Emissions Futures Rally by Over 25%: Insights from Xpansiv’s CBL Platform

Explore the latest trends and developments in emissions futures trading, powered by data from Xpansiv Data and Analytics. Dive into the significant rally witnessed in CME Group’s CBL emissions futures, along with the surge in trading activity for lithium contracts.

Xpansiv offers robust market data from CBL, the world’s largest spot environmental commodity exchange, including daily and historical bids, offers, and transaction data for various environmental commodities traded on the CBL platform. 

This spot data is supplemented by forward prices from premier market intermediaries and aggregated registry statistics and ratings from leading providers.

Emissions Futures Surge at CME Group’s CBL Platform

CME Group’s CBL emissions futures experienced a significant rally of over 25% for December CBL N-GEO and CBL GEO futures prices. These contracts settled at $1.16 and $0.62, respectively, marking notable increases of 26.5% and 27.5% compared to the previous week. 

Source: Xpansiv

The surge was particularly noticeable with CBL N-GEO futures jumping 12.0% on substantial volume, reaching nearly 2.2 million metric tons. However, spot prices remained relatively stable, with N-GEO closing at $0.49 (down 2.0% for the week) and GEO ending unchanged at $0.66.

Spot trading activity remained subdued, with a notable block of new vintage India solar credits settling at $1.90. Offers on the CBL central limit order book included various renewable credits from different regions. These include the following offers: 

vintage 2021 VCS 2250 Pakistan Delta Blue credits, 
vintage 2020 VCS 3279 Bangladesh cookstoves, and 
vintage 2022 VCS 2604 China Waste Handling Credits, among others.

The total trading volume for CBL emissions futures reached 3.1 million tons, with the spot exchange adding 84,722 tons. Three-quarters of these were settled through the mart’s portfolio of Global Emissions Offset contracts.

In the REC market, activity primarily centered around PJM markets, with Pennsylvania tier 1 v2024 is experiencing the most volume. Other notable trades included Maryland solar v2024 and Virginia solar v2023 credits as seen below.

The majority of the week’s total REC volume (87%) comprised bilateral trades settled through CBL’s same-day settlement infrastructure.

On the CBL screen, New Jersey solar credits stood out with over 6,000 credits matched in numerous transactions at $208. Additionally, the California Low Carbon Fuels Standard (LCFS) contract saw 15,000 credits settled, and 1,500 Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) allowance contracts were exchanged.

Lithium CME Trading Boom

Another rising commodity witnessing a trading surge in the CME Group is lithium

Despite declining battery metal prices, trading of lithium in CME’s trading platform draws increased attention from funds. 

Open interest in the contract reached a record high of 24,328 contracts in the first quarter. This uptick shows increased liquidity within the contract and suggests a maturing market for the lithium industry.

The growth in open interest follows a robust year in 2023, driven by arbitrage trading between China and the US. China’s introduction of its lithium carbonate contract on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange further contributed to trading activity. This underscores the growing importance of lithium derivatives markets for industry participants to manage price risks.

Despite challenges in the industry, such as an over 80% decline in lithium prices from their record high in November 2022, the surge in open interest provides assurance to funds and financial participants. It gives them confidence in trading the contract, enabling them to enter and exit positions as needed, even in the face of adverse price movements.

Moreover, the growing interest from Asia-based funds reflects the increasing appeal of lithium as an investment opportunity.

READ MORE: Key Challenges and Opportunities in Global Lithium Metal Market

As emissions futures experience notable price movements and trading volumes, stakeholders navigate dynamic markets with insights from comprehensive spot firm data provided by Xpansiv. Meanwhile, the surge in open interest for lithium contracts signals growing investor interest and maturity in the lithium market, despite price challenges.

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NetZero Raises Over $19M for Biochar Expansion in Brazil

French carbon removal company NetZero has secured €18 million ($19.5 million) in new funding from government-backed impact investor STOA Infra & Energy. The capital infusion aims to support NetZero’s expansion by establishing new biochar plants in Brazil and other tropical regions. 

The announcement coincides with French President Emmanuel Macron’s state visit to Brazil and follows NetZero’s previous €11 million Series A funding round. The transaction marks the first investment of STOA’s carbon strategy and is significant as one of the largest deals in the biochar sector. It also represents the first major initiative aimed at scaling carbon removal efforts in emerging countries.

NetZero’s Vision for Climate, Agriculture, and Society

NetZero focuses on scaling up biochar in tropical regions, aiming to benefit both the climate and local communities.

Biochar, derived from plant residues and stored in soil, serves as an effective method for permanently removing carbon from the atmosphere while simultaneously enhancing soil quality. This results in increased agricultural productivity, reduced fertilizer usage, and higher crop yields.

NetZero’s innovative biochar technology addresses 3 significant challenges simultaneously:

Climate change: By producing biochar, NetZero removes atmospheric carbon for millennia, contributing to long-term carbon sequestration.
Sustainable agriculture: The use of biochar as a soil amendment improves soil quality and crop productivity, promoting sustainable farming practices.
Social impact: NetZero’s initiatives enhance farmers’ livelihoods and create well-paid industrial jobs in rural areas of developing countries, thereby fostering economic development and social equity.

 

NetZero’s unique approach to leveraging biochar allows for high-permanence carbon removal from the atmosphere. The company’s model aligns with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the European Union’s recognition of atmospheric carbon removal as crucial for achieving net zero emissions globally. 

Among the IPCC’s validated technical solutions, biochar stands out for its proven ability to remove carbon from the atmosphere and store it in soils for extended periods.

