Top 4 Carbon Stocks To Watch In 2023

After a record-breaking price run in the compliance and voluntary markets in 2021, many carbon stocks reached large market caps. With a softening of carbon prices across the board last year, however, some companies have retreated to interesting valuations.

Here’s how carbon prices performed last year…

Why Carbon Stocks?

Carbon stocks are an attractive option for investors looking to support the transition to a low-carbon economy and mitigate the effects of climate change. 

Companies from Amazon to Netflix and Xerox – and everyone in between – are releasing plans to disclose and reduce their carbon footprint. Most companies are targeting zero net carbon emissions (“net zero”) by the year 2050. But some have chosen much more aggressive targets.

Tech giants Apple and Microsoft, for instance, are committing to net zero by 2030. For companies like these, carbon credits and offsets as well as sequestration and energy reduction play a key role in their plans. 

Let’s take a look at some carbon stocks in 2023 to put on your radar.

1. Carbon Streaming Corporation (NETZ.NEO and OFSTF.OTC)

Carbon Streaming was one of the first publicly traded carbon stocks focused on offset credits. Being one of the first has allowed the company to become an early mover in the carbon credit space. It also enabled the firm to secure several sources of extremely high-quality carbon credits. 

Carbon Streaming trades on the NEO exchange in Canada, as well as the OTC market in the U.S. The company intends to list on the NASDAQ in the near future.

The company has been picked up by analysts at TD, Bank of Nova Scotia, BMO, and H.C. Wainwright, among other institutions, with an average price target of around US$4.50.

What are streaming and royalty companies?

Streaming and royalty companies are businesses that provide financing for the development of projects.
In exchange for providing financing, these companies receive a stream of future cash flows from the project, which is called a “stream” or “royalty.”
Streaming and royalty companies can be a good option for investors who want to support the transition to a low-carbon economy without having to bear the full financial risk of developing a project or asset.

These companies often have a portfolio of projects in different stages of development, providing diversification and reducing the risk for investors. 

In total NETZ has a portfolio of 21 projects in 12 different countries around the world.

The Rimba Raya Biodiversity Project in Indonesia is one of NETZ’s flagship projects. It’s one of the world’s largest REDD+ projects and addresses all 17 of the UN Sustainable Development Goals.

Carbon Streaming is a leveraged play on the demand and the value of carbon credits increasing in the voluntary carbon market.

Carbon Streaming Corp.’s Highlights:

Carbon credits expected to be issued from 10 or more carbon projects by the end of 2023E,
Currently trading at a significant discount to net asset value,
Management team has executed >$2 billion of streaming agreements and includes leading experts in the carbon markets,
The company expects moderate and then rapid growth of credits in the coming years, peaking near 20 million credits per year by 2027.

NETZ is an option for investors with a high-risk tolerance. The company was a the first of its kind in the carbon markets, and its unique business model could help it outperform the competition. 

It’s worth checking the company presentation out for those interested in carbon credit stocks and investments.

2. DevvStream (Private. Going Public in early 2023)

DevvStream is a new company that provides money for green projects in exchange for carbon credit rights: a potentially lucrative revenue model, as we established before. 

In addition to these rights, DevvStream manages the carbon credits generated by using an advanced blockchain-based ESG platform.

The primary business of Devvio, which is DevvStream’s parent company, is its proprietary blockchain-based ESG platform. 

As a B2B service, Devvio provides its corporate clients with a framework for global-scale enterprise management.

DevvESG offers regulatory-compliant transaction management and tracks assets for maintenance. It also has record keeping, automation, and ESG reporting capabilities. All of this is done transparently.

It was built with smart contracts through its proprietary blockchain. And that’s for a fraction of the transaction cost of other blockchain (i.e. 1/1,000,000th the energy cost of Ethereum). 

On top of this, Devvio’s platform is highly scalable. It can allow for over 8 million transactions per second. For reference, Visa only sees around 1,700 transactions per second worldwide.

And as Devvio is the majority owner of DevvStream, the latter is fully ready to make good use of its infrastructure.

Total ESG assets under management have more than tripled in the past decade, and analysts estimate that number will hit $41 trillion by the end of this year.

Globally, one in every three dollars of managed money belong to ESG-related assets.

