Lithium Market Lows: How Are Albemarle and Pilbara Minerals Adapting?

lithium

From the latest news from CarbonCredits, you can see that the lithium market has entered a period of price decline. This is mainly because of weaker demand conditions and an oversupply of lithium carbonate in key regions. However, this trend doesn’t favor the top lithium miners and producers across the globe. Recently Albemarle and Pilbara have taken some drastic steps to counter the lithium market lows.

Let’s see how they are navigating the challenges…

Albemarle’s Strategy for Surviving the Lithium Market Slump

As a consequence of dropping lithium prices, Albemarle Corporation is set to reduce its global workforce by between 6% and 7%, which will save around $300 million to $400 million annually as reported by S&P Global Commodity Insights.

Despite being the world’s largest lithium producer, the company reported a net loss of $1.07 billion for the third quarter. The company released its earnings report on November 6.

Kent Masters, Albemarle’s president and CEO expressed himself by saying,

“Right now we’re focused on making sure that we put the cost structure in place to compete through the bottom of the cycle. We’re trying to create the flexibility to pivot up if the market returns.”

The New Approach

The earning report revealed how the company is planning to streamline its organization by adopting a more integrated and functional model. In purview, it will reduce its 2025 capital expenditures by about 50% compared to 2024 to bring spending down to between $800 million and $900 million.

The company noted that this quarter’s results sharply contrast with the $302 million net income earned in the same period last year.

CEO Kent Masters emphasized that China has scaled back high-cost lepidolite production, while Australian miners have reduced output and laid off employees in response to market conditions. Still, these trimming measures are insufficient to stabilize lithium prices.

According to him, the surprising factor is that “African supply has filled Chinese cuts.”

On the demand side, CFO Neal Sheorey highlighted a 36% increase in demand for lithium in grid storage this year, driven by U.S. and Chinese projects, along with a 23% rise in global electric vehicle registrations.

Albemarle estimates that around 25% of the lithium industry is currently operating at a loss. The reason is again the oversupplied market. However, the top lithium producer wants to stay competitive over the long term. This is why they have conducted a thorough review of their costs and operating structure.

Albemarle

Broadly speaking, they revealed their potential future actions to address ongoing market challenges. Masters said that, while rising demand could help restore balance further production cuts will be essential to stabilize prices effectively. In response to the lingering low lithium prices, the company plans to adopt a conservative growth strategy to ensure long-term reliance.

Notably, In July, Albemarle halted expansion plans at its Kemerton lithium hydroxide refinery in Australia to manage costs more effectively.


Li-FT Power: Exploring & Developing Hard Rock Lithium Deposits In Canada

Li-FT Power Ltd. (TSXV: LIFT) recently announced its first-ever National Instrument 43-101 (NI 43-101) compliant mineral resource estimate (MRE) for the Yellowknife Lithium Project (YLP), located in the Northwest Territories, Canada.

An Initial Mineral Resource of 50.4 Million Tonnes at Yellowknife.

This maiden estimate is a major milestone for the company and marks a significant step forward in the project’s development. Li-FT Power’s upcoming mineral resource is expected to further solidify Yellowknife as one of North America’s largest hardrock lithium resources.

Click to learn more about lithium and Li-FT Power Ltd. >>

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Pilbara’s Strategic Move to Overcome Lithium Price Dip

On October 30, Pilbara Minerals announced its decision to pause construction of their Mid-Stream Demonstration Plant Pilgangoora lithium mine in Western Australia citing weak lithium prices as the main reason. The project is a JV with environmental technology company Calix Ltd formed in November 2022.

The smaller Ngungaju plant will be placed on temporary care and maintenance from December 1 which will allow the company to manage current price pressures more efficiently.

Pilbara Minerals highlighted that spodumene concentrate prices, ranging from US$750 to $800 per ton, remain below the sustainable industry benchmark of US$1,400 per ton.

  • In the September quarter, the company sold lithium at an average of US$682 per ton, a decrease from US$840 per tonne in the previous quarter.

The demonstration plant at Pilgangoora that would produce lithium salts using Calix’s advanced calcination technology was 60% completed by the end of September this year. Pilbara anticipates these measures will contribute about A$200 million in cash flow improvements for fiscal 2025.

pilbara

Cutting Capital Expenditure

  • MINING.com reported: Pilbara Minerals also revised its production guidance for fiscal 2025 to a range of 700,000 to 740,000 dry metric tonnes (dmt). It’s down from an earlier target of 800,000 to 840,000 dmt.

Meanwhile, it has cut its capital expenditure forecast to between A$565 million and A$610 million, down from a previous estimate of A$615 million to A$685 million.

Managing Director and CEO Dale Henderson,

“Given current lithium price environment, this pause enables the joint venture to time expenditure with improved market conditions. We remain fully supportive of the midstream strategy and our joint venture, recognising the Project’s potential to transform the lithium supply chain through lower emissions and value-added processing. Our commitment to our joint venture with Calix remains. We will assess with Calix resuming the Project as market conditions improve or further government support is received.”

Lithium Glut Lingers, Even as Demand Surges

According to S&P Global Commodity Insights, the lithium market is expected to face a supply surplus until at least 2027. However, this excess supply will maintain low lithium prices until demand rises to balance out the excess.

Data Source: S&P Global

Analyzing the market condition further, the lithium scenario is quite vivid. This rapidly growing demand has attracted new lithium players, but major producers are yet to make significant production cuts.

Explore here to learn everything about what’s happening with lithium now: The Lithium Paradox: Price Plummet, Supply Surge, and Demand Dip – What’s Happening Now?

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How Did the EU Cut Over 8% of GHG Emissions in 2023?

How Did the EU Cut Over 8% of GHG Emissions in 2023?

The European Commission’s (EC) 2024 Climate Action Progress Report highlights significant strides in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions across the EU, with an 8.3% decrease in 2023. This marks one of the largest non-COVID-related declines in recent history, driven largely by a 24% reduction in emissions from electricity production and heating. 