What is Biochar? Harnessing Nature’s Power

The carbon removal company uses agricultural residues exclusively as feedstock for producing biochar. These residues include coffee or cocoa husks and shells, sugarcane bagasse, coconut shells and fibers, peanut/cashew shells, and more.

Through a process called pyrolysis, these organic materials undergo intense heating in the absence of oxygen. This results in the breakdown of complex molecular chains and the formation of a solid, stable product known as biochar.

While biochar can serve various purposes, NetZero’s primary focus lies in its agricultural application, where it is mixed with topsoil to enhance soil quality and fertility.

During the production process, substantial amounts of renewable energy in the form of gases and heat are generated. The startup then harnesses this energy, using a portion for its own operations while supplying the rest to local partners as electricity or heat. 

Biochar has gained attention for its ability to sequester carbon dioxide when introduced into the soil. 

The biochar carbon credit market, although still in its early stages, is rapidly expanding, with prices showing a bullish trend. Over the past year, deals for smaller volumes of credits have closed above $500/mt, per DGB Group report. Other deals have begun to clear below $100/mt. 

Recent bids for biochar credits ranged from $134/mt to $145/mt, indicating growing interest and potential in this sector, with matching offers between $152/mt to $167/mt.

RELEVANT: Shell to Buy 22,500 Biochar Removal Credits from The Next 150

Scaling Up for Impact

The $19.5 million capital raise will enable NetZero to scale up its technology and deploy production sites at a larger scale in tropical regions. The company aims to remove over 5 million tonnes of CO2 from the atmosphere by 2030.

STOA’s investment in NetZero represents a significant milestone in the biochar space. STOA, established in 2017, focuses on infrastructure and energy investments in developing countries. 

Currently, NetZero operates two commercial-scale biochar plants in Cameroon and Brazil. Last month, it partnered with Swiss commodities trader Ecom Agroindustrial Corp. to produce biochar from coffee husks in Brazil, with an expected annual production of over 4,000 metric tons.

In Mexico, another biochar startup, The Next 150, is ramping up its production, aiming to capture 150,000 tons of CO2 equivalent. If that happens, it would be the largest biochar initiative in Mexico.

Global biochar production reaches at least 350,000 metric tonnes annually, representing a remarkable 91% growth rate over 2021 production levels. 

From an economic standpoint, revenues generated by biochar and equipment manufacturers surpassed $600 million in 2023. This shows a substantial growth rate of 97% between 2021 and 2023. More notably, projections indicate further revenue growth, expected to reach over $3 billion by 2025.

In terms of market size, a research shows that biochar could reach over $1,540 million in 2031 as seen below.

NetZero has been recognized for its achievements. For instance, it won the Milestone Award in the XPRIZE Carbon Removal competition sponsored by the Musk Foundation. The startup was also certified as a carbon-removal project under the Puro Standard. 

The company’s biochar plants contribute to carbon removal efforts and have already supplied carbon removal credits to companies like Boston Consulting Group, though specific volumes and prices were not disclosed.

RELATED: North America’s Largest Biochar Plant Announced In Canada

With Brazil being one of the world’s largest agricultural countries and committed to decarbonization, it represents a strategic market for NetZero and the company’s goal of leading the biochar carbon removal revolution. 

The post NetZero Raises Over $19M for Biochar Expansion in Brazil appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Base Carbon Receives First-Ever Article 6 Authorized Carbon Credits

Base Carbon Inc., operating through its wholly-owned subsidiary Base Carbon Capital Partners Corp., announced the receipt of an initial transfer of 717,558 carbon credits from its Rwanda cookstoves project. These carbon credits, designated by Verra with an “Article 6 Authorized” label, mark a significant milestone for Base Carbon. 

It signifies the transition of its second project from the development stage to active carbon credit generation. Notably, this also represents an industry milestone being the first Article 6 Authorized labeled carbon credits issued by Verra.

Base Carbon is a leading financier of projects in the global voluntary carbon markets. The company supports carbon removal and abatement projects worldwide by providing capital and management resources. It also aims to enhance efficiencies, commercial credibility, and trading transparency by leveraging technologies within the evolving environmental industries.

The company provides upfront capital to carbon projects, earning revenues from the credits they generate.

What is Article 6 Carbon Credit?

Article 6 of the Paris Agreement talks about how countries can work together and trade mitigation outcomes, also known as carbon credits, with each other to help meet their climate targets (NDCs).

In November last year, the Supervisory Body overseeing Article 6 of the Paris Agreement published a draft document detailing proposed methodologies for carbon reduction projects.

The methodologies help ensure a cautious approach in calculating a project’s emission reductions or removals. This is crucial for ensuring the credibility of the credits and promoting greater ambition in global emission reduction efforts.

READ MORE: Proposed Methodologies for Carbon Projects Under Paris Agreement’s Article 6.4

Base Carbon Pioneers Article 6 Authorized Carbon Credits

The Rwanda cookstoves project received a letter of authorization (LOA) from the Government of Rwanda in December 2023. This leads to Verra applying its Article 6 Authorized label to the project. 

This designation marks the first time Verra applied such recognition to a carbon project registered in its Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) Program.

BCCPC and the DelAgua Group, the project developer, have been in discussions regarding the implementation of the LOA. As per the LOA, a portion of the issued Article 6 Authorized labeled carbon credits will be immediately retired to offset global emissions. 

Additionally, a percentage of the carbon credits will be transferred to the Government of Rwanda for its emission reduction targets. Then a portion of the revenues from the remaining credits will go to the United Nations’ Global Adaptation Fund. 

The Clean Cooking Project is a voluntary initiative focused on distributing fuel-efficient improved cookstoves (ICS) to households. DelAgua will distribute these technologies to individual households and communities, following the VCS Methodology from Sectoral Scope 3 – VMR0006 “Methodology for Installation of High-Efficiency Firewood Cookstoves,” version 1.1 for emissions reduction calculations.