On top of this, carbon markets are set to grow between 15x and 100x by 2030.

Put together, this gives DevvStream access to an extremely high-growth market which it can target thanks to the Devvio technology. Here’s a snapshot from their investor deck:

DevvStream’s Highlights:

What sets DevvStream apart from its competitors are its partnerships and the ecosystem that they play in both the voluntary and compliance markets.

For instance, through its partnership with its parent company, DevvStream gets direct access to all of the companies in Devvio’s ESG corporate client base who happen to be looking to buy carbon credits.

They also get the exclusive right to manage the data used to generate the carbon credits from their streaming agreements on Devvio’s blockchain platform for transparency and recordkeeping purposes. 

This gives them a major advantage over traditional carbon credits.

In addition to having access to all of Devvio’s corporate clients, DevvStream can also choose to sell its carbon credits on its partner Xpansiv’s CBL market.

Xpansiv is the largest voluntary carbon credit marketplace in the world, currently hosting over 90% of all transactions worldwide. Companies with major net-zero commitments like Chevron, Shell, Walmart, and Goldman Sachs – all use Xpansiv’s trading platform. 

Xpansiv and Devvio make the perfect partners for DevvStream. The latter provides both a blockchain platform for credits as well as access to an ESG customer base. And the former offers a secondary market for any of DevvStream’s excess credits.

DevvStream is another good option for investors with a larger appetite for risk. The company can leverage its unique partnerships to differentiate itself from its competitors.

You can learn more about DevvStream at their corporate page here.

3. Base Carbon (BCBN.NEO)

Like Carbon Streaming Corp., Base Carbon is also involved in financing carbon projects that generate voluntary carbon credits.

Base has two executed project agreements estimated to generate a total of 34 million carbon credits. This amounts to about 3 million tonnes per year at full production.

The company has committed USD$29.6 million for projects in Rwanda and Vietnam.

Project #1: Vietnam Household Devices

51.4% of Vietnam’s primary household energy is generated from solid fuel combusted within open fires or inefficient cookstoves for cooking or water sanitization.
Base Carbon will fund the manufacturing and distribution of 850,000 fuel-efficient cookstoves and 364,000 safe-drinking water purifiers to families in rural areas of Vietnam.

Project #2: Rwanda Cookstoves

Households in Rwanda rely nearly entirely on biomass for cooking and related purposes resulting in inefficiencies in fuel use and negative health impacts.
Base aims to facilitate 250,000 fuel-efficient cookstoves as part of the Tubeho Neza project, distributed to rural families, reducing consumption of wood by at least 71%

Base Carbon’s Highlights:

The projected growth of the voluntary carbon market will serve as an excellent catalyst for Base, which already has a steady source of carbon credit production locked in for the next decade.

Base has a healthy balance sheet with a strong cash position, and management is continuing to work on sourcing other high-quality carbon credit projects for the company. For instance, Base recently partnered with the Danish Red Cross to develop blue carbon projects in Southeast Asia.

In addition, the company boasts management, advisors and key insider ownership at 36.4% of shares outstanding. And institutional shareholders own another 27.7%. Base is a carbon stock where key players have a high degree of “skin in the game”.

Base is yet another option for investors with high risk tolerance. 

Its small market cap and thin volume could provide a fast-moving tailwind with any rise in carbon credit prices in 2023.

4. Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP)

Rounding out our list is Brookfield Renewable Partners, one of the world’s largest publicly traded renewable energy companies.

One of the key things that sets Brookfield apart from many similar companies in the space is the fact that BEP is a pure-play renewable company.

What that means is that the entirety of BEP’s portfolio consists solely of renewable sources of power generation. This is unlike many other power companies whose portfolios often also include traditional fossil fuel power plants.

This focus on clean energy has made BEP a world leader in renewable energy and decarbonization technologies. Plus, they have projects all over the world in both Americas, Europe, and Asia.

Currently, BEP owns 24 gigawatts of power generating assets including 229 hydroelectric plants, 105 wind farms, 88 solar power plants and a number of other sustainable & distributed energy solutions.

BEP’s management team isn’t content to sit on their laurels, however. They have an extensive development pipeline in place, with 11 GW of power capacity. And that’s a 46% increase over what they have now – secured over the next three years.