Trading Carbon, Saving the Planet: How EU ETS Drives Climate Action

What makes such a significant reduction in EU emissions possible is the bloc’s Emissions Trading System (ETS). The ETS is a key policy tool that slashes GHG emissions across several high-emitting sectors. It applies the polluter pays principle, holding companies accountable for their emissions in these key sectors:

  • Electricity and heat generation,
  • Industrial manufacturing, 
  • Aviation, and 
  • Maritime transport

Together, these sectors account for about 40% of the EU’s total emissions. 

Launched in 2005, the ETS has been a cornerstone of the EU’s climate strategy and 2050 net zero goals

Achievements of the EU ETS

According to the report, by 2023, the EU ETS had significantly driven down emissions in its covered sectors. Key accomplishments include:

  • 47.6% emissions reduction in electricity, heat generation, and industrial manufacturing compared to 2005
  • Raised over €200 billion through allowance auctions, with €43.6 billion generated in 2023. Member States have used these funds to:
    • Support renewable energy projects.
    • Improve energy efficiency.
    • Develop low-emission transport solutions.

The 2023 revision of the EU ETS Directive introduced significant updates. As of June 2023, Member States are now required to direct all ETS revenue (or an equivalent amount) toward climate action and energy transformation. This includes measures to address the social impacts of the green transition.

Non-ETS sectors like buildings, agriculture, transport, and waste saw modest reductions, driven by a 5.5% decrease in building sector emissions. The EU’s carbon sinks in the Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry (LULUCF) sector increased by 8.5%. This raise reverses a decade-long decline, though further efforts are needed to meet long-term targets.

The Transition Powering Europe’s Emissions Drop

Provisional 2023 data of the EC report shows that the region is on track to meet its goal of cutting GHG emissions by at least 55% by 2030, compared to 1990 levels. To stay on target, the EU needs to reduce emissions by an annual average of 134 million tonnes of CO₂ until 2030. That is slightly more than the 120 million tonnes reduced annually between 2017 and 2023. 

EU GHG net emissions, projections and targets
Source: EU Climate Action Progress Report 2024

Achieving this goal will require fully enforcing climate policies and increasing investments. After 2030, the focus will shift to tougher industries and boosting carbon removal to reach net zero by 2050.

In 2023, greenhouse gas emissions saw their largest annual drop in decades, apart from the COVID-19 pandemic year of 2020. By the end of the year, total net emissions were 37% lower than in 1990, while the economy grew by 68% over the same period. This highlights the ongoing decoupling of emissions from economic growth, showing it’s possible to reduce emissions while expanding the economy.

EU GHG Net Emissions (EU Target Scope) and By Sector

EU GHG net emissions (EU target scope) and by sector
Source: EU Climate Action Progress Report 2024

The report attributes the 8.3% emissions drop to a strong transition to renewable energy sources, particularly wind and solar, which now supply nearly 45% of EU electricity. Moreover, electricity and heat supply fell slightly by 3.1% and 2.3%, respectively. 

Preliminary data shows renewables became the top electricity source, generating 44.7%, compared to 32.5% from fossil fuels and 22.8% from nuclear. Hydropower and nuclear energy also rebounded.  

Additionally, gas has replaced coal in many cases, resulting in a 20% reduction in fossil fuel-generated electricity compared to 2022.

The EU’s ambitious climate goals are embedded in the European Green Deal and the 2021 European Climate Law. Its 2050 net zero goal includes a binding target of a 55% reduction in GHG emissions by 2030 relative to 1990 levels. This target is supported by the “Fit-for-55” legislative package, which includes expanding the EU ETS to cover more carbon-intensive sectors. The goal is to create further economic incentives to reduce emissions.

Economic Growth and Climate Action, Together

While the EU has already achieved a substantial emissions reduction, the report underscores ongoing challenges. 

For instance, emissions from the EU ETS-covered aviation sector rose by 9.5% while other sectors showed slow progress in reductions. Agricultural emissions dropped by 2% and transport emissions by less than 1%. These figures indicate areas where the EU will need to accelerate efforts to meet future targets.

Looking ahead, the EU is contemplating a new emissions target for 2040, with the Commission recommending a 90% GHG reduction. Achieving this target would require an estimated €660 billion annually for energy systems and €870 billion per year in the transport sector. 

Priority investments would focus on decarbonizing industrial processes, enhancing energy efficiency, shifting towards electrification, and developing sustainable fuels for the transport sector.

As the EU prepares for global climate talk, COP29, Wopke Hoekstra, Commissioner for Climate Action, emphasized that the EU’s efforts showcase how economic growth and climate action can coexist. 

The report stresses the importance of climate resilience and international cooperation, particularly through the upcoming COP29. The bloc aims to lead in global climate finance and development assistance, contributing a third of global public climate funding.

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Navigating the Green Hydrogen Hype: IRENA’s Take on the “Silver Bullet” vs. “Champagne” Strategies

green hydrogen

From combating climate change to boosting economic competitiveness, green hydrogen offers multiple solutions to some of today’s biggest challenges. Significantly, it’s a zero-emission fuel that has the potential to transform the automobile industry.

As more countries embark on their hydrogen journey, there’s stiff competition riding for every nation. Governments are apprehensive about not missing out on anything. This means each nation wants to set ambitious goals and is under pressure to keep up.

However, a rush to adopt hydrogen policies without careful consideration can lead to misguided investments. This phenomenon named “siren call,” by IRENA, has a high risk of policy failure if pursued without a realistic assessment of local capabilities and requirements.

Therefore, countries that align their hydrogen strategies with specific policy drivers are most likely to succeed in a robust and resilient hydrogen sector.

Green Hydrogen Strategy: “Silver Bullet” vs. “Champagne” Approach

IRENA has decoded an interesting way to explain the diverse national hydrogen strategies that are in place. The two major perspectives are the “silver bullet” and the “champagne” approaches. Each approach represents a distinct stance on the role of hydrogen in achieving decarbonization goals and informs how policy and investments shape the sector.

The “Silver Bullet” Approach: Hydrogen Everywhere, All at Once

The “silver bullet” approach positions hydrogen as a flexible, wide-reaching solution, with applications spanning from heavy industry to residential heating. Nations that support this approach view climate change as a pressing issue that demands exploring all possible pathways to cut emissions.