Before the project, households primarily used 3-stone fire and traditional stoves. These cookstoves have low thermal efficiency and require a higher amount of firewood for cooking.

By adopting DelAgua stoves, people can save time spent on cooking and collecting fuel, while also conserving fuel itself. The main benefit of these cookstoves is the significant reduction in health risks associated with smoke emitted by traditional stoves.

Plus, it also avoids the release of planet-warming emissions. The project is estimated to achieve an average annual and total emission reduction of 1,819,332 and 14,554,657 tCO2e, respectively, over the first 7-year crediting period. 

More details can be found on Verra’s website under project ID 4150.

Enhancing Article 6 Carbon Credits Implementation for Greater Impact

BCCPC and DelAgua have recently signed an amended and restated project agreement to facilitate the implementation of the LOA.

Under their revised agreement, BCCPC and DelAgua will split the 5% GAF remittance attributable to Article 6 carbon credits sold. This would be based on each party’s pro rata share of sales proceeds outlined in a revenue-sharing arrangement. 

Base Carbon anticipates its GAF remittance to be around $0.20 per credit for the first 1,925,000 Article 6 Authorized labeled carbon credits received.

Under the revised agreement of BCCPC and DelAgua, Article 6 Authorized labeled carbon credits from the Rwanda cookstoves project will be adjusted for the 12% volume reduction specified in the Government of Rwanda LOA. Thus, a new aggregate minimum of 6.6 million carbon credits would be subject to BCCPC and DelAgua’s revenue-sharing arrangement. 

Base Carbon is currently exploring various sales options for the initial 717,558 carbon credits. They expect the potential pricing upside of adjusted carbon credits will offset any volume reductions due to the LOA’s implementation.

Base Carbon’s receipt of the first-ever Article 6 Authorized carbon credits signifies a monumental leap in environmental stewardship. Through innovative financing and strategic partnerships, this milestone underscores the potential for carbon markets to facilitate meaningful change and pave the way for a greener, more sustainable future.

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Illinois Building Code Update Sparks Debate with All-Electric Rejection

In a move with significant developments, Illinois’ governing board overseeing building standards has declined to adopt the all-electric code. The “all-voluntary electrical code” in Illinois refers to a code or set of regulations governing electrical systems and installations in buildings that is optional or voluntary for compliance.

This decision comes amidst a growing trend in northern Illinois, mainly the Chicago communities to curb natural gas use in new construction projects.

The Legal Tussle Between Illinois International Code Council (ICC) and Federal Court

Illinois International Code Council (ICC) discarded an optional all-electric construction code in its 2024 International Energy Conservation Code. It is the standard model for building codes nationwide. The decision to reverse the code echoed a landmark ruling by the US Court.

However, it has received significant repercussions from the ICC board of directors.

Painting a clearer picture, the advisory council of experts, tasked with updating the state’s building codes over time, initially incorporated the all-electric option into the Illinois stretch energy code.

However, on March 20, the Illinois Capital Development Board (CDB), appointed by the governor, countered this decision by removing the all-electric appendix from the stretch code. This action stemmed from apprehensions regarding potential legal liabilities for communities.

Consequently, Illinois communities will find themselves without a standardized, readily available method for enforcing all-electric new construction.

The insights of this ruling, fetched from S&P Global Market Intelligence are noted below:

The ICC cautioned cities and states that embracing the 2024 international code’s draft all-electric provision could lead to a “significant risk” of federal law conflicts.
This decision was influenced by the US Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit, which held that the federal Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA) preempted Berkeley, Calif.’s pioneering building gas ban.
The conflict between ICC and CDB highlights the larger impact of obstructing building decarbonization efforts.
This ruling can affect Western US states and territories. It can also go beyond the regions of the 9th Circuit’s jurisdiction, where courts have not yet addressed EPCA’s compatibility with local electrification codes.

Although the new rule marks a fallout from a nationwide decision, it has established a precedent that challenges local electrification mandates across the country.

Illinois Seeking Sustainable Solutions through CEJA 

Illinois located in the heart of the United States, is the nation’s third-largest consumer of gas in both residential and commercial sectors.

While Illinois aims for emission reductions through its Climate and Equitable Jobs Act (CEJA), the clash between state aspirations and federal preemption poses a formidable challenge. The recent decisions highlight the complexity of balancing environmental objectives with legal compliance.

Amidst all the conundrum, Illinois seeks to navigate through the legal and environmental challenges with some sustainable solutions.

Stretch Code Development by CDB

CDB’s Energy Conservation Advisory Council has developed a stretch code in Illinois aimed to align with CEJA’s goals. The climate bill required the CDB to create an optional code exceeding Illinois Energy Conservation Code standards. It would also adhere to international code standards.

It is expected to offer additional measures to enhance building efficiency and reduce emissions. The removal of the all-electric appendix raises doubts about the state’s ability to offer a unified sustainable construction approach.

The stretch code further gives a boost to the rising movement in Chicago and neighboring regions to curb gas and fossil fuel usage in new construction projects.

READ MORE: Billionaire Tom Steyer to Invest in Net Zero Buildings (carboncredits.com)

During the March 20 meeting, numerous local government representatives emphasized to the CDB the importance of efficiency and decarbonization measures in the stretch code. They highlighted that local governments frequently lack the resources to independently develop such policies.

Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss said,

We rely on the expertise of the state to give us these model ordinances that will be feasible to allow us to achieve our objectives. We are willing to take that risk and prove out the concepts so that other communities can follow.”