Brookfield Renewable Partners’ Highlights:

Simply put, BEP is a well-established major company with a proven and stable business model, a strong balance sheet and tons of cash flow.

Over the past 5 years, BEP has averaged just over 5% dividend yield. Since their inception over two decades ago, their distributions have grown by an average of 6% each year. At the same time, the stock itself has seen average returns of 16% a year – an outstanding track record.

Plans and capital are already in place for BEP to grow their operating capacity by 46% over the next 3 years. If the company can fully execute their development pipeline, they’ll be able to multiply their power generation portfolio by 5x. It also means offsetting as much carbon each year as the entire country of Sweden produces.

On top of this, many companies right now are looking to reduce their reliance on carbon-emitting sources of electricity to hit their net zero targets. BEP, with their 100% carbon-free renewable energy portfolio, perfectly fits the bill for such companies.

For investors with a lower appetite for risk that still want exposure to the carbon markets, BEP is a great company to keep your eyes on. 

See Similar Article: Top 3 Private Carbon Stocks to Watch (CROY, GC3, Xpansiv)

Carbon Stocks Are Grabbing Investors’ Attention in 2023

As more and more public companies declare their net-zero ambitions and disclose their carbon emissions, responsible investing is becoming a hot topic in financial markets. Big money is pouring into renewable energy and offsetting emissions using carbon credits.

Meta, Apple, and Netflix are among the tech giants leading the charge towards net-zero targets by 2030. Meanwhile, major mining companies like Barrick and Newmont, as well as energy giants like Saudi Aramco, Exxon and Shell, are also making similar commitments.

These developments will likely increase investor interest in all things carbon-related in 2023 and beyond. As net-zero targets for 2030 draw closer, we can expect this trend to accelerate even further.

Carbon stocks could prove as a valuable addition to an investor’s portfolio as the world heads towards net zero targets.

Disclosure: Owners, members, directors and employees of carboncredits.com have/may have stock or option position in any of the companies mentioned: NETZ

Additional disclosure: This communication serves the sole purpose of adding value to the research process and is for information only. Please do your own due diligence. Every investment in securities mentioned in publications of carboncredits.com involve risks which could lead to a total loss of the invested capital.

Please read our Full RISKS and DISCLOSURE here.

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Abu Dhabi National Oil Invests $15B in Decarbonization Projects

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) committed a $15 billion investment in low-carbon projects to curb operations emissions and meet decarbonization goals.

The United Arab Emirates oil and gas giant has unveiled its multi-year action plan, allocating $15 billion for various low-carbon projects across its diversified value chain by the end of the decade.

The UAE has committed over $165 billion to transition to clean energy. It’s the first Persian Gulf state to aim for 2050 net zero emissions.

Dr. Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, UAE Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology and ADNOC Group CEO, said:

“Cementing our strong track record of responsible and reliable energy production, ADNOC will fast-track significant investments into landmark clean energy, low-carbon and decarbonization technology projects. As we continue to future-proof our business, we invite technology and industry leaders to partner with us, to collectively drive real and meaningful action that embraces the energy transition.”

ADNOC Decarbonization Goals

As part of its sustainability goals, ADNOC plans to cut its carbon emissions intensity by 25% by 2030. This will strengthen its position as one of the least carbon-intensive oil and gas companies in the world.

ADNOC ranks in the top 5 lowest emitters in the oil and gas industry. It also has one of the lowest methane intensities (0.01%).

The UAE giant highlighted that its decarbonization goals build on its “strong track record as a leading lower-carbon intensity energy producer”. And that record includes these actions:

use of zero-carbon grid power,
committed to zero flaring as part of routine operations, and
deployed the UAE’s first carbon capture project at scale – Al Reyadah.

Middle East oil and gas firms are investing billions of dollars to scale up their hydrocarbon production capacities. But they’re also preparing to invest heavily in energy transition initiatives such as hydrogen and carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects.

The $15 Billion Projects

ADNOC said that throughout 2023, it will reveal a suite of new projects and initiatives to decarbonize operations. The company’s $15 billion investment includes:

A first-of-its-kind CCS project
Innovative carbon removal technologies
New, cleaner energy solutions (hydrogen and renewables)
Further electrification of operations
Measures to build on its policy of zero routine gas flaring
Strengthening international partnerships

The energy firm also said that it will apply “a rigorous commercial and sustainability assessment to ensure that each project delivers lasting, tangible impact”.

