economic growth, and advancing environmental sustainability.

READ MORE: Revolutionizing Cement With Electrochemistry The Sublime Way

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NetZero Raises Over $19M for Biochar Expansion in Brazil

French carbon removal company NetZero has secured €18 million ($19.5 million) in new funding from government-backed impact investor STOA Infra & Energy. The capital infusion aims to support NetZero’s expansion by establishing new biochar plants in Brazil and other tropical regions. 

The announcement coincides with French President Emmanuel Macron’s state visit to Brazil and follows NetZero’s previous €11 million Series A funding round. The transaction marks the first investment of STOA’s carbon strategy and is significant as one of the largest deals in the biochar sector. It also represents the first major initiative aimed at scaling carbon removal efforts in emerging countries.

NetZero’s Vision for Climate, Agriculture, and Society

NetZero focuses on scaling up biochar in tropical regions, aiming to benefit both the climate and local communities.

Biochar, derived from plant residues and stored in soil, serves as an effective method for permanently removing carbon from the atmosphere while simultaneously enhancing soil quality. This results in increased agricultural productivity, reduced fertilizer usage, and higher crop yields.

NetZero’s innovative biochar technology addresses 3 significant challenges simultaneously:

Climate change: By producing biochar, NetZero removes atmospheric carbon for millennia, contributing to long-term carbon sequestration.
Sustainable agriculture: The use of biochar as a soil amendment improves soil quality and crop productivity, promoting sustainable farming practices.
Social impact: NetZero’s initiatives enhance farmers’ livelihoods and create well-paid industrial jobs in rural areas of developing countries, thereby fostering economic development and social equity.

 

NetZero’s unique approach to leveraging biochar allows for high-permanence carbon removal from the atmosphere. The company’s model aligns with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the European Union’s recognition of atmospheric carbon removal as crucial for achieving net zero emissions globally. 

Among the IPCC’s validated technical solutions, biochar stands out for its proven ability to remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it in soils for extended periods.

What is Biochar? Harnessing Nature’s Power

The carbon removal company uses agricultural residues exclusively as feedstock for producing biochar. These residues include coffee or cocoa husks and shells, sugarcane bagasse, coconut shells and fibers, peanut/cashew shells, and more.

Through a process called pyrolysis, these organic materials undergo intense heating in the absence of oxygen. This results in the breakdown of complex molecular chains and the formation of a solid, stable product known as biochar.

While biochar can serve various purposes, NetZero’s primary focus lies in its agricultural application, where it is mixed with topsoil to enhance soil quality and fertility.

During the production process, substantial amounts of renewable energy in the form of gases and heat are generated. The startup then harnesses this energy, using a portion for its own operations while supplying the rest to local partners as electricity or heat. 

Biochar has gained attention for its ability to sequester carbon dioxide when introduced into the soil. 

The biochar carbon credit market, although still in its early stages, is rapidly expanding, with prices showing a bullish trend. Over the past year, deals for smaller volumes of credits have closed above $500/mt, per DGB Group report. Other deals have begun to clear below $100/mt. 

Recent bids for biochar credits ranged from $134/mt to $145/mt, indicating growing interest and potential in this sector, with matching offers between $152/mt to $167/mt.

RELEVANT: Shell to Buy 22,500 Biochar Removal Credits from The Next 150

Scaling Up for Impact

The $19.5 million capital raise will enable NetZero to scale up its technology and deploy production sites at a larger scale in tropical regions. The company aims to remove over 5 million tonnes of CO2 from the atmosphere by 2030.

STOA’s investment in NetZero represents a significant milestone in the biochar space. STOA, established in 2017, focuses on infrastructure and energy investments in developing countries. 

Currently, NetZero operates two commercial-scale biochar plants in Cameroon and Brazil. Last month, it partnered with Swiss commodities trader Ecom Agroindustrial Corp. to produce biochar from coffee husks in Brazil, with an expected annual production of over 4,000 metric tons.

In Mexico, another biochar startup, The Next 150, is ramping up its production, aiming to capture 150,000 tons of CO2 equivalent. If that happens, it would be the largest biochar initiative in Mexico.