IRENA emphasized that this strategy leans on a “free-market mindset”, where policymakers are involved in the following roles:

  • balance supply and demand
  • set up market structures
  • support the development of necessary infrastructure.

Furthermore, the “silver bullet” approach encourages early investments in hydrogen transport and storage. This is because such nations consider adopting these two mechanisms broadly across all sectors.

For example, countries like Australia, Canada, and the United Kingdom often embrace the “silver bullet” approach. These nations, which produce fossil fuels, see potential in developing and exporting blue hydrogen and are already investing in decarbonization across industries.

Having production-based economies and access to advanced technologies, these countries support hydrogen as a key driver of their sustainability goals. All the more, they aim to decarbonize areas like building heating and transportation with the “silver bullet” approach.

The “Champagne” Approach: Hydrogen for Specific High-Value Uses

In contrast, the “champagne” approach is a more cautious way of viewing green hydrogen. Simply put it is considered costly and risky compared to other established solutions. This approach advocates using hydrogen selectively in areas where alternatives are limited or cannot be accessed. The purpose is to avoid diverting resources from the proven technologies that are already being used.

Countries with strong renewable energy resources, such as Austria and Kenya, generally favor this view. For them, the hydrogen strategy focuses on decarbonizing high-energy industries or sectors like aviation and maritime, where electrification remains a challenge.

Elaborating further, the “champagne” approach is a reflection of the industrial policy mindset, with policymakers playing an active role in shaping hydrogen development. In this, investments mainly focus on applications where other decarbonization options aren’t viable.

IRENA revealed that Austria prioritizes hydrogen for high-temperature industrial processes and aviation. The country optimizes hydrogen use within a broader energy transition strategy, making the shift to green energy both practical and sustainable.

A quick summary of these two approaches is below:

hydrogen IRENASource: IRENA

Key Drivers Fueling Green Hydrogen Development

As mentioned at the beginning, various drivers are pushing governments to support green hydrogen. So, what are the main motivators behind hydrogen’s growing role?

hydrogen IRENA

The Hard-to-Abate Sectors

While electrification can lower emissions in some areas, certain industries, like steel, cement, and chemicals, are challenging to decarbonize and involve energy-intensive processes. This is why these “hard-to-abate” sectors need alternatives beyond direct electrification. Notably, green hydrogen offers a promising low-carbon solution for this sector.

However, beyond industry use, there are many more economic opportunities through the production of hydrogen-related components, like compressors and control units, etc.

The countries focused on green industrialization- be it through the “silver-bullet” or “champagne” approach are keen to use green hydrogen in their national strategies.

 A Sustainable Economy

Countries that depend on fossil fuels are now looking to green hydrogen as a way to sustain their economies. By using renewable resources, these nations can develop new export markets focused on green hydrogen. Even countries without a long history in fossil fuels are also exploring hydrogen exports to meet rising global demand and diversify their revenue sources.

Subsequently, this shows the flexible nature of hydrogen- meaning it can be produced worldwide. This diversification reduces geopolitical risks and gives nations more control over their energy future.

Another significant thing is energy security, especially for nations reliant on imported fuels. Therefore, developing a robust domestic green hydrogen supply can help these countries reduce imports, stabilize energy prices, and lower their vulnerability to global market changes.

Long-Term Renewable Energy Storage

As renewable energy usage increases, seasonal fluctuations can create power supply issues. Hydrogen offers a solution for large-scale, long-term storage, helping balance renewable power systems.

When energy production exceeds demand, the surplus electricity can be used to produce hydrogen which can be stored for the future. This capability is essential for countries transitioning to renewables, as it helps avoid power waste and reduces risks associated with variable renewable energy supplies.

Image: Common uses of long-term energy scenarios

hydrogen

Improving Urban Air Quality

As hydrogen fuel cell vehicles emit no pollutants they offer a cleaner alternative to diesel and gasoline vehicles. This is especially valuable in cities with high pollution levels.

Apart from the U.S., U.K., and Australia, China is also promoting hydrogen in mobility projects to cut oil dependence and reduce air pollution. This has a direct benefit on public health and the environment.

As these drivers create interest in hydrogen, each country designs its strategy to match its unique energy needs, resources, policy goals, and most importantly its budget. However, the final aim is to create sustainable and resilient hydrogen ecosystems.

Source: IRENA Green Hydrogen Strategy Design 2024

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Canada’s Emissions Cap for Oil & Gas: Will It Cut Carbon or Curb Production?

Canada’s Emissions Cap for Oil & Gas: Will It Cut Carbon or Curb Production?

Canada’s upcoming emissions cap on the oil and gas sector aims to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 37% by 2030 from 2022 levels. However, the energy industry and provinces like Alberta are strongly opposing it. 

The plan, unveiled Monday, introduces a cap-and-trade system designed to encourage higher-polluting firms to invest in emissions-reduction projects while recognizing better-performing companies. The intent to cap the oil and gas industry was first revealed during the COP28 last year in Dubai. 

Beyond Black Gold: A Green Transition?

Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault clearly emphasized the importance of this move, stating that:

“Every sector of the economy in Canada should be doing its fair share when it comes to limiting our country’s greenhouse gas pollution, and that includes the oil and gas sector. We are asking oil and gas companies who have made record profits in recent years to reinvest some of that money into technology that will reduce pollution in the oil and gas sector and create jobs for Canadian workers and businesses. ”

Canada’s oil and gas sector contributed 31% of the country’s total emissions in 2022, per the latest National Inventory Report. It is the largest emitting sector, followed by the transportation and buildings sectors.

Canada GHG emissions by sector 2022

High Stakes in the Oil Sands

In 2022, Canada’s oil sands led to oil and gas emissions of 87 megatonnes or 40% of the sector’s total. The sector’s emissions have largely been driven by increased production. 

Since 1990, Canada’s total crude oil output surged by 193%, primarily fueled by oil sand operations, which grew over 800% and accounted for 80% of this production increase. This growth underscores the oil sands’ significant impact on Canada’s total emissions.

change in Canada oil and gas sector GHG emissions
Source: National Inventory Report

These major carbon emitters are largely concentrated in the provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan, where oil sands and natural gas production are prevalent. Here are a few key players, with their latest GHG emissions reported and net zero goals. 