In December last year, ADNOC set up a new business called “Low Carbon Solutions & International Growth“. It’s in line with its goal to reach Scope 1 and 2 net zero emissions by 2050.

The new business will focus on CCS, renewables, and clean hydrogen. It will also help the company expand internationally in gas, liquefied natural gas, and chemicals.

UAE’s CCS Expansion Plan

Building on its Al Reyadah facility, which can capture up to 800,000 tonnes of CO2 annually, ADNOC also plans to deploy technologies to capture, store, and absorb CO2.

The company is also working on its next major decarbonization investment to curb emissions from its Habshan gas processing facility.

With ADNOC’s planned expansion of its CCS capacity to 5 million tonnes per annum by 2030, the UAE will be “firmly established as a worldwide hub for carbon capture expertise and innovation,” the firm stated.

Such CCS expansion represents an over 500% increase in the company’s carbon capture capacity.

ADNOC added that this plan seeks to support the scale-up of hydrogen and lower-carbon ammonia production in Abu Dhabi. They even plan to scale blue ammonia production capacity to 1 million tonnes per year at its Taziz facility.

UAE’s major energy player also confirmed that it has already delivered test cargoes of low-carbon ammonia to Europe and Asia.

The company’s expansion of its new energy portfolio will be possible via its stake in Masdar, the region’s clean energy powerhouse. ADNOC said Masdar is leading the UAE to develop a global position in green hydrogen.

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British Airways Gives Flyers Option to Buy Carbon Credits

British Airways introduced an option to all passengers who want to offset their flight emissions by buying carbon credits from a 3rd-party company.

British Airways added CO2 removal to its menu of carbon offsetting options via its upgraded climate platform, CO2llaborate. It allows passengers to tackle their carbon emissions when flying.

Cutting Carbon Emissions

The major UK airline already offsets the carbon footprint on all its flights within the country. The new initiative is part of the airline’s plan to reduce carbon emissions by 50% by 2050.

Not only does this give fliers a chance to calculate and address their flight emissions, but they can now buy carbon removal credits directly from their onboard aircraft seat.

Director of sustainability, Carrie Harris said:

“In 2019, when we committed to achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050, we identified that a vital way to meet this goal would be by using carbon removals and we currently expect that these could contribute up to a third of our total action.”

The airline has already made the removal credits available to customers through its website and onboard flights.

British Airways’ move came days after it revealed its plans to buy 10 more aircraft from Boeing and Airbus. But some critics say that taking more flights can only worsen climate change.

Still, the airline company maintains that it’s taking actions to reduce its carbon emissions and cut its reliance on fossil fuels. These include improving operational efficiency, investing in more fuel-efficient aircraft, and scaling up the availability of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF).

Now the airline seeks to help hasten the scale-up of carbon removals solutions. And so, it now allows passengers to choose between a combination of SAF and either carbon offsets or carbon removals as a means of slashing their CO2 footprint.

CO2llaborate: Carbon Offsets & SAF vs. Carbon Removals & SAF

Carbon offsets come from projects that remove, avoid, or reduce emissions. On the other hand, carbon removals refer to projects that remove carbon.

In other words, when flyers choose carbon removals, they’re supporting projects (e.g., nature-based solutions or technologies) that withdraw carbon from the air and then store the carbon for the medium to long term. But if they pick carbon offsetting by buying carbon credits, they may be supporting a project that removes or reduces or avoids carbon.

British Airways’ flight emission calculation tool uses a slider that selects the amount of SAF and carbon removals, or SAF and carbon offsets. Flyers are also given a direct link where to buy carbon credits.

Here’s a quick overview of the airline’s process to show the difference between these two options, with an example of a flight. It’s a round trip between London and India.

A flyer can choose the most common ratio of 10% SAF and 90% carbon removals.

By comparison, going for more SAF results in a higher price.

Likewise, flyers can set any desired ratio of SAF to carbon offsets. Again, more SAF ratio will bring the total price higher. But overall, carbon offsets remain cheaper than carbon removals.

British Airways’ new carbon removal program will initially be available for flights from London Heathrow Airport to New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Chicago, Miami, Hong Kong and Mumbai.