Global biochar production reaches at least 350,000 metric tonnes annually, representing a remarkable 91% growth rate over 2021 production levels. 

From an economic standpoint, revenues generated by biochar and equipment manufacturers surpassed $600 million in 2023. This shows a substantial growth rate of 97% between 2021 and 2023. More notably, projections indicate further revenue growth, expected to reach over $3 billion by 2025.

In terms of market size, a research shows that biochar could reach over $1,540 million in 2031 as seen below.

NetZero has been recognized for its achievements. For instance, it won the Milestone Award in the XPRIZE Carbon Removal competition sponsored by the Musk Foundation. The startup was also certified as a carbon-removal project under the Puro Standard. 

The company’s biochar plants contribute to carbon removal efforts and have already supplied carbon removal credits to companies like Boston Consulting Group, though specific volumes and prices were not disclosed.

RELATED: North America’s Largest Biochar Plant Announced In Canada

With Brazil being one of the world’s largest agricultural countries and committed to decarbonization, it represents a strategic market for NetZero and the company’s goal of leading the biochar carbon removal revolution. 

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Base Carbon Receives First-Ever Article 6 Authorized Carbon Credits

Base Carbon Inc., operating through its wholly-owned subsidiary Base Carbon Capital Partners Corp., announced the receipt of an initial transfer of 717,558 carbon credits from its Rwanda cookstoves project. These carbon credits, designated by Verra with an “Article 6 Authorized” label, mark a significant milestone for Base Carbon. 

It signifies the transition of its second project from the development stage to active carbon credit generation. Notably, this also represents an industry milestone being the first Article 6 Authorized labeled carbon credits issued by Verra.

Base Carbon is a leading financier of projects in the global voluntary carbon markets. The company supports carbon removal and abatement projects worldwide by providing capital and management resources. It also aims to enhance efficiencies, commercial credibility, and trading transparency by leveraging technologies within the evolving environmental industries.

The company provides upfront capital to carbon projects, earning revenues from the credits they generate.

What is Article 6 Carbon Credit?

Article 6 of the Paris Agreement talks about how countries can work together and trade mitigation outcomes, also known as carbon credits, with each other to help meet their climate targets (NDCs).

In November last year, the Supervisory Body overseeing Article 6 of the Paris Agreement published a draft document detailing proposed methodologies for carbon reduction projects.

The methodologies help ensure a cautious approach in calculating a project’s emission reductions or removals. This is crucial for ensuring the credibility of the credits and promoting greater ambition in global emission reduction efforts.

READ MORE: Proposed Methodologies for Carbon Projects Under Paris Agreement’s Article 6.4

Base Carbon Pioneers Article 6 Authorized Carbon Credits

The Rwanda cookstoves project received a letter of authorization (LOA) from the Government of Rwanda in December 2023. This leads to Verra applying its Article 6 Authorized label to the project. 

This designation marks the first time Verra applied such recognition to a carbon project registered in its Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) Program.

BCCPC and the DelAgua Group, the project developer, have been in discussions regarding the implementation of the LOA. As per the LOA, a portion of the issued Article 6 Authorized labeled carbon credits will be immediately retired to offset global emissions. 

Additionally, a percentage of the carbon credits will be transferred to the Government of Rwanda for its emission reduction targets. Then a portion of the revenues from the remaining credits will go to the United Nations’ Global Adaptation Fund. 

The Clean Cooking Project is a voluntary initiative focused on distributing fuel-efficient improved cookstoves (ICS) to households. DelAgua will distribute these technologies to individual households and communities, following the VCS Methodology from Sectoral Scope 3 – VMR0006 “Methodology for Installation of High-Efficiency Firewood Cookstoves,” version 1.1 for emissions reduction calculations.

Before the project, households primarily used 3-stone fire and traditional stoves. These cookstoves have low thermal efficiency and require a higher amount of firewood for cooking.

By adopting DelAgua stoves, people can save time spent on cooking and collecting fuel, while also conserving fuel itself. The main benefit of these cookstoves is the significant reduction in health risks associated with smoke emitted by traditional stoves.

Plus, it also avoids the release of planet-warming emissions. The project is estimated to achieve an average annual and total emission reduction of 1,819,332 and 14,554,657 tCO2e, respectively, over the first 7-year crediting period. 