Striking a Balance on the Electrification Debate

Differences in opinion and demand among individuals and groups have given rise to the need to balance out the situation. While some from the industry group support 100% electrification others argue for flexibility and affordability. They argue against provisions like the electric-ready requirement, citing potential high costs for homes and threats to energy affordability.

On the contrary, proponents of electrification, like RMI’s Chiu, dispute these claims. He stresses the importance of efficiency measures, such as incentivizing the installation of heat pumps.

However, whatever the outcome is, it must be economically and environmentally viable.

Climate experts emphasize the importance of prioritizing energy efficiency and sustainability. They favor promoting heat pumps and other innovative approaches to achieve climate objectives.

Noteworthy, this strategy aims to mitigate GHG emissions within the community by 60% before 2030. And finally, become net zero by 2050. This aligns closely with recommendations from leading climate scientists worldwide, intending to combat climate change.

The graph shows the total natural gas consumed in Illinois through 2022.

source: US Energy Information Administration

Despite these debates, the Illinois stretch code maintains the all-electric provision, pointing to a continued focus on promoting energy-efficient solutions. Stakeholders will be responsible for reconciling divergent interests while advancing towards a common goal of sustainable development.

Robert Coslow, administrator of professional services at the CDB and chair of the Illinois Energy Conservation Advisory Council has noted,

“The Illinois stretch code pushes builders to install heat pumps through incentives because they are proven to be the most efficient heating source on the market.”

Illinois has set an ambitious goal of achieving 100% clean energy by 2050. To address this, the state utility regulator is examining the future of the gas industry in light of CEJA. However, amidst this transition, there are divergent views on the best path forward.

The next update in 2025 mandated by CEJA will offer an opportunity to reassess contentious issues regarding the all-electric move. Let’s hope the decision paves the way toward a greener future for Illinois and the entire nation.

Disclaimer: The data is fetched from primary source S&P Global Market Intelligence.

FURTHER READING: Harnessing the Sun: America’s Solar Snapshot in April 2024 • Carbon Credits

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Magnate Gina Rinehart Moves into Rare Earth Metals

In a decisive move signaling confidence in the burgeoning rare earth metals market, Gina Rinehart, executive chairman of Hancock Prospecting Pty Ltd., has recently acquired a significant 5.3% stake in MP Materials Corp, a major player in the U.S. rare earth sector.
This strategic investment is particularly timely, as it coincides with a notable upswing in rare earth prices, reflecting a broader market recovery and an optimistic outlook for the sector.

Rare earth metals, crucial for a myriad of modern technologies, especially in clean energy applications, are at the forefront of the global shift towards decarbonization.

These metals are indispensable in manufacturing high-performance magnets essential for electric vehicle motors and wind turbine generators, playing a pivotal role in advancing renewable energy solutions and electric mobility.

Demand for Rare Earth Metals are on the Rise

You can find all but one of the 17 rare earth elements on a 2022 USGS list of 50 “critical minerals”.

The escalating demand for rare earth metals, projected to more than double by mid-century, underscores their critical role in the transition to a low-carbon economy.

According to the International Energy Agency, demand for rare earth elements is expected to reach three to seven times current levels by 2040.

According to commodities firm Katusa Research, China leads the global market in rare earth elements, crucial for its national security. To strengthen its hold, China combined its five biggest producers into one major company, enhancing its control over the world’s rare earth supply.

China uses a quota system to manage its production, similar to how OPEC regulates oil, to prevent oversupply and keep prices stable.

This surge is largely driven by the expanding electric vehicle market and the scaling up of renewable energy generation, highlighting the strategic importance of Rinehart’s investment in securing a stake in this vital industry.

However, the concentration of rare earth production in a handful of countries, with China leading the pack, introduces a layer of geopolitical and economic complexity. This concentration raises concerns about supply stability and the potential for geopolitical leverage, emphasizing the significance of Rinehart’s move to diversify and strengthen the supply chain, particularly for the U.S. market.

The U.S. government’s $58.5 million grant to MP Materials to develop a rare earth magnet manufacturing facility in Texas exemplifies the strategic measures being taken to mitigate these risks.

This effort boosts domestic production and reduces reliance on foreign sources, strengthening the rare earth supply chain against rising demand and geopolitical risks.

Moreover, the focus on rare earth metals extends beyond their crucial role in clean energy technologies. These metals are integral to various other applications, including enhancing the efficiency of solar panels and the performance of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles.

Their unique properties enable advancements in lighting, electronics, and a range of other high-tech applications, further underscoring the strategic nature of Rinehart’s investment.

Rare Earth Metals and Decarbonization

Rare earth metals are essential for various clean energy technologies, including solar panels, wind turbines, and electric vehicles (EVs).

Here are just some examples of clean energy technologies that rely on rare earth metals:

Solar Panels: Rare earth metals, such as neodymium, dysprosium, and praseodymium, are used to enhance the efficiency of solar panels. They are doped into the silicon material of solar cells to improve light absorption capabilities, charge transport, and resistance to temperature extremes1.
Wind Turbines: Wind turbines use rare earth metals, such as neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, and terbium, in their permanent magnets. These magnets are located in the center of the blades in the electrical box (called the nacelle) and are used to increase power generation and reduce maintenance in larger offshore wind turbines3.
Electric Vehicles (EVs): Rare earth metals, particularly neodymium, are used in the motors of EVs. They are also used in the magnets for speakers, hard drives, and other electric motors4.
Lithium-ion Batteries: While lithium-ion batteries do not contain rare earth elements, they do rely on other critical minerals such as cobalt and nickel. However, the magnets in the motors of EVs and other electric devices do require rare earth elements, such as neodymium, samarium, and dysprosium5.