Suncor Energy Inc.

One of Canada’s largest integrated energy companies, Suncor operates in Alberta’s oil sands, where its extraction and processing activities generate significant emissions. The oil major’s GHG emissions totaled almost 35 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO₂e) in 2022. 

Suncor aims to achieve net zero in its operations by 2050 and cut emissions by 10 megatonnes across the value chain by 2030. The company has been actively pursuing emissions reduction initiatives, including investments in carbon capture and renewable energy.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNRL)

CNRL is among Canada’s top oil sands producers and one of the largest carbon emitters in the country, releasing over 23 million MtCO₂e in 2022. They are a key member of the Pathways Alliance, along with Suncor, which aims to build carbon capture and storage (CCS) networks to reduce sector emissions.

The energy firm commits to reducing its carbon footprint by 40% in Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions by 2035m compared with the 2020 baseline. It also targets to reach net zero emissions by 2050. 

Imperial Oil Limited

A major player in the oil sands and petrochemical industries, Imperial Oil operates facilities with large carbon footprints, including open-pit mining and in-situ extraction operations. It has also partnered with CCS initiatives to cut emissions.

The oil major aims to hit net-zero scope 1 and 2 emissions, from operated assets by 2050. Its emissions totaled 8.9 million MtCO₂e in 2021.

Cenovus Energy Inc.

Known for its oil sands and conventional oil operations, Cenovus has significant emissions, especially from its steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) operations. Cenovus is also part of the Pathways Alliance, focusing on long-term decarbonization.

The company aims to slash GHG emissions to net zero by 2050, with 18.2 million MtCO₂e produced in 2022. 

How Canada’s Emissions Cap Could Redefine Oil & Gas

Canada’s proposed emissions cap for the sector focuses on emissions rather than limiting production. These regulations are informed by discussions with industry, Indigenous communities, provinces, territories, and other stakeholders and are designed to align with achievable technical measures, per the government’s statement. This approach allows for production growth, with Environment and Climate Change Canada projecting a 16% production increase by 2030-2032 from 2019 levels, assuming companies implement decarbonization measures.

The pollution cap will regulate upstream oil and gas facilities—including offshore and liquefied natural gas (LNG) production—which account for roughly 85% of the sector’s emissions. Activities covered include: 

  • oil sands extraction and upgrading, 
  • conventional oil production, natural gas processing, and 
  • LNG production. 

As the world’s 4th-largest oil and 5th-largest gas producer, Canada aims to stay competitive in a decarbonizing global market. With demand for low-pollution fuels expected to grow, the emissions cap is positioned to help Canadian oil and gas producers adapt to shifting global demand while supporting national emissions targets.

As Canada targets a 40-45% emissions reduction below 2005 levels by 2030, it’s clear that the energy sector, which accounts for over a quarter of all emissions, is key to achieving its climate goal. 

Tug of War Over Emissions Limits

The cap on emissions, however, is being criticized by Alberta and the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP), who argue it’s essentially a production cap. They contend the policy could drive up prices, eliminate up to 150,000 jobs, and cost Canada’s economy up to C$1 trillion (US$720 billion). 

Alberta’s opposition reflects broader industry concerns that Canada could become the only major oil and gas-producing country capping emissions. They noted that this could potentially harm the nation’s competitiveness.

Greenpeace Canada’s Keith Stewart expressed that oil companies haven’t invested enough in pollution-reducing measures, underscoring the need for a strict cap. Conversely, Deloitte’s June analysis suggests that the cap may drive companies to cut production rather than adopt costly technologies like CCS, a solution proposed by some as a way to curb emissions without reducing output.

As the debate intensifies, it highlights the tension between ambitious climate policies and economic impacts on the energy sector and provincial economies. The final plan and its reception will be pivotal in shaping Canada’s climate and energy future.

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Will Trump’s Re-Election Threaten Global Climate Progress Ahead of COP29 Talks?

Will Trump’s Re-Election Threaten Global Climate Progress Ahead of COP29 Talks?

Donald Trump’s recent election win has cast doubt over global climate efforts, with his victory sending ripples through the international community just a few days before the COP29 climate talks in Baku. Trump, who previously pulled the U.S. out of the Paris Agreement, has hinted at doing the same again. This is especially true given his pro-oil and gas stance in climate policy

His victory speech highlighted America’s vast reserves of “liquid gold,” emphasizing the country’s oil and gas resources over renewable energy alternatives. This move has caused climate activists to be concerned about how the world’s largest economy will respond to the climate crisis.

America’s “Drill, Baby, Drill” Resurgence with Trump’s Victory

Donald Trump’s victory signals a shift in U.S. climate policy, as he aims to undo numerous environmental actions implemented under Biden. In Dan Eberhart words, CEO of Canary LLC, Trump as the new president means: 

“You are looking at, overall, a ‘drill baby drill’ philosophy.” 

Bloomberg reported that Trump’s plans include reversing EV subsidies, limiting EPA pollution rules, and boosting fossil fuel production. Moreover, Trump could challenge Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act by modifying tax credits for clean energy, potentially making them harder to access or more favorable to fossil fuels. 

Internationally, Trump may withdraw the U.S. from the Paris Agreement and the upcoming UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29). This would also mean sidelining the nation from climate negotiations while encouraging other countries to weaken their own emission goals. 

Meanwhile, some U.S. states and local governments are preparing alternative strategies to uphold climate progress, including discussions with Chinese officials to maintain subnational climate cooperation. Climate activists and leaders are also strategizing around Trump’s presidency to mitigate potential setbacks to climate action globally.

Will the EU Rise to the Challenge and Take Charge?

Many are now eyeing the European Union (EU) to fill the leadership void with the U.S. potentially stepping back. Climate Action Network Europe’s director, Chiara Martinelli, stressed the EU’s moral responsibility to address climate issues head-on. 

She also pointed out that the EU must support climate action in vulnerable regions, especially in the Global South. Countries in this region suffer the most from climate impacts despite contributing the least to the crisis.

  • COP29 is expected to focus heavily on establishing a new financial framework to assist poorer nations with their climate adaptation and transition efforts. 