More details can be found on Verra’s website under project ID 4150.

Enhancing Article 6 Carbon Credits Implementation for Greater Impact

BCCPC and DelAgua have recently signed an amended and restated project agreement to facilitate the implementation of the LOA.

Under their revised agreement, BCCPC and DelAgua will split the 5% GAF remittance attributable to Article 6 carbon credits sold. This would be based on each party’s pro rata share of sales proceeds outlined in a revenue-sharing arrangement. 

Base Carbon anticipates its GAF remittance to be around $0.20 per credit for the first 1,925,000 Article 6 Authorized labeled carbon credits received.

Under the revised agreement of BCCPC and DelAgua, Article 6 Authorized labeled carbon credits from the Rwanda cookstoves project will be adjusted for the 12% volume reduction specified in the Government of Rwanda LOA. Thus, a new aggregate minimum of 6.6 million carbon credits would be subject to BCCPC and DelAgua’s revenue-sharing arrangement. 

Base Carbon is currently exploring various sales options for the initial 717,558 carbon credits. They expect the potential pricing upside of adjusted carbon credits will offset any volume reductions due to the LOA’s implementation.

Base Carbon’s receipt of the first-ever Article 6 Authorized carbon credits signifies a monumental leap in environmental stewardship. Through innovative financing and strategic partnerships, this milestone underscores the potential for carbon markets to facilitate meaningful change and pave the way for a greener, more sustainable future.

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Illinois Building Code Update Sparks Debate with All-Electric Rejection

In a move with significant developments, Illinois’ governing board overseeing building standards has declined to adopt the all-electric code. The “all-voluntary electrical code” in Illinois refers to a code or set of regulations governing electrical systems and installations in buildings that is optional or voluntary for compliance.

This decision comes amidst a growing trend in northern Illinois, mainly the Chicago communities to curb natural gas use in new construction projects.

The Legal Tussle Between Illinois International Code Council (ICC) and Federal Court

Illinois International Code Council (ICC) discarded an optional all-electric construction code in its 2024 International Energy Conservation Code. It is the standard model for building codes nationwide. The decision to reverse the code echoed a landmark ruling by the US Court.

However, it has received significant repercussions from the ICC board of directors.

Painting a clearer picture, the advisory council of experts, tasked with updating the state’s building codes over time, initially incorporated the all-electric option into the Illinois stretch energy code.

However, on March 20, the Illinois Capital Development Board (CDB), appointed by the governor, countered this decision by removing the all-electric appendix from the stretch code. This action stemmed from apprehensions regarding potential legal liabilities for communities.

Consequently, Illinois communities will find themselves without a standardized, readily available method for enforcing all-electric new construction.

The insights of this ruling, fetched from S&P Global Market Intelligence are noted below:

The ICC cautioned cities and states that embracing the 2024 international code’s draft all-electric provision could lead to a “significant risk” of federal law conflicts.
This decision was influenced by the US Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit, which held that the federal Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA) preempted Berkeley, Calif.’s pioneering building gas ban.
The conflict between ICC and CDB highlights the larger impact of obstructing building decarbonization efforts.
This ruling can affect Western US states and territories. It can also go beyond the regions of the 9th Circuit’s jurisdiction, where courts have not yet addressed EPCA’s compatibility with local electrification codes.

Although the new rule marks a fallout from a nationwide decision, it has established a precedent that challenges local electrification mandates across the country.

Illinois Seeking Sustainable Solutions through CEJA 

Illinois located in the heart of the United States, is the nation’s third-largest consumer of gas in both residential and commercial sectors.

While Illinois aims for emission reductions through its Climate and Equitable Jobs Act (CEJA), the clash between state aspirations and federal preemption poses a formidable challenge. The recent decisions highlight the complexity of balancing environmental objectives with legal compliance.

Amidst all the conundrum, Illinois seeks to navigate through the legal and environmental challenges with some sustainable solutions.

Stretch Code Development by CDB

CDB’s Energy Conservation Advisory Council has developed a stretch code in Illinois aimed to align with CEJA’s goals. The climate bill required the CDB to create an optional code exceeding Illinois Energy Conservation Code standards. It would also adhere to international code standards.