These examples demonstrate the importance of rare earth metals in various clean energy technologies, and their demand is expected to increase as the world transitions to a low-carbon economy.

Where Rare Earth Metals are Used

Rare earth metals are essential for improving the efficiency and performance of various clean energy technologies, particularly in the following ways:

Permanent Magnets: Rare earth metals, such as neodymium and dysprosium, are used to create high-performance permanent magnets that are crucial for the motors in electric vehicles and the generators in wind turbines. These magnets are significantly more powerful and efficient than traditional ferrite or aluminum-nickel-cobalt magnets, allowing for more compact and lightweight designs12.
Solar Panels: Rare earth metals, like neodymium, praseodymium, and dysprosium, are used to enhance the efficiency of solar panels. They are doped into the silicon material of solar cells to improve light absorption, charge transport, and resistance to temperature extremes1.
Battery Performance: While rare earth metals are not directly used in lithium-ion batteries, they are used in the permanent magnets of the electric motors that power electric vehicles. This improves the overall efficiency and performance of EVs compared to internal combustion engine vehicles5.
Lighting and Electronics: Rare earth phosphors, made from elements like europium, terbium, and yttrium, are used in energy-efficient LED and fluorescent lighting, as well as in the displays of electronic devices, improving their brightness and color quality1.

As the rare earth market continues to evolve, efforts to diversify sources and improve mining practices are paramount. This includes exploring sustainable mining options, enhancing recycling processes, and developing alternative materials to ensure a stable and environmentally responsible supply of these critical resources.

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Japan’s Nature-Positive Economic Strategy: A Sustainable Growth Roadmap

By 2050, Japan intends to develop innovative strategies poised to reduce atmospheric CO2 globally to “Beyond Zero”. The country’s sustainable growth roadmap contains an effective nature-positive strategy aimed at achieving economic growth and environmental protection. 

In December 2022, at the 15th Conference of Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity (COP15), delegates adopted the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, outlining global targets for 2030. 

The Cabinet under the government of Japan approved the National Biodiversity Strategy 2023-2030 in March 2023 to fulfill its new international commitment. The Transition Strategies toward Nature-Positive Economy were subsequently outlined with the collective decision of the following ministries:

Ministry of the Environment
Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry
Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism

Unleashing Japan’s Nature-Positive Strategy

Japan aims to prioritize nature conservation and uplift its economic policies to transition to a decarbonized future smoothly. Here, we have summarized and explained the significant points from the strategy plan proposed by the Ministry of Environment, Japan. 

1. Nature Positive Management

The strategy emphasizes the need for companies to shift towards nature-positive management. The plan focuses on integrating nature preservation methods into their value creation processes. This in turn is expected to open avenues for fostering new economic growth from natural capital. 

Conservation and Restoration Efforts: Implementing measures to conserve and restore ecosystems, such as forests, wetlands, and marine environments, to enhance biodiversity and ecosystem services.

Sustainable Resource Management: Promoting sustainable practices in resource extraction, agriculture, fisheries, and other sectors to minimize negative impacts on nature.

The press release from the Ministry of the Environment, under the Government of Japan has elucidated the significance of nature capital to achieve the desired results. 

The image shows forest restoration work in Japan.

The report explains that individual companies must consider natural capital as materiality in terms of both risks and opportunities for business activities to shift to nature-positive management. Subsequently, investors will analyze the market to evaluate the performance of the companies handling the natural capital. Based on this performance, further value creation process will be determined. 

Simply put, the transition extends to a society where consumers and markets assess companies’ efforts. In NP management, cash flow reform involves collaborative efforts among government, citizens, and integrated nature valuations.

2. Maximizing Business Opportunities

The plan seeks to boost corporate value by disclosing TNFD (The Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures) and other information, responding to risks with the intent of disclosure. This approach aims to enhance the firm’s resilience and sustainability, which the market and society will evaluate. Consequently, this will attract private capital and elevate corporate value. 

The Ministry of the Environment (MoE) has weighed various business opportunities and their market sizes. They plan to create opportunities through sustainable approaches, such as decarbonization, resource recycling, and leveraging natural capital.

One example is adopting environment-friendly aquaculture technology. It would help implement compound and efficient feeding techniques. The market size for this business is estimated to be around 86.4 billion yen annually. 

3. Support from the Government 

The ministries emphasized the significance of businesses integrating natural capital conservation into their operations. The Japanese government has outlined the following initiatives: 

Going beyond corporate social responsibility (CSR) initiatives. It involves preserving natural capital for both societal and economic sustainability.
Promote assessing the value of initiatives through the Biodiversity Promotion Activities Promotion Act. Upgrading technologies related to alternative materials, biomimicry, etc.
Implementing governmental initiatives to facilitate the shift towards a nature-positive economy. Focusing on biodiversity conservation and carbon credit initiatives
Motivate companies to minimize their carbon footprint and maximize their efforts on nature.

4. Green Infrastructure Development 

Japan’s nature-positive strategy also focuses on investing in green infrastructure projects that enhance natural habitats, such as urban parks, green roofs, and permeable pavements.  

Identifying and developing OCEMs- Under the green infrastructure development strategy, some specific private lands undergo certification as Other Effective area-based Conservation Measures (OECM) sites. In Japan, diverse locations include the satochi-satoyama, biotopes, conserved forests, and green spaces in cities and factories. OCEMs incentivize efforts by companies and others, extending beyond protected areas.

Developing green infrastructure assures resilience to climate change and numerous benefits to society. Most importantly, it would help generate robust carbon credit. 