COP29 Baku Azerbaijan

Laurence Tubiana, a former French climate diplomat who played a key role in the 2015 Paris Agreement, said the situation is reminiscent of Trump’s first withdrawal. However, she noted that today’s landscape is more favorable for renewable energy and environmental policy. This could help keep the momentum going, even without full U.S. involvement.

With Trump’s victory, the EU faces a renewed call to step up as the world’s climate leader. Patrick ten Brink, head of the European Environmental Bureau, noted that Trump’s administration has a record of environmental rollbacks, from weakening protections to supporting fossil fuels. With this, Brink remarked that: 

“With Donald Trump’s re-election, the EU must recognize the urgency of stepping up and scaling up as the global leader in climate and environmental policy.”

To solidify its stance, the EU must maintain a visible presence at COP29 to ensure that it actively participates and leads in policy discussions. Brink emphasized that Europe should also bolster its efforts to move forward with climate initiatives like Fit-for-55 and the European Green Deal. They aim to slash greenhouse gas emissions by 55% by 2030 and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050.

How Does Trump’s Climate Stance Could Impact COP29?

In light of Trump’s apparent opposition to climate action, there are fears that other countries might also avoid commitments if they see the U.S. walking away from the Paris Agreement again. Already, there are reports that leaders from major emitters will not while some may not attend COP29.

Europe’s lawmakers hope the U.S. stance will not derail global climate ambitions. Trump’s influence might inspire some hesitation, but the global shift toward green technology and renewables provides an economic and environmental incentive that is difficult to ignore. 

Adding to these concerns, the recent announcement that European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will not attend COP29 has sparked debates about EU leadership. French President Emmanuel Macron is also notably absent from the attendee list. 

Nonetheless, the EU Parliament plans to send a delegation, including Dutch lawmaker Mohammed Chahim. He commented on the “troubling signals” from the U.S. but encouraged climate policy advocates not to lose hope.

Chahim pointed out that the U.S. is not monolithic in its climate stance. Despite Trump’s previous exit from the Paris Agreement, American cities, states, and non-governmental organizations continued to engage in climate diplomacy. With green technologies now more affordable and financial incentives linked to emissions reductions, the U.S. may find it challenging to resist the green agenda, Chahim noted. 

With COP29 just around the corner, there’s renewed urgency for the participating nations to act decisively. The conference will attempt to strengthen financial commitments and establish a new goal to support the global south. 

Despite the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. involvement, COP29 organizers hope to secure meaningful agreements, with or without the backing of the world’s largest economy.

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ENGIE Powers Up Meta: New 260 MW Solar Deal Fuels Net-Zero Goals

META

On October 31, ENGIE North America (ENGIE) announced signing a deal to supply 260 MW of renewable energy to Meta from its Sypert Branch solar project in Milam County Texas.

Dave Carroll, Chief Renewables Officer and SVP of ENGIE North America remarked on the announcement,

“We are delighted to announce this agreement to work with Meta by providing renewable power that supports their growth and aligns with their net zero commitments. We are proud that ENGIE’s proven track record in developing, building and operating renewable assets puts us at the forefront of the energy transition and this agreement with Meta recognizes the importance of that track record to our customers.”

Unlocking the Meta-ENGIE Solar Deal

The deal was facilitated through Meta’s Environmental Attributes Purchase Agreement (EAPA) with ENGIE to secure renewable energy from the Sypert Branch solar project in Milam County, Texas. The project is located 70 miles northeast of Austin and just 10 miles from Meta’s Temple data center.

Meta will purchase 100% of the output from the 260 MW facility through this deal. The solar power will help meet its growing energy demands and support its ambitious net-zero goals. Notably, this agreement expands Meta’s renewable energy portfolio to over 12 GW worldwide.

Urvi Parekh, Head of Clean Energy at Meta said,

“We are delighted to be collaborating with ENGIE to make the clean energy transition a reality through projects like Sypert Branch. Since 2020, we have maintained net zero emissions in our global operations – these efforts are supported by relationships such as those with ENGIE who can consistently deliver and operate projects like Sypert Branch to help meet our energy needs.”

Meta’s Path to Net Zero: Leading with Renewable Energy

Meta achieved net zero emissions across its global operations in 2020.

Remarkably, the social media giant slashed emissions by 94% from a 2017 baseline. They achieved this by backing their data centers and offices with 100% renewable energy. Since 2018, these renewable energy efforts have mitigated Meta’s greenhouse gas emissions by over 12.3 million metric tons of CO₂e.

META

Source: Meta

100% Renewable Energy

Meta’s commitment to renewable energy is evident as it has partnered with the top utilities in the U.S. to integrate renewable energy into their systems. The goal is to benefit the company and its customers.

The tech giant has a portfolio of over 10,000 megawatts (MW) of contracted renewable energy projects. This makes Meta one of the largest corporate buyers of renewable energy worldwide. 

Earlier CarbonCredits reported:

  • In the U.S., Meta boasts the largest operating portfolio, with more than 5,500 MW of renewable energy capacity currently online. Meta’s renewable energy projects represent an estimated $14.2 billion in capital investment for new infrastructure. 

Meta’s sustainability report further explains that it carefully selects projects on local grids near its data centers to help communities transition to clean energy. For centers in states like Virginia, Oregon, and New Mexico, Meta partners with utilities to establishgreen tariffs.This helps achieve 100% renewable energy within each utility’s territory.

Sypert Branch Solar Project: Boosting Economic and Community Growth

ENGIE developed the Sypert Branch solar project and will also construct and operate it by the end of 2025. The press release also highlighted that this deal brings ENGIE closer to its goal of nearly 1 GW in signed corporate PPAs in the U.S. in 2024 alone.

As a leading global renewable energy provider, ENGIE is widely recognized for its success in selling corporate energy PPAs. Overall, this project will add to Engie’s impressive renewable portfolio of 8 GW across North America, including solar, wind, and battery storage.

Furthermore, the Sypert Branch project is expected to transform the Milam County economy. The construction process itself can imbibe more than 300 workers and generate $69 million in tax revenue throughout the project timeline. ENGIE also noted that a significant part of this revenue will go toward developing schools in the district to support the local community.