It is expected to offer additional measures to enhance building efficiency and reduce emissions. The removal of the all-electric appendix raises doubts about the state’s ability to offer a unified sustainable construction approach.

The stretch code further gives a boost to the rising movement in Chicago and neighboring regions to curb gas and fossil fuel usage in new construction projects.

READ MORE: Billionaire Tom Steyer to Invest in Net Zero Buildings (carboncredits.com)

During the March 20 meeting, numerous local government representatives emphasized to the CDB the importance of efficiency and decarbonization measures in the stretch code. They highlighted that local governments frequently lack the resources to independently develop such policies.

Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss said,

We rely on the expertise of the state to give us these model ordinances that will be feasible to allow us to achieve our objectives. We are willing to take that risk and prove out the concepts so that other communities can follow.”

Striking a Balance on the Electrification Debate

Differences in opinion and demand among individuals and groups have given rise to the need to balance out the situation. While some from the industry group support 100% electrification others argue for flexibility and affordability. They argue against provisions like the electric-ready requirement, citing potential high costs for homes and threats to energy affordability.

On the contrary, proponents of electrification, like RMI’s Chiu, dispute these claims. He stresses the importance of efficiency measures, such as incentivizing the installation of heat pumps.

However, whatever the outcome is, it must be economically and environmentally viable.

Climate experts emphasize the importance of prioritizing energy efficiency and sustainability. They favor promoting heat pumps and other innovative approaches to achieve climate objectives.

Noteworthy, this strategy aims to mitigate GHG emissions within the community by 60% before 2030. And finally, become net zero by 2050. This aligns closely with recommendations from leading climate scientists worldwide, intending to combat climate change.

The graph shows the total natural gas consumed in Illinois through 2022.

source: US Energy Information Administration

Despite these debates, the Illinois stretch code maintains the all-electric provision, pointing to a continued focus on promoting energy-efficient solutions. Stakeholders will be responsible for reconciling divergent interests while advancing towards a common goal of sustainable development.

Robert Coslow, administrator of professional services at the CDB and chair of the Illinois Energy Conservation Advisory Council has noted,

“The Illinois stretch code pushes builders to install heat pumps through incentives because they are proven to be the most efficient heating source on the market.”

Illinois has set an ambitious goal of achieving 100% clean energy by 2050. To address this, the state utility regulator is examining the future of the gas industry in light of CEJA. However, amidst this transition, there are divergent views on the best path forward.

The next update in 2025 mandated by CEJA will offer an opportunity to reassess contentious issues regarding the all-electric move. Let’s hope the decision paves the way toward a greener future for Illinois and the entire nation.

Disclaimer: The data is fetched from primary source S&P Global Market Intelligence.

FURTHER READING: Harnessing the Sun: America’s Solar Snapshot in April 2024 • Carbon Credits

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Magnate Gina Rinehart Moves into Rare Earth Metals

In a decisive move signaling confidence in the burgeoning rare earth metals market, Gina Rinehart, executive chairman of Hancock Prospecting Pty Ltd., has recently acquired a significant 5.3% stake in MP Materials Corp, a major player in the U.S. rare earth sector.
This strategic investment is particularly timely, as it coincides with a notable upswing in rare earth prices, reflecting a broader market recovery and an optimistic outlook for the sector.

Rare earth metals, crucial for a myriad of modern technologies, especially in clean energy applications, are at the forefront of the global shift towards decarbonization.

These metals are indispensable in manufacturing high-performance magnets essential for electric vehicle motors and wind turbine generators, playing a pivotal role in advancing renewable energy solutions and electric mobility.

Demand for Rare Earth Metals are on the Rise

You can find all but one of the 17 rare earth elements on a 2022 USGS list of 50 “critical minerals”.

The escalating demand for rare earth metals, projected to more than double by mid-century, underscores their critical role in the transition to a low-carbon economy.

According to the International Energy Agency, demand for rare earth elements is expected to reach three to seven times current levels by 2040.

According to commodities firm Katusa Research, China leads the global market in rare earth elements, crucial for its national security. To strengthen its hold, China combined its five biggest producers into one major company, enhancing its control over the world’s rare earth supply.

