China’s CO2 Emissions Up 4% in Q1 2023, Hit a Record High

China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions grew 4% in the first quarter of 2023, hitting a record high and is projected to reach an all-time high this year. But the continued expansion of low-carbon energy will bring down the country’s emissions eventually.

The new analysis according to Carbon Brief shows that the rapid expansion in low-carbon energy can make the emissions to peak and decline if the post-Covid recovery plan works out. 

With China focusing on economic growth, the biggest CO2 emitter in the world’s footprint will likely to hit an all-time high in 2023. The country emitted over 10,000 million tonnes of CO2 in 2020, representing about 30% of the world’s carbon emissions. 

China’s Quarterly Carbon Emissions

Compared with a year earlier, China’s carbon emissions jump 4% in this year’s 1st quarter, according to the analysis. It exceeded the previous peak in emissions in the same quarter in 2021. 

Emissions are estimates from China’s National Bureau of Statistics data on production of fossil fuels and cement, China Customs data on imports and exports, and WIND Information data on changes in inventories.

As seen in the chart above, the red bar represents China’s carbon emissions for the first quarter of each year. The rise was due to the growing demand for fossil fuels, with increases in oil consumption (over 5%), coal (more than 3%), gas (over 4%), and cement production (4%). 

What Causes China’s Emissions to Rise?

The key reasons for the super-emitter’s increase in carbon emissions are the following, the analysis reveals:

Economic rebound post-Covid recovery
Financial stimulus measures
Weak hydropower generation 

Breaking down the emissions per sector, the biggest contributor to the increase was power generation, where coal-generated electricity grew by 2%. The coal-power output rose by 3.6% relative to the previous year’s quarter. 

Source: Carbon Brief

The poor hydropower production in China resulted in increased coal power use. Low rainfall and droughts caused the weak hydro output. 

The world’s second largest economy by GDP has been boosting its domestic coal power production since 2021 for energy security. It rose by 11% in 2022 but despite more domestic supply, coal import almost doubled in Q1 2023.

The reason for that is the lower quality of coal produced in the country – each tonne containing less energy.

In terms of electricity, demand grew by over 4% which accounts for about 80% of China’s total carbon emissions increase. This was largely due to the end of the country’s zero-Covid policy, meaning businesses and commercial operations resumed. 

For the same reason, transportation activities got back to normal, increasing the consumption of fossil fuels by more than 6%. Air travel rebounded intensely, in particular.

China Achieves Significant Energy Milestone

Despite increases in CO2 emissions, China managed to hit a meaningful milestone in generating power from clean or non-fossil sources. These include renewables and nuclear which exceeded 50% of the country’s installed power capacity in history. They overtook coal production capacity and other dirty sources of power. 

In particular, solar and wind power installation increased significantly both hitting a record high.

Solar installations grew by almost 3x the previous high of 13GW in the same quarter of 2022 – 34 GW. New wind power installations – 10.4GW – increased by 32%, another record for Q1 2023. The country beats its new wind and solar capacity 120GW target in 2022, achieving 125GW. 

A key element in China’s strategy to ramp up its wind and solar power generation is developing massive clean energy bases in its deserts, abandoned coal mines, and other unused lands. 

Those bases are being built in batches, the first two with 97GW and 200GW capacity will be completed by 2025. If installations in 2023 hit the country’s 160GW goal, 240GW annual capacity will be added in the next two years

China’s nuclear capacity also improved. 

Based on its current nuclear capacity (57GW) and ongoing construction (27GW), the super-emitter is on track to achieve its targets. That’s to have 30GW under construction and 70GW in operation by 2025. Two nuclear reactors have already begun construction and one started producing power this year. 

Demand for electricity is likely to increase this year in China, which will also push coal power production higher. However, the growing low-carbon supplies or energy from clean sources will try to match the demand growth in coal. 

Ultimately, when clean energy surpasses the annual increase in electricity demand, the power sector’s carbon emissions will peak. 

What Do China’s Emissions Look Like in 2023?

The current trends in the 1st quarter and industry estimates suggest that the largest  emitter’s footprint will rise this year. It will likely top the previous peak in 2021 as shown in the chart.