Japan’s Green Finance Drive: Strengthening Sustainability Investment

The MoE has outlined guidelines for green finance to promote disclosure based on international standards such as TCFD (Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures) and ISSB (International Sustainability Standards Board), and has promoted regional financial investments for local decarbonization.

Graph: Data released by the Ministry of Environment reveals domestic funds for sustainable growth in Japan.

Japan has estimated 150 trillion yen decarbonization investment over the next 10 years to fortify its domestic green finance. This decision would further abridge domestic and foreign funds directed to Japan’s decarbonization goals. 

The dramatic increase in green bond issuance strengthens the financing of a sustainable society. Although the use of funds has been diversifying over the years, renewable energy and energy conservation still dominate most allocations.

However, recently, financing for sectors beyond climate change mitigation, such as biodiversity conservation and resource recycling has just begun.

RELATED: Over $420M North American Forest Fund from Japanese Investors Kicks Off (carboncredits.com)

Boosting J-Credits through the nature-positive economy 

According to media reports, Japan envisions, 

“A transition to a “nature-positive” economy which covers areas such as carbon and biodiversity credits could create for Japan 47 trillion yen ($309.7 billion) in new business opportunities annually by 2030.”

Like other countries committed to net zero and engaging in carbon credit trading, Japan also participates actively. The government issues carbon credit certificates, known as J-credits. They can be purchased in Japan for carbon offsetting. Boosting J-credits is one way to foster a nature-positive economy. 

The strategy aims to promote the use and creation of forestry J-Credits. It primarily involves the agricultural sector and its role in preserving the biodiversity of Japan. 
J-Credits offer domestic GHG reduction or removals, usable for various purposes including the voluntary emissions trading scheme GX-League
They promote the J-Blue Credit system about blue carbon projects that sequester carbon within oceanic ecosystems.

J-Credits demand rises in 2024

Reported from offsel.net:

According to the J-Credit System data for 2024, the number of registered J-Credit projects hit a record high of 1,081. Additionally, the certified amount of CO2 emission reductions was 9.36 million t-CO2.

Source: OFFSEL.net

Japan also intends to engage in international biodiversity credit systems to meet the demand from global industries handling resources outside its national domain. 

Furthermore, it has actively engaged with the UK and France in the International Advisory Panel on Biodiversity Credits to discuss future goals for biodiversity credit and offset policies for the country. 

From the elaborate information and reports, it seems that Japan has a bright future toward creating a nature-positive economy.

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Study Shows Landfill Methane Emissions Are 1.4x More Than EPA Estimates

A recent study published in the journal Science highlights the crucial need for improved monitoring of landfill emissions as part of climate change mitigation policies. The findings reveal that methane emissions from U.S. landfills are significantly higher than previously estimated by the Environmental Protection Agency. 

The study is led by the nonprofit Carbon Mapper and scientists from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, EPA, and other institutions. The researchers conducted aerial surveys of over 200 active landfills from 2018 through 2022. 

This comprehensive effort represents the largest direct measurement-based study of municipal solid waste sites to date.

Landfills’ Hidden Environmental Impact

In 2018, Americans disposed of around 146.1 million tons of waste in landfills, with organic decomposition accounting for about 50% of methane emissions. Over half of the dumps are methane super-emitters, generating over 100kg of the gas per hour. 

Methane, a potent greenhouse gas, has a significantly higher heat-trapping capability than carbon dioxide and thus, contributes to climate change. It is 80x more potent a GHG than CO2. 

READ MORE: What are the Effects of Methane Emissions and Why Should We Care?

According to the EPA, human activities contribute significantly to global methane emissions, accounting for around 50% – 65% of the total. In the United States, landfill emissions stand out as the 3rd-largest source of human-generated methane, responsible for almost 15% of such pollution in 2021.

U.S. Methane Emissions, By Source

According to the International Energy Agency estimates, methane is responsible for almost a third of global temperature rise since the Industrial Revolution. The IEA reported in March that fossil fuel production and use resulted in almost 120 million metric tons of methane emissions in 2023. And the U.S. emerged as the largest emitter from oil and gas extraction. 

Moreover, exposure to methane poses health risks, leading to an estimated 1 million premature deaths annually. These are the major reasons why attention to mitigating the release of this potent GHG intensifies. 

Rob Jackson, an environmental scientist at Stanford University, emphasizes the importance of airborne data in verifying ground observations, stating that methane emissions have been a concern for decades.

The lead author, Dan Cusworth, also highlights the potential for mitigating climate change by addressing high-emission sources and persistent landfill emissions. The precise identification of leaks is crucial for reducing methane emissions effectively.

The study was conducted across 18 states using imaging spectrometers on aircraft between 2016 and 2022. The imaging technology is designed to measure concentrations of methane in the air. Remote sensing technologies, such as satellites, aircraft, and drones, offer improved methods for monitoring landfill emissions. 

One of the two aircraft that used Earth-mapping technology to measure emissions in the study. Image from Arizona State University

Additionally, innovations like methane valve caps and leak sensors can help reduce emissions at their source. Kait Siegel from the Clean Air Task Force highlights the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of implementing such technologies in the waste sector.

Innovative Solutions for Curbing Methane Emissions

The researchers’ analysis unveiled striking findings, indicating that 52% of landfills exhibited “observable point source emissions.” This contrasts sharply with the 0.2% to 1% of oil and natural gas sites in the U.S. that show similar emissions. 

Moreover, nearly 60% of the landfills demonstrated emissions that persisted over months or years. This is in contrast to the irregular, short-duration events observed in the oil and gas sector.

RELEVANT: Methane Offsets Originator, Zefiro, Buys Plants and Goodwin

Carbon Mapper emphasized that current methods used to report facility emissions, such as the EPA’s Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP), are insufficient in capturing or accurately representing large methane sources. On average, aerial emission rates were 1.4 times higher than those reported by the GHGRP.