China uses a quota system to manage its production, similar to how OPEC regulates oil, to prevent oversupply and keep prices stable.

This surge is largely driven by the expanding electric vehicle market and the scaling up of renewable energy generation, highlighting the strategic importance of Rinehart’s investment in securing a stake in this vital industry.

However, the concentration of rare earth production in a handful of countries, with China leading the pack, introduces a layer of geopolitical and economic complexity. This concentration raises concerns about supply stability and the potential for geopolitical leverage, emphasizing the significance of Rinehart’s move to diversify and strengthen the supply chain, particularly for the U.S. market.

The U.S. government’s $58.5 million grant to MP Materials to develop a rare earth magnet manufacturing facility in Texas exemplifies the strategic measures being taken to mitigate these risks.

This effort boosts domestic production and reduces reliance on foreign sources, strengthening the rare earth supply chain against rising demand and geopolitical risks.

Moreover, the focus on rare earth metals extends beyond their crucial role in clean energy technologies. These metals are integral to various other applications, including enhancing the efficiency of solar panels and the performance of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles.

Their unique properties enable advancements in lighting, electronics, and a range of other high-tech applications, further underscoring the strategic nature of Rinehart’s investment.

Rare Earth Metals and Decarbonization

Rare earth metals are essential for various clean energy technologies, including solar panels, wind turbines, and electric vehicles (EVs).

Here are just some examples of clean energy technologies that rely on rare earth metals:

Solar Panels: Rare earth metals, such as neodymium, dysprosium, and praseodymium, are used to enhance the efficiency of solar panels. They are doped into the silicon material of solar cells to improve light absorption capabilities, charge transport, and resistance to temperature extremes1.
Wind Turbines: Wind turbines use rare earth metals, such as neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, and terbium, in their permanent magnets. These magnets are located in the center of the blades in the electrical box (called the nacelle) and are used to increase power generation and reduce maintenance in larger offshore wind turbines3.
Electric Vehicles (EVs): Rare earth metals, particularly neodymium, are used in the motors of EVs. They are also used in the magnets for speakers, hard drives, and other electric motors4.
Lithium-ion Batteries: While lithium-ion batteries do not contain rare earth elements, they do rely on other critical minerals such as cobalt and nickel. However, the magnets in the motors of EVs and other electric devices do require rare earth elements, such as neodymium, samarium, and dysprosium5.

These examples demonstrate the importance of rare earth metals in various clean energy technologies, and their demand is expected to increase as the world transitions to a low-carbon economy.

Where Rare Earth Metals are Used

Rare earth metals are essential for improving the efficiency and performance of various clean energy technologies, particularly in the following ways:

Permanent Magnets: Rare earth metals, such as neodymium and dysprosium, are used to create high-performance permanent magnets that are crucial for the motors in electric vehicles and the generators in wind turbines. These magnets are significantly more powerful and efficient than traditional ferrite or aluminum-nickel-cobalt magnets, allowing for more compact and lightweight designs12.
Solar Panels: Rare earth metals, like neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium, are used to enhance the efficiency of solar panels. They are doped into the silicon material of solar cells to improve light absorption, charge transport, and resistance to temperature extremes1.
Battery Performance: While rare earth metals are not directly used in lithium-ion batteries, they are used in the permanent magnets of the electric motors that power electric vehicles. This improves the overall efficiency and performance of EVs compared to internal combustion engine vehicles5.
Lighting and Electronics: Rare earth phosphors, made from elements like europium, terbium, and yttrium, are used in energy-efficient LED and fluorescent lighting, as well as in the displays of electronic devices, improving their brightness and color quality1.

As the rare earth market continues to evolve, efforts to diversify sources and improve mining practices are paramount. This includes exploring sustainable mining options, enhancing recycling processes, and developing alternative materials to ensure a stable and environmentally responsible supply of these critical resources.

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Study Shows Landfill Methane Emissions Are 1.4x More Than EPA Estimates

A recent study published in the journal Science highlights the crucial need for improved monitoring of landfill emissions as part of climate change mitigation policies. The findings reveal that methane emissions from U.S. landfills are significantly higher than previously estimated by the Environmental Protection Agency. 