British Airways and Carbon Removal

The airlines said that it worked with CarbonNeutral, a CO2 removal company. It will provide the carbon removal services to British Airways customers.

CarbonNeutral will remove 1 ton of CO2 for every passenger who flies British Airways, or 5 tons for a business class passenger.

Flyers can opt for a blend of two independently certified carbon removal projects on the CO2llaborate platform:

The Blue Carbon Mangrove Project – reforestation and revegetation of about 225,000 hectares of degraded tidal wetlands in Pakistan’s Indus Delta.
The Freres Biochar Project – based in Oregon, ensuring that the company’s biomass power production plant produce biochar (charcoal-like material that locks away carbon)

More CO2 removal projects will be added. The carbon offsetting option allows passengers to offset personal emissions by planting trees on their behalf in Brazil’s rainforests.

The new carbon removal program is available to all British Airways customers who fly on a long-haul route. It can be from any airport in Europe to any airport outside the continent.

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2023 is the Year for Green Hydrogen, Here’s How

Government subsidy programs in 2023 will help ensure that the global green hydrogen industry will transform from a hot table topic to a large-scale renewable power source.

Hydrogen is leading the debate on clean energy transitions, offering many uses but more so in providing renewable power. Green hydrogen, in particular, gets a lot of traction and is hailed as the energy of the future.

Meeting such a prediction needs trillions of dollars by 2050 – about $15 trillion or $800 billion of investments a year.

Major oil and power firms aim to bring huge investments to make green H2 a reality. Some of them are Shell, Adani, TotalEnergies, and ACWA Power.

While the private sector has a big role in making green H2 the future energy, the public sector also shares the same footing. A wave of government subsidies, some are already underway while others are still plans, will support the development of green hydrogen projects.

The most significant support program is most likely the U.S. hydrogen tax credits. But similar other programs are also available in the EU, UK, Germany, Canada, and India.

Several large-scale green H2 projects will reach their final investment decisions in 2023 or begin construction by the year’s end. Yet, to date, only 270 MW of green hydrogen projects are operating.

So how do all the green hydrogen subsidy programs stand this 2023?

Biggest Support for Green H2

The Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law in August 2022, offers tax credits of up to $3/kg to clean hydrogen producers for the first 10 years of a project’s lifetime. The amount of credit depends on the carbon emissions lifecycle of the project.

The tax credit can make green H2 cheaper to produce than grey hydrogen from unabated fossil fuels.

Though the US government is still revising the final details of the subsidy scheme, they’ll be up for release in the coming months. But complaints against the Act – for alleged violations of international trade rules – from affected nations may cause a bit of delay.

For instance, the EU, Norway, and Australia objected to the Act’s preferential treatment to US-made products.

Still, the US remains to be the biggest market for green hydrogen production in 2023. The tax credits are one reason for that. Plus, the $9.5 billion federal cash subsidy provided in the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act for clean H2 development.

The program includes $8 billion to fund at least 4 regional clean hydrogen hubs. The law defines the hubs as:

“networks of clean hydrogen producers, potential clean hydrogen consumers, and connective infrastructure located in close proximity”.

The goal is for those hubs to form a national clean hydrogen economy. It also pushes to cut the cost of green hydrogen to less than $2/kg by 2026 (from more than $5/kg today).

Estimates show that the cost of green H2 made through water electrolysis will decrease by 2050 to even less than blue H2.

Global Subsidies for Green Hydrogen

EU’s CCfD

The European Commission revealed its Carbon Contracts for Difference (CCfD) subsidies for green hydrogen through its Innovation Fund. The program supports a complete switch from natural gas to renewables in producing H2.

Under the CCfD scheme, the EU governments will pay end users, not the producers, a certain amount for not emitting carbon. And that includes the money saved from not paying a carbon price and a top-up subsidy to hit the strike price (cost of producing H2) as detailed in the CCfD.

The program aims to help the bloc achieve its goal of producing 10 million tonnes of green H2 by 2030 and importing another 10 MT by the same period.

The final details of this EU’s green hydrogen subsidy were due last year, but disagreement from the EP delayed it. A new draft proposal needs final agreement by all member states and the EP.