Many landfills utilize specialized wells and pipes to collect methane gas emitted from decomposing waste. These systems aim to mitigate methane emissions by either burning off the gas through controlled flaring or harnessing it for energy generation, such as electricity or heat production.

However, despite these measures, leaks in the wells and pipes can occur, releasing methane into the atmosphere.

The researchers noted that pinpointing methane leaks is crucial in helping them have a clearer picture of methane emissions. Plus, it can also aid landfill operators in addressing leaks promptly. 

The Environmental Defense Fund and Carbon Mapper are collaborating on initiatives to launch satellites for monitoring methane emissions from landfills and other sources.

These initiatives underscore the growing recognition of the importance of comprehensive monitoring in addressing climate change. This is crucial especially that the Global Methane Initiative (GMI) reveals that these emissions will increase by 2030.

As the study sheds light on the magnitude of landfill methane emissions, it calls for immediate action to curb this potent greenhouse gas. With innovative monitoring solutions and concerted efforts, we can mitigate methane emissions and its harmful impact, paving the way toward a more sustainable future.

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New EPA GHG Standards for Trucks to Cut 60% Emissions by 2032

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) recently finalized stringent greenhouse gas (GHG) standards for medium and heavy-duty trucks from model years 2027 to 2032. Despite constituting less than 6% of vehicles on the road, these trucks emit 25% of the transportation sector’s greenhouse gases. They release significant levels of air pollutants linked to various health issues. 

The finalized standards, “Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards for Heavy-Duty Vehicles – Phase 3”, aim to reduce GHG emissions by up to 60% by 2032. This target would prevent 1 billion metric tons of carbon pollution and 55,000 tons of smog pollution. 

The standards are technology-neutral, allowing manufacturers to meet targets through various means such as electric powertrains, and hydrogen fuel cells

The finalization of the truck rule follows closely on the heels of the EPA’s recent completion of tailpipe emission standards for light- and medium-duty vehicles covering the same model years. Additionally, the agency had previously strengthened emission limits for nitrogen and particulate matter from trucks in 2023.

EPA’s Push for Cleaner Transportation

Trucks and other heavy-duty vehicles play a crucial role in the United States economy, facilitating the transportation of goods, freight, and providing essential services across various sectors such as industry and transit. However, they also contribute substantially to the nation’s GHG emissions. 

According to the EPA, the transportation sector is the largest contributor to climate-warming pollution in the United States. In 2021, it accounted for 28% of the nation’s carbon footprint. Addressing emissions from this sector is pivotal for the country to fulfill its Paris Agreement commitments. 

These commitments include halving GHG emissions from 2005 levels by 2030 and achieving net zero emissions by 2050. Therefore, efforts to curb transportation emissions play a crucial role in advancing national and global climate goals.

Moreover, the finalized standards will also bring significant societal benefits, including health improvements and fuel cost savings. These savings are estimated to amount to $300 billion by 2055

Moreover, the regulations will notably benefit poorer urban communities, which often bear the brunt of pollution from older diesel trucks concentrated around ports and industrial areas.

Industry support for cleaner standards is strong, with major players like Ford, Cummins, BorgWarner, and Eaton endorsing them. Leading manufacturers such as Daimler have ambitious goals for carbon-neutral vehicles, with projections of a significant market share for zero-emission trucks by 2030.

The federal agency said that the implementation of the new standards can significantly increase the adoption of zero-emissions trucks. Thus, there would be a substantial reduction in the industry’s reliance on fossil fuels. 

Electric Revolution: Market Growth and Industry Shifts

Market demand for electric heavy-duty vehicles is growing rapidly, driven by investments from major fleet operators like PepsiCo and Walmart. Currently, there are nearly 13,000 electric medium and heavy-duty trucks on the road, which could increase substantially in the coming years.

The declining costs of electric trucks, coupled with fuel and maintenance savings, make them increasingly attractive economically. By 2030, electric heavy-duty trucks are projected to be cheaper than their diesel counterparts, even without incentives. Additionally, drivers appreciate their quieter and cleaner operation compared to diesel trucks.

According to the EPA, diesel demand within the industry will decrease by 120 billion gallons by 2055. It will also be accompanied by a corresponding decline of 15 billion gallons in gasoline demand. This shift underscores the standards’ pivotal role in driving the transition towards cleaner transportation technologies and reducing GHG emissions.

Truck manufacturers are making significant investments in transitioning to zero-emission vehicles, signaling a shift away from diesel. 

RELATED: The Death of Diesel Gives Birth to ZEVs

Daimler, the largest heavy-duty vehicle manufacturer in the U.S., aims to sell entirely carbon-neutral vehicles by 2039. In July, Daimler projected that zero-emission vehicle sales would make up 40% of their North American market share by 2030. 

Similarly, Navistar and Volvo Trucks have set ambitious goals to sell 50% zero-emission trucks by 2030.

These investments align with the increasing demand for electric heavy-duty vehicles. The four largest private tractor fleets in the nation—PepsiCo, Walmart, Sysco, and US Foods—are heavily investing in electric trucks. Republic Services, a large waste disposal fleet, anticipates that EVs will make up half of its new truck purchases by 2028.

Road Ahead: Impact, Challenges, and Outlook

While electric passenger cars and light trucks initially led the growth in electric vehicles, commercial trucks are rapidly catching up. 

Research from BloombergNEF forecasts another record year for commercial electric truck sales in 2024, and the global electric truck market is expected to nearly quadruple from $17.8 billion in 2022 to $65 billion in 2032.