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Nickel Could Be the Key to U.S. Energy Independence: Alaska Energy Metals’ Strategic Role

With the U.S. aiming for energy independence Alaska’s mineral-rich deposits could play a crucial role in reducing reliance on imports. In this rise-in-demand scenario, Canadian mining company Alaska Energy Metals (AEM) sees a solution to explore Alaska’s underground deposits of nickel.

Greg Beischer, President, CEO, and Director of AEM, expressed optimism, saying,

 “We should be working harder to increase our domestic resources and secure a domestic supply chain.”

Let’s deep dive into the progress the company is making under Mr. Beischer’s determined leadership and the ambitious plans it has to boost the U.S. nickel supply.

Why Nickel and Other Critical Minerals Are Essential

The U.S. Department of Energy has identified 18 minerals as critical to energy technology and nickel is one of them having paramount importance.

While nickel’s commercial use spans stainless steel production and jet and turbine components, its growing role in EV batteries has elevated its demand. This makes nickel one of the most sought-after materials in the clean energy transition.

Despite its importance, the United States currently lacks a domestic source for nickel production, which represents a significant vulnerability in the supply chain. Thus, establishing domestic nickel production could boost supply chain resilience and support the nation’s transition to a more sustainable economy.

Nickel CarbonCredits

AEM’s Endeavor: Building a Sustainable Nickel Supply Chain

AEM’s flagship endeavor, the Nikolai deposit, is a sprawling 23,000-acre site in Alaska’s southern foothills. This deposit holds not only nickel but also copper, cobalt, platinum, and palladium—all minerals deemed critical by the U.S. Department of Energy.

Mr. Beischer emphasized that Nikolai’s deposits containing multiple metals are essential for boosting the domestic supply chain.

AEM nikolai
Source: AEM

New Resource Estimates and Project Progress

Since AEM began exploring the Nikolai deposit, their findings have surpassed initial expectations. Mr. Beischer noted,

“As a result of the drilling we did in summer 2023, along with the historical information for the project that we had purchased, we were able to calculate a mineral resource estimate that was really quite substantial—in fact, bigger than we had really imagined would be possible.”

  • The company’s revised estimates indicate a resource size of 3.9 billion pounds in indicated nickel and 4.2 billion pounds in inferred resources.

These findings mark a significant increase from AEM’s initial projections of around 3 billion pounds.

However, he clarified that the revised estimate does not guarantee the full recovery of these metals. Initial testing has begun, but results show that only about 50 to 55 percent of the metal may actually be recovered.

The company revealed that the 2024 drilling season, which began in July, and covered approximately 4,000 meters is consistent with last year’s scope. However, recent market conditions for nickel held back the project’s expansion.

Mr. Beischer highlighted,

“The flooding of nickel into the market from Indonesia and Chinese-backed operations has depressed nickel prices.”

So, we can see that this supply surge from China and Indonesia has directly impacted nickel prices which in turn affected AEM’s share value and limited the financing options.

He further explained that as a consequence the company has been unable to expand its drilling program as initially anticipated. However, the project is progressing steadily despite the challenges.

The nickel miner remains committed to its goals, gathering data for essential baseline environmental studies. Most significantly, the company is optimistic about achieving the key project milestones. Additionally, it aims to complete a preliminary economic assessment by the end of 2025 and is also considering a pre-feasibility study if all goes in favor.

Securing Funds for Faster Growth

The Nikolai project is crucial for AEM and has immense nickel potential in the future. This is why the company is exploring funding opportunities which also includes applying for a Department of Defense (DOD) grant that could help expedite planning and exploration.

As the project is still in its early development, it aspires to build external partnerships and engage major investors. Mr. Beischer further explained,

“There are no local big investors or any notable company or major funder. It’s a little early. Typically, you’re going to want to see a bit more advancement, like you’ve done at least a preliminary economic assessment before they’d be putting in bigger dollars. Ultimately, we want a strategic partner that can help with the heavier financial interest but also bring expertise that we might not have in-house.”

Mr. Beischer strongly believes that it makes much sense to have the Nikolai Project located on U.S. soil, where the environmental standards are among the highest in the world.

Last but not least, his commitment goes beyond mineral extraction. From a broader perspective, Alaska Energy Metals seeks to fortify U.S. self-sufficiency in critical minerals while contributing to a cleaner, low-carbon future.


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What is COP29 and Why Is It Hailed as The “Finance COP”?

What is COP29 and Why Is It Hailed as The “Finance COP”?

As climate change worsens, the UN’s 29th annual climate conference, a.k.a. COP29, taking place from November 11 to 22, 2024, in Baku, Azerbaijan, is a crucial chance to boost global efforts to tackle this problem. With the world experiencing severe weather events and record-high emissions, the summit will focus on vital topics like climate funding, national goals, and ways to deal with climate damage.

Nearly 200 countries will gather, and what happens here will shape international climate policies for years to come. Let’s break down all the important details you should know about this crucial climate talk. 

What Are the Main Goals of COP29?

COP29 is expected to be a major event for climate discussions, focusing on improving financial support for developing countries, increasing transparency, and setting strong climate goals. The summit aims to bring countries together to speed up the implementation of the Paris Agreement while tackling the intensifying impacts of climate change due to rising greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

Global Carbon Emissions in 2023

global carbon emissions 2023
Source: Liu, Z., Deng, Z., Davis, S.J. et al. Global carbon emissions in 2023. Nat Rev Earth Environ 5, 253–254 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00532-2

How Will Climate Funding Be Discussed at COP29?

Known as the “Finance COP,” COP29 will review climate funding for the first time in 15 years. The goal is to create a new target (NCQG) to replace the old goal of raising $100 billion annually by 2020, set during the 2009 Copenhagen Conference. 

This new goal is important for helping vulnerable countries invest in clean energy and build resilience against climate impacts.

Negotiators will discuss key questions, like how much funding is needed, the timeline for achieving this goal, and what types of financial help are required. Initial talks suggest that the new goal could involve a mix of public and private funding sources. This creates a broad approach to climate finance.

A stronger climate funding goal will be vital for countries to enhance their climate commitments and create effective strategies. For instance, nations like India and Indonesia have stated that they need significant financial resources to meet their climate targets while still promoting economic growth.