Source: Carbon Brief

The major reason for this outlook is the Chinese government’s pursuit of financial stimulus measures to bolster manufacturing capacity, energy production, and transport infrastructure. 

While increases in emissions vary per sector, overall energy demand will be up 3% in 2023. Taking into account the projected increase in low-carbon energy production, a 1% to 4% increase in China’s CO2 emissions will follow as fossil fuels make up the difference. 

A report from the World Bank said that China would need $17 trillion in investments to achieve its climate goals. These investments are in the power and transport sectors alone.

The super-emitter had rebooted its carbon scheme, the China Certified Emissions Reduction, early this year to reduce its carbon emissions. If the post-Covid recovery works as planned, a sustained expansion in clean energy production will drive emissions to peak and then eventually decline in the coming years. 

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Revolutionizing Textile Recycling with HTC

A Virginia-based startup, Circ, has developed a unique hydrothermal processing technology for recycling blended textiles, like polyester-cotton blends. With fast fashion’s emissions and environmental impact becoming a significant concern, this innovation could play a crucial role in establishing a circular economy in the textile sector.

Fashion’s Emissions and Environmental Impact

The fashion industry is responsible for about 10% of annual global GHG emissions, and projections show that will increase over 50% by 2030.

Fashion’s environmental impact has increased considerably due to the rise of so-called “fast fashion”. This refers to the clothes mass produced at low cost with high-speed turnaround times to go with latest fashion trends. 

With fast fashion, trending clothes styles and designs are replicable and become available on retail and online stores quickly. This brings the perception that clothes are disposable and drives over consumption, especially by consumers in rich countries. 

Fast fashion is growing rapidly as people buy more clothes more often, and production has doubled within two decades. About 50 billion new items were made in 2000 and 20 years later, that number doubled to 100 billion.

On average, a person buys 60% more clothes than they did before and everybody in Europe is throwing 15 kg or 33 lb. of textiles every year. 

Unfortunately, less than a fifth of the discarded items get recycled. As a result, waste textiles from disposed garments are filling up landfills. Yet, demand for fast fashion clothes continues to grow, along with the sector’s harmful carbon emissions and water consumption.

Manufacturing clothes uses about 100 billion cubic meters of water every year. That’s equal to 4% of the global total freshwater withdrawal. 

These concerns are being addressed with the industry players showing interests in more sustainable practices. The European Union, in particular, is pushing for mandated textile waste collection by 2025. 

Circ’s Unique Textile Recycling Technology

More clothes go to recycling facilities; recycled polyester comprises 15% of the textile market in 2020, from 11% in 2010. The biggest challenge of recycling textile waste is the difficulty in doing it with blended fabrics. But Circ’s innovative recycling technology fixes this concern. 

The startup’s unique hydrothermal carbonization (HTC) processing technology offers a technical solution. It can separate blended textiles to recover the majority of the raw materials from waste to produce as-good-as-virgin materials that manufacturers can reuse to make new clothes.

This groundbreaking technology attracted €38 million in two funding rounds from large investors such as Bill Gates’s Breakthrough Energy Ventures, Zara’s Indite, and Patagonia’s Tin Shed Ventures. 

Recycling Poly-Cotton Blends with Circ’s System

Circ’s HCT process is a repurpose from biofuel production to textiles recycling. The firm is running a pilot recycling facility that can recycle several tonnes of waste textile daily. 

Right now, there’s no recycling method available that can recycle poly-cotton blended fabrics at commercial scale. While there’s an established process to break down pure polyester or PET for recycling purposes, working with poly-cotton blends is very difficult. 

But Circ’s system successfully separates polyester and cotton without damaging the materials, recovering about 90% from the waste textile. It uses hot water, pressure, and chemical solvents to recover both materials – called the hydrothermal process. 

By increasing the pH of hot water used in the HTC process, the polyester breaks down into two main monomers – terephthalic acid (PTA) and ethylene glycol (EG). As seen in the picture, cotton separates as a solid stream from the liquified polyester containing the PTA and EG. 

Then those monomers recombine to produce new material for making PET plastic. On the other end, Circ uses a solvent to dissolve the cotton and make cotton-like fibers.