The study is led by the nonprofit Carbon Mapper and scientists from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, EPA, and other institutions. The researchers conducted aerial surveys of over 200 active landfills from 2018 through 2022. 

This comprehensive effort represents the largest direct measurement-based study of municipal solid waste sites to date.

Landfills’ Hidden Environmental Impact

In 2018, Americans disposed of around 146.1 million tons of waste in landfills, with organic decomposition accounting for about 50% of methane emissions. Over half of the dumps are methane super-emitters, generating over 100kg of the gas per hour. 

Methane, a potent greenhouse gas, has a significantly higher heat-trapping capability than carbon dioxide and thus, contributes to climate change. It is 80x more potent a GHG than CO2. 

READ MORE: What are the Effects of Methane Emissions and Why Should We Care?

According to the EPA, human activities contribute significantly to global methane emissions, accounting for around 50% – 65% of the total. In the United States, landfill emissions stand out as the 3rd-largest source of human-generated methane, responsible for almost 15% of such pollution in 2021.

U.S. Methane Emissions, By Source

According to the International Energy Agency estimates, methane is responsible for almost a third of global temperature rise since the Industrial Revolution. The IEA reported in March that fossil fuel production and use resulted in almost 120 million metric tons of methane emissions in 2023. And the U.S. emerged as the largest emitter from oil and gas extraction. 

Moreover, exposure to methane poses health risks, leading to an estimated 1 million premature deaths annually. These are the major reasons why attention to mitigating the release of this potent GHG intensifies. 

Rob Jackson, an environmental scientist at Stanford University, emphasizes the importance of airborne data in verifying ground observations, stating that methane emissions have been a concern for decades.

The lead author, Dan Cusworth, also highlights the potential for mitigating climate change by addressing high-emission sources and persistent landfill emissions. The precise identification of leaks is crucial for reducing methane emissions effectively.

The study was conducted across 18 states using imaging spectrometers on aircraft between 2016 and 2022. The imaging technology is designed to measure concentrations of methane in the air. Remote sensing technologies, such as satellites, aircraft, and drones, offer improved methods for monitoring landfill emissions. 

One of the two aircraft that used Earth-mapping technology to measure emissions in the study. Image from Arizona State University

Additionally, innovations like methane valve caps and leak sensors can help reduce emissions at their source. Kait Siegel from the Clean Air Task Force highlights the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of implementing such technologies in the waste sector.

Innovative Solutions for Curbing Methane Emissions

The researchers’ analysis unveiled striking findings, indicating that 52% of landfills exhibited “observable point source emissions.” This contrasts sharply with the 0.2% to 1% of oil and natural gas sites in the U.S. that show similar emissions. 

Moreover, nearly 60% of the landfills demonstrated emissions that persisted over months or years. This is in contrast to the irregular, short-duration events observed in the oil and gas sector.

RELEVANT: Methane Offsets Originator, Zefiro, Buys Plants and Goodwin

Carbon Mapper emphasized that current methods used to report facility emissions, such as the EPA’s Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP), are insufficient in capturing or accurately representing large methane sources. On average, aerial emission rates were 1.4 times higher than those reported by the GHGRP.

Many landfills utilize specialized wells and pipes to collect methane gas emitted from decomposing waste. These systems aim to mitigate methane emissions by either burning off the gas through controlled flaring or harnessing it for energy generation, such as electricity or heat production.

However, despite these measures, leaks in the wells and pipes can occur, releasing methane into the atmosphere.

The researchers noted that pinpointing methane leaks is crucial in helping them have a clearer picture of methane emissions. Plus, it can also aid landfill operators in addressing leaks promptly. 

The Environmental Defense Fund and Carbon Mapper are collaborating on initiatives to launch satellites for monitoring methane emissions from landfills and other sources.

These initiatives underscore the growing recognition of the importance of comprehensive monitoring in addressing climate change. This is crucial especially that the Global Methane Initiative (GMI) reveals that these emissions will increase by 2030.

As the study sheds light on the magnitude of landfill methane emissions, it calls for immediate action to curb this potent greenhouse gas. With innovative monitoring solutions and concerted efforts, we can mitigate methane emissions and its harmful impact, paving the way toward a more sustainable future.

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