Setting up reliable funding mechanisms will help build trust among nations, encouraging cooperation and dedication to global climate efforts.

What New Climate Goals Can We Expect at COP29?

Another important part of COP29 will be the expected announcements of new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) ahead of the 2025 deadline. These contributions are essential for global efforts to fight climate change under the Paris Agreement. Major polluters, like Brazil, the UK, and the UAE, are likely to announce stronger goals for reducing GHG emissions.

Next-generation NDCs must set clear, ambitious targets for 2030 and 2035, which are critical for keeping global temperature rise within the 1.5 degrees Celsius limit. These commitments should include specific emissions reductions for different sectors, and guiding policies across energy, transportation, and agriculture. 

Clearly communicating these targets will also signal to investors the direction of climate finance, influencing funding toward low-carbon projects.

For example, the European Union plans to increase its climate ambitions, aiming for a 55% reduction in emissions by 2030. Similarly, the United States is expected to reaffirm its goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050, promoting significant investments in renewable energy and technological innovation.

How Will COP29 Address Loss and Damage?

As the climate crisis grows, some impacts go beyond what vulnerable countries can adapt to, making funding for “loss and damage” urgent. 

At COP28 in Dubai last year, the Fund for Responding to Loss and Damage was created to support developing nations hit by climate disasters. However, only $700 million has been pledged so far. That’s far less than the estimated $580 billion in damages vulnerable countries may face by 2030.

At COP29, developed nations are called upon to announce additional contributions to close this funding gap, ensuring that support reaches communities most affected by climate change. This funding is crucial for addressing immediate needs, such as rebuilding infrastructure and providing disaster relief, as well as long-term investments in resilience and adaptation.

For instance, countries like Pakistan and Bangladesh, which have faced severe floods and storms, require substantial international support to recover and strengthen their ability to withstand future climate impacts. Mobilizing resources for loss and damage will help these nations and reinforce the solidarity needed for effective global climate action.

What Is Needed to Close the Adaptation Finance Gap?

Closing the adaptation finance gap, estimated at $194-$366 billion per year, is another key goal for COP29.

The Climate Policy Initiative estimates that to align with the Paris Agreement, global climate finance must reach $9 trillion annually by 2030. Analysts estimate that the $9 trillion has to rise to over $10 trillion annually from 2031 to 2050 as shown below.

climate financing gap 2030 - 2050

Europe, in particular, faces substantial investment needs, requiring €800 billion for energy infrastructure by 2030 to meet its climate goals. By 2050, the region’s total green transition investment will need to reach €2.5 trillion, reflecting the scale of resources essential to achieve a sustainable and climate-resilient future.

Many developing countries are disproportionately affected by climate impacts but often lack the necessary financial resources to implement adaptation strategies. Countries have committed to doubling adaptation finance by 2025 as part of the Glasgow Climate Pact.

Negotiators will work to strengthen the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) at COP29 to ensure effective tracking of progress and financing. The GGA aims to enhance resilience and reduce vulnerability to climate impacts globally. 

Countries will be encouraged to share their experiences and best practices in adaptation, promoting a collaborative approach to tackle common challenges.

How Can Carbon Markets Be Used for Climate Action?

The summit will also look at international carbon markets under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, allowing countries to trade carbon credits. Finalizing the rules for these markets is essential to ensure they help reduce global emissions effectively.

Carbon markets can motivate countries to cut emissions by allowing those with extra credits to sell them to those who need them. However, negotiators must resolve key issues regarding how credits are authorized and ensure environmental safeguards are in place. Clear guidelines on credit accounting and environmental integrity will be crucial for making these markets successful.

Countries like Costa Rica and Chile have already made significant progress in using carbon markets to fund their climate initiatives. Establishing solid carbon pricing mechanisms can drive investment in renewable energy projects and encourage sustainable practices across various sectors.

What Role Will Transparency Play at COP29?

COP29 will be a crucial moment for putting into action the enhanced transparency framework of the Paris Agreement. Countries must submit their first biennial transparency reports detailing their efforts to reduce emissions and their financial support needs. 

The Azerbaijani presidency has started the Baku Global Climate Transparency Platform to help developing countries manage this process. This platform aims to support capacity-building efforts and provide technical help to countries struggling with reporting requirements. 

Transparency is vital for building trust among nations and ensuring accountability in climate actions. By improving transparency, COP29 will create an inclusive environment where all countries can share progress, challenges, and lessons learned.

How Will Non-State Actors Participate in COP29?

Another important part of COP29 will be the involvement of non-state actors, including businesses, civil society organizations, and indigenous groups. Their participation is crucial for driving climate action at local, national, and global levels. 

  • The role of private sector investment in financing climate solutions is essential, so engagement from business leaders will be vital in shaping the discussions at COP29.

Events like the Climate Business Forum will give private sector actors platforms to showcase innovative solutions and collaborate with governments. Companies that have made strong climate commitments will be encouraged to share their best practices and engage in dialogues about scaling up their efforts.

How Will COP29 Address Climate Justice and Equity?

A key theme for COP29 will be addressing climate justice and equity. The effects of climate change are not distributed evenly; vulnerable communities often suffer the most from climate-related disasters despite contributing the least to greenhouse gas emissions. 

The summit must highlight the importance of fair climate action that prioritizes the needs of marginalized populations.

Discussions will likely focus on ensuring that climate funding reaches those most affected by climate change, including women, youth, and indigenous peoples. Involving these communities in decision-making will be vital for creating solutions that are effective and culturally relevant.

Can COP29 Create a Historic Opportunity for Climate Action?

COP29 presents a unique chance to raise global climate ambition and secure essential funding for sustainable development. A strong financial outcome will empower vulnerable nations to pursue low-carbon strategies while enhancing resilience to climate threats. 

The success of COP29 will rely on negotiators’ ability to overcome political divisions and prioritize the urgent need for climate action. By establishing a new climate finance goal, strengthening national commitments, addressing loss and damage, and improving transparency, COP29 can ignite meaningful progress in the global fight against climate change.

As the summit approaches, the world watches with hope and expectation, eager for this gathering of nations to produce the concrete actions and commitments needed to prevent the worst effects of climate change.