Overall, The EPA’s final rule provides market certainty, enabling companies to set long-term goals and investment strategies. These regulations align with the Biden administration’s broader climate goals, complementing initiatives like the Clean Car program. By reducing transportation emissions, they contribute to cleaner air, protect public health, and advance sustainability for future generations.

However, the projected additional costs for the heavy-duty industry weren’t welcomed by some US oil majors. Trade groups like The American Petroleum Institute and the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers hailed the new rule “unlawful EV mandate for heavy trucks”. 

But for President Biden’s National Climate Advisor Ali Zaidi, the finalized GHG standards are a great policy initiative, noting that:

“By tackling pollution from heavy-duty vehicles, we can unlock extraordinary public health, climate, and economic gains.”

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Woodside Energy Collaborates with Yara Pilbara to Explore CCS in Australia

In a recent development, Woodside Energy-operated Angel CCS Joint Venture and Yara Pilbara Fertilisers Pty Ltd are allying to explore Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technology. The main aim is to decarbonize Yara Pilbara’s operations near Karratha, Western Australia.

Woodside Energy and Yara Pilbara have recognized the urgency of global climate change. Consequently, they have committed to leveraging their expertise to reduce their carbon footprint. The collaboration marks a significant step towards sustainable practices in the energy and industrial sectors in Australia. 

The Strategic Objectives of the Partnership

Woodside Energy, the leading global energy company, based in Australia is planning to develop a highly efficient multi-user CCS hub in Australia. This ambitious project can potentially reduce carbon emissions on a large scale. 

As part of this endeavor, Yara Pilbara has taken a proactive step by signing a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with the Angel CCS Joint Venture. 

The primary goal of this collaboration is to assess the viability of integrating CCS into Yara Pilbara’s existing operations to reduce the environmental impact of fertilizer production, a process known for its substantial carbon footprint. 

Woodside Vice President for Carbon Solutions, Jayne Baird, has given a long statement in the media release rolled out this year on April 5. He noted, 

“A multi-user CCS hub near Karratha would be ideally located to aggregate emissions from various existing industrial emissions sources across the Pilbara, providing users with advantaged access to a local, low-cost, and large-scale emissions abatement solution – a competitive advantage as jurisdictions around the world implement emissions reduction targets.”

He further added, 

“The CCS hub would also have the potential to facilitate the development of new lower-carbon industries, such as the production of hydrogen, ammonia, and green steel, supporting the diversification of the Western Australia economy.”

The proposed facility will be capable of processing ~ 5 million tonnes of CO2 annually. With its mammoth capacity, this CCS hub can become the largest in the Asia-Pacific region.

The initial size of the plant is undecided. It depends on the completion of technical, regulatory, and commercial studies.

READ MORE: Chevron Allots $26M to Carbon Capture and Storage in Australia (carboncredits.com)

Yara’s Investments in Carbon Capture and Storage 

Yara is the world’s second-largest ammonia producer, boasting the largest ammonia export and trading network and infrastructure globally. It is strategically positioning itself as a leader in low-emission ammonia production through either renewable energy sources or CCS technology. 

source: Yara

This initiative enables Yara to provide fertilizers with reduced carbon footprints to the food sector and supply low-emission fuel to the shipping industry.

Notably, at the Porsgrunn plant in Norway, Yara has constructed Europe’s largest electrolysis plants to date, showcasing its commitment to sustainable practices. 

Furthermore, Yara is actively investing in CCS technology at the Sluiskil plant in the Netherlands. And the latest and the most significant is the partnership with Woodside Energy to combat carbon emissions. 

Woodside and Angel CCS JV: The Roadmap to Carbon Neutrality

Woodside integrates its climate mitigation ambitions through its company strategy. It aspires to energy transition with a low-cost, lower-carbon, profitable, resilient, and diversified portfolio.

Last year, during an investors’ briefing on Woodside’s Climate Transition Action Plan and Progress Report, CEO Meg O’Neill hailed Angel CCS as Woodside’s most developed CCS opportunity. 

Shaun Gregory, the Executive Vice President of New Energy Growth and Operations at Woodside Energy mentioned that Angel CCS is currently in the pre-Front End Engineering and Design (FEED) stage. It will not proceed to the FEED stage until there is greater assurance on CO2 storage from potential customers. 

The main objective is to finalize the engineering design study, enter FEED, and secure sufficient customer demand. This would ensure that the project reaches its planned capacity. 

Woodside has committed to achieving net zero emissions by 2050.
It has allocated $5 billion by 2030 for new energy ventures, including hydrogen, ammonia, and lower-carbon services like CC.
They have already invested $335 million toward this goal

Apart from Angel CCS, Woodside also has Bonaparte CCS in the Northern Territory and South-East Australia CCS off the coast of Victoria. 

The image below shows Woodside’s GHG reduction plan by 2030.

source: Woodside

Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)- Facilitating New Lower-Carbon Industries

Beyond existing industries, the CCS hub has the potential to foster the development of new, sustainable sectors:

Hydrogen Production: Hydrogen, a clean energy carrier, can be produced using CCS technology.

Ammonia Production: Ammonia, essential for fertilizers and other applications, can also benefit from reduced emissions.

Green Steel: CCS can support steel production with significantly lower carbon impact.

These innovations play a role in broadening the Western Australian economy and fostering the emergence of fresh employment prospects.

If successful, this partnership could serve as a model for other industries seeking to reduce their carbon emissions. By sharing their insights and experiences, Woodside Energy and Yara Pilbara can inspire and influence positive change across various sectors.

RELATED: Carbon Capture to Urgently Scale to 7 Billion Tonnes/Year to Hit Net Zero (carboncredits.com)

 

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