EIA Expects Explosive Growth in U.S. Battery Storage—Can America Ascend to Dominance?
Battery storage systems play a crucial role in maintaining grid stability by balancing electricity supply and demand. They store energy from renewable sources like wind and solar, releasing it when needed, which helps to save power during low-demand periods. In this rapidly growing sector, lithium-ion batteries are taking the lead, driving the energy transition with their high efficiency and flexibility.
Utility-scale battery energy storage is booming across the United States. According to the latest report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), till July 2024, operators added 5 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity to the U.S. power grid, making a total available battery storage capacity more than 20.7 GW. Notably, developers plan to add 15 GW in 2024 and another 9 GW in 2025.
Source: EIA
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Lithium-ion batteries Lead the Charge
The U.S. power sector has overwhelmingly adopted lithium-ion batteries for energy storage. These batteries now account for over 90% of the global demand, outpacing their use in personal electronics. As the world transitions from fossil fuels, battery storage is crucial to improving energy efficiency and supporting clean energy adoption.
Energy storage, while not a primary electricity source, provides crucial backup power. It stores electricity generated from the grid or renewable sources, making it a key player in the renewable energy ecosystem. Batteries allow electricity produced during peak generation times to be stored and later supplied during peak demand periods, enhancing grid reliability and reducing energy losses.
Despite impressive growth, the battery storage sector faces several challenges. Supply chain disruptions, inflation, and delays in grid interconnection are slowing the pace of new projects. However, experts like energy analysts and battery enthusiasts expect these issues to improve by the end of this year, leading to an even faster deployment.
Michael Craig, a professor at the University of Michigan, emphasizes the need for rapid technological advancement to meet ambitious carbon-reduction goals. The EIA predicts that utility-scale battery storage will almost double by the end of 2024, a sign that the industry is moving in the right direction.
Battery Storage Set to Drive 60% of CO2 Reductions by 2030: IEA
Battery storage is becoming increasingly attractive as costs continue to fall. Companies like Tesla and Enphase are scaling their battery storage offerings to meet growing demand, driven by the rise of AI and data centers, which are expected to increase energy consumption dramatically.
According to industry projections, the global battery storage market will grow in leaps and bounds with the push for renewable energy adoption. By 2030, electric vehicles are expected to displace millions of barrels of oil daily, further boosting the need for large-scale energy storage solutions in the power sector.
As battery storage continues to expand, it is clear that this technology is a cornerstone of the energy transition, enabling the shift away from fossil fuels and toward a more sustainable, electrified future.
According to the IEA, to triple global renewable energy capacity by 2030, while ensuring electricity security, energy storage must grow six-fold. In the Net Zero Emissions (NZE) Scenario, storage capacity needs to reach 1,500 GW by 2030. Batteries will drive 90% of this expansion, growing 14-fold to 1,200 GW, supported by technologies like pumped storage and compressed air.
Source: IEA
This rapid growth requires battery deployment to rise 25% annually. Batteries are key, as they account for 60% of CO2 reductions in 2030, directly in EVs and solar PV, and indirectly through electrification and renewables.
Low-Cost Cathode Could Slash Lithium Battery Costs
A team led by Hailong Chen at Georgia Tech has developed a low-cost iron chloride (FeCl3) cathode for lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). This breakthrough could reduce electric vehicle (EV) costs, where batteries make nearly half the price. FeCl3 costs just 1-2% of traditional cathode materials like nickel and cobalt while delivering the same energy capacity, making it a game-changer for EVs and energy storage.
The FeCl3 cathode is not only cheaper but also provides higher voltage than popular alternatives like lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4). Chen’s team aims to push for all-solid-state LIBs, which could improve safety and efficiency. This could also enhance large-scale energy storage and strengthen the power grid.
Chen’s research, which began in 2019, shows FeCl3 as a scalable and eco-friendly option. The team expects the technology to be commercially available within five years, promising to reshape EVs and renewable energy storage with lower costs and greater sustainability.
Source: Hailong Chen and research team, Georgia Tech
BESS Market Poised for Explosive Growth by 2030, A McKinsey Report
The Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) market is rapidly growing, creating a huge opportunity for investors and companies. In 2022, over $5 billion was invested in BESS, nearly tripling from the previous year.
According to McKinsey, the global BESS market is projected to grow significantly, reaching between $120 billion and $150 billion by 2030—more than 2x its current size.
Source: McKinsey
Although the BESS market is expanding, it remains fragmented, leaving many companies uncertain about their next move. Now is the time for businesses to pinpoint the best opportunities and secure their position. With rising competition and increasing demand for renewable energy, companies must act swiftly to carve out their share of this booming market.
Key Strategies to Succeed in the BESS Market
McKinsey has come up with innovative solutions for companies to succeed in the dynamic BESS market:
They should focus on filling gaps in the value chain and prioritizing software development. System integrators can explore new opportunities by partnering with battery manufacturers, while battery makers can add integration services to target specific sectors. Additionally, investing in software that optimizes BESS performance will unlock larger markets and drive higher margins.
Strengthening supply chains and staying agile are also crucial. Companies need strategic partnerships and multi-sourcing options to manage supply disruptions. Smaller firms should act quickly, leverage their intellectual property, and take risks to stay competitive against larger players.
With global investments in BESS surging, reaching between $120 billion and $150 billion by 2030, companies need to identify the best opportunities and act decisively.
Source: McKinsey
Can the U.S. Dominate the Battery Energy Storage Market?
EIA has also estimated that U.S. battery storage capacity could increase by 89% by the end of 2024. This growth depends on developers bringing planned energy storage systems online by their intended commercial operation dates.
Currently, developers aim to expand U.S. battery capacity to over 30 gigawatts (GW) by the end of 2024. This would surpass the capacity of petroleum liquids, geothermal, wood and wood waste, and landfill gas.
California and Texas dominate the battery storage market. California leads with 7.3 GW of installed battery storage, followed by Texas with 3.2 GW. Significantly, Vistra’s facility in Moss Landing, California, is currently the largest, with 750 megawatts (MW).
By 2025, developers expect to complete over 300 utility-scale battery storage projects across the U.S., with Texas accounting for about 50% of the planned capacity. The five largest battery storage projects set to come online in 2024 or 2025 include:
Lunis Creek BESS SLF (Texas, 621 MW)
Clear Fork Creek BESS SLF (Texas, 600 MW)
Hecate Energy Ramsey Storage (Texas, 500 MW)
Bellefield Solar and Energy Storage Farm (California, 500 MW)
Dogwood Creek Solar and BESS (Texas, 443 MW)
Source: EIA
With ambitious battery storage plans and declining costs, the U.S. is poised to achieve a cleaner, more reliable energy future, rapidly closing the gap with China.
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