UK’s CfD

Same with the EU, the UK has also devised its own Contracts for Difference (CfD) subsidy scheme for clean hydrogen by the end of 2022. It will support up to 1 GW of green hydrogen projects with two rounds in 2023 and 2024. They have to be under construction or operational by 2025.

UK’s CfD also needs finalization, but it will help lower the price of making green H2 and scale it up. The government will shortlist green hydrogen developers showing interest in its subsidy program in early 2023.

Meanwhile, the Scottish government announced in December last year its $112 million Green Hydrogen Fund, calling for H2 project proposals early this year. The goal is to install 5GW of clean H2 by 2030 and 25GW by 2045.

Germany, Canada, and India

Germany’s H2Global green hydrogen subsidy program (for H2 imported into the EU only) is, by far, the most advanced scheme. It is a double-auction scheme: one for green ammonia and the other for green methanol and H2-based sustainable aviation fuels. It’s supported by an initial €900m ($959m) funding.

A special firm owned by the German government, the Hydrogen Intermediary Network Company (HintCo), will buy green hydrogen or its derivatives from international producers. Then HintCo can sell it to European customers.

And any cost difference between the purchase agreements and supply contracts will be made up from the government subsidy.

Germany aims to complete the auctions by mid-2023 but won’t launch the supply auctions until 2024-25.

For Canada, the scheme works differently from European models.

The Canadian government will introduce in the Spring a new tax credit of as much as 40% for H2 production. This program mirrors the US H2 tax credit system in which the credit depends on various factors. It will run until 2030 but is up for public consultation to finalize details.

While for the Indian government, it plans to mandate the use of green H2 in industrial sectors such as steel, oil refining, fertilizer, and cement production.

Part of that goal is a $2 billion incentive program that will most likely be officially revealed in April. This will make the country another major green hydrogen player in 2023.

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USPS Unveils Plans for Electric Delivery Truck Fleet

The U.S. Postal Service (USPS) recently announced that it will invest $10 billion for new electric delivery trucks.

USPS is set to buy around 66,000 electric trucks for its mail delivery by 2028. Depending on the success of this deal, the postal agency could potentially make all their delivery trucks electric. This number makes up roughly 25% of its current number of delivery trucks.

At present, USPS has 217,000 vehicles in its fleet. A lot of these are over decades old and contain outdated features. As most of these vehicles will soon need replacement, this would be the ideal time to switch to electric delivery trucks. 

The majority of the electric vehicles it will buy will come from Oshkosh Corp. Oshkosh is a company that specializes in manufacturing access equipment and specialty trucks.

USPC will buy 60,000 vehicles from Oshkosh. 45,000 of that number would be electric trucks. Upon the news of this contract, shares of Oshkosh went up by 2.7%. 

USPS will also buy 46,000 more vehicles from other mainstream companies. 21,000 of that number will be electric. 

The current fleet of trucks is around 30 years old and lack basic features such as air bags and air conditioning. The new mix of electric trucks are set to almost exclusively replace these older trucks.

Postmaster General Louis DeJoy also revealed plans to modify facilities to accept the new electric trucks.

Although it has plans to go all electric in the future, USPS still has to buy some trucks with internal combustion engines at the moment. This is because almost half of its current fleet are on long distance routes, delivering mail between different states. 

USPS will spend $9.6 billion on the vehicles and associated infrastructure. This includes $3 billion from the Inflation Reduction Act.

The Biden administration is keen to invest in electrification for state sectors. Earlier this year, the US Senate introduced a new bill to electrify non-tactical vehicles in the US military. 

Global Trend for Electric Delivery Trucks

Other logistics and delivery service companies have also revealed plans to turn delivery vehicles electric.

FedEx, for example, expects to be fully carbon neutral by 2040. It will only buy electric delivery vehicles from 2030 onwards. Its competitor, UPS, has plans to be carbon neutral by 2050. By 2025, it plans for 40% of its fuel consumption to come from alternative fuels. 

Similar net-zero commitments have been made by the UK government for its postal services. Earlier this year, it unveiled its net zero strategy for the Royal Mail to reduce its carbon emissions. Royal Mail plans to be net zero by 2040. 

Royal Mail has plans to increase its fleet of electric vans to 5,500 by the spring of 2023 and invest $15 million for charging infrastructure across the country.

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