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IEA Predicts 90% Drop in Shipping Emissions by 2050. Can Maersk’s Bio-Methanol Deal be a Game-Changer?

Maersk

The shipping industry is an integral part of international trade. Over the past 40 years, global maritime trade has increased 10X in value. Just like other transportation sectors aviation and auto, shipping also has some level of carbon emissions.

In the Announced Pledges Scenario (APS), shipping emissions could fall significantly. IEA predicts by 2035, emissions from international shipping may drop by nearly 60%, and by 2050, they could fall by more than 90%.

This shift is expected as the shipping industry adopts cleaner fuels like biofuels, ammonia, and methanol. By 2050, low-carbon fuels may power over 80% of global shipping.

shipping IEA

The Two-Way Approach to Decarbonizing Shipping

Decarbonizing the shipping industry is crucial for meeting global emissions targets. Currently, two primary strategies are in place which are enhancing energy efficiency and transitioning to low-emissions fuels. These approaches offer complementary benefits and can significantly reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

Boosting Energy Efficiency in Shipping

One of the simplest operational measures is “slow steaming,” which involves reducing the average speed of ships. This practice doesn’t require modifications to the vessels but can indirectly affect costs. While slow steaming can lower overall fuel consumption, it may also increase operational expenses due to a need for more ships to maintain the same shipping capacity. This is particularly significant for sectors relying on just-in-time delivery systems.

Many technologies to improve energy efficiency are already available. New regulations like the Carbon Intensity Index (CII) require ships to lower their emissions over time, encouraging both new ships and retrofits to adopt energy-saving features.

There are a variety of technical measures that can be implemented to improve a ship’s fuel efficiency. Some examples are:

  • Rigid Sails and Rotor Sails: Using wind for propulsion can reduce fuel usage.
  • Waste Heat Recovery: Capturing and reusing heat from the engine improves overall efficiency.
  • Anti-Fouling Hull Coatings: These prevent the growth of marine organisms on hulls, enhancing performance.
  • Hull Optimization: Streamlining hull shapes minimizes water resistance, boosting speed and efficiency.
  • Air Lubrication Systems: Generating microbubbles under the hull reduces friction.

Since 2010, the energy efficiency design of new ships has improved by 30-50%, driven by initiatives such as the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI). While current energy efficiency technologies are commercially available, they are not adopted very easily.

IEA predicts that efficiency gains of 5-10% or more by 2030 are feasible with highly advanced energy-efficient methods.

Now speaking about costs; the investment required for energy-efficient upgrades varies widely, but they often pay off through fuel savings. For instance, hull form optimization costs about $250,000 and can boost energy efficiency by 7.5%. More extensive retrofits, such as kite sails, can cost up to $1.2 million but offer smaller gains.

On the other hand, a new bulk carrier built with cutting-edge technology could be 40% more efficient than one built in 2023, while a retrofitted container ship could achieve about 30% in energy savings.

Transitioning to low-emission fuels

While improving energy efficiency is vital, it cannot completely eliminate emissions. This is why the shipping industry must also shift to low-emissions fuels to reach its net zero target.

Promising options for low-emission fuels are:

  • Biodiesel: Can be used in existing diesel engines with little modification.
  • Biomethane: A renewable alternative compatible with LNG engines.

These drop-in fuels have limitations based on the availability of sustainable biomass and high production costs. Despite being cheaper to implement, their overall costs may be higher due to market competition, particularly from aviation.

Advanced Alternatives: Methanol, Ammonia, and Hydrogen

  • Methanol: Gaining popularity, methanol-fueled vessels are on the rise. In 2023, the first methanol-fueled container ship with a dual-fuel engine began operation. However, methanol requires modifications to ship engines and tanks.
  • Ammonia: Although at a lower technology readiness level, ammonia offers a promising future due to its lack of carbon sourcing requirements. Approximately 20 ammonia-powered vessels are on order, with deliveries expected by 2026.
  • Hydrogen: Over 20 hydrogen-fueled vessels are currently operational or planned. Safety guidelines for hydrogen usage in shipping are being developed, aligned with those for ammonia.

Shipping companies will need to consider the total cost of ownership, including fuel costs over a vessel’s lifespan when deciding which fuel technology to adopt. While methanol may be cost-effective for smaller vessels, ammonia tends to be more economical for larger ships.

IEA

Future Emissions Trajectories

International maritime shipping emissions have risen sharply in recent years, with a peak of 0.67 Gt CO2 in 2023, accounting for around 2% of global energy-related CO2 emissions. Emissions reductions will heavily depend on policies that promote faster efficiency gains and the switch to low-emission fuels.

In a scenario aligned with the latest IMO GHG Strategy, emissions could be reduced by more than 90% by 2050 compared to 2023 levels, primarily through low-emissions fuels like ammonia.

As shipping activity is projected to increase significantly, implementing low-emission strategies becomes imperative. By 2040, fossil fuel use in shipping could drop from nearly 100% to less than 30%.

However, the transition to low-emission shipping technologies will require substantial investment and regulatory support. Nonetheless, the potential for significant emissions reductions makes it significant for the industry.

Maersk Seals Long-Term Bio-Methanol Deal to Achieve Zero-Emission in Shipping

Danish shipping giant A.P. Moller–Maersk has entered a long-term agreement with China’s LONGi Green Energy Technology Co Ltd to purchase bio-methanol. This partnership strengthens Maersk’s commitment to zero-emission shipping. The press release revealed that,

It will meet Maersk’s methanol sustainability requirements including at least 65% reductions in GHG emissions on a lifecycle basis compared to fossil fuels of 94 g CO2e/MJ. The bio-methanol supply is set to begin in 2026.

Bio-fuels and e-methanol are emerging as go-to alternatives for major fossil fuel users, such as the shipping industry, due to their scalability and potential for sustainable production.

However, Maersk highlighted that the substantial cost difference between fossil fuels and greener options remains a significant barrier, challenging the shipping industry’s progress toward adopting alternative fuels and achieving net-zero targets.

Disclaimer: Source of all data and images from IEA Energy Technology Perspective 2024

MUST READ: Can Nuclear Power Propel Maritime into a Zero-Emission Era? Maersk to Explore Nuclear for Ships 

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