The system’s major goal is to recover the cotton fibers without damaging them by depolymerizing the polyester.

Other Uses of HTC Processing 

Apart from fashion and textile recycling, the HTC process is also useful in other clean technology applications that further cut emissions. 

For instance, Mura Technology, is about to complete its first commercial-scale plastic recycling facility in Teesside, UK. The company is also using a hydrothermal process to recycle all types of plastic wastes to recover reusable monomers.

Research further shows that HTC processes are also applied in converting cotton textile waste into energy sources like clean solid fuel. 

Circ’s Next Steps

Circ is set to launch its first full-scale factory in 2025 that can process more than a thousand tonnes of waste textiles a week. The company aims to bring that capability to 10 billion pieces of clothes, representing 10% of the world’s apparel market.

The company faces market-based challenges, such as finding industrial buyers for its recycled materials. Its major investor fashion brands haven’t agreed yet to be the company’s customers. 

Circ also needs to form partnerships and collaborations with other players to create a circular economy for textiles. This is critical not just to curb emissions of fast fashion clothes but also the entire industry.

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First API for Carbon Credits, Cloverly, Raises $19M Series A Round

Cloverly, an advanced digital infrastructure that launched the first API for carbon credits, raised $19 million in its Series A funding round led by Grotech Ventures.

With the aim to scale climate action, Cloverly serves 200+ enterprises worldwide across sectors that leverage its platform to manage their carbon credit operations. The Series A financing is for further development of the company’s infrastructure.

Participating in the round were leading investors such as Mission One Capital, New Climate Ventures, and CreativeCo Capital. Existing investors include Tech Square Ventures, Circadian Ventures, Knoll Ventures, SaaS Ventures, and Panoramic Ventures.  

Driving Impact at Scale in a Critical Industry 

To meet global emissions targets, the world has to remove an additional 10 billion tonnes of CO2 yearly by 2050. Carbon dioxide removal is crucial to address hard-to-abate emissions to reach net zero emissions. 

The voluntary carbon market (VCM) provides a critical means to drive urgent action by targeting unavoidable emissions today, along with the required emissions reductions to mitigate climate change.

The urgency to deal with climate change fuels the massive growth of the VCM. Expert industry estimates suggest that the market can reach $50 billion by 2030. Despite this, however, the VCM still lacks enough innovations necessary to drive impact at scale in this critical industry. 

Cloverly steps in to address concerns on market access, ease, trust, and transparency by launching the first API (Application Programming Interface) in the world for carbon credits. 

Sharing his insights on the role of the VCM in promoting critical climate action, Cloverly CEO Jason Rubottom said:

“We cannot wait – we need to act now. The importance of the voluntary carbon market demonstrates an unprecedented demand for solutions that allow both businesses and consumers to actively contribute to critical climate action. Cloverly is uniquely positioned to facilitate that engagement and this funding round represents that.”

The Atlanta-based startup, founded in 2018, grew to be one of the leading digital infrastructure powering the VCM. Its platform is used by global companies such as Salesforce, Visa, and American Express to power their climate action goals.

Cloverly Carbon Credit API Platform

Both corporate buyers of carbon credits and project suppliers can use Cloverly platform to scale their climate action and businesses. 

Buyers can directly buy quality carbon removal credits through the platform or embed the Cloverly technology into their own products, services, or supply chains. Purchasing carbon credits in the platform comes in three options:

Purchase offsets towards a specific carbon removal project
Invest in a custom carbon offset portfolio
Flexibility to purchase spot, forward, and offtake credits

Similarly, project suppliers can also leverage the Cloverly Marketplace and the supplier software that enables them to manage commercial operations such as inventory management and tracking of carbon credit sales.  

The new supplier platform offers credits from innovative suppliers such as Therm, KOKO Networks, and CarbonCure.

How Cloverly Platform Works in 3 Steps

1. Flexible Integrations

Cloverly offers flexible integration solutions to fit user product experience from fully integrated to plug-and-play options. Users can procure carbon credits as one-time purchases from the marketplace or as fractional credits to match the carbon emissions of any transaction. Full flexibility also means users can make Cloverly’s powerful climate action features feel like an inherent part of their solution.

2. Purchase High-quality Carbon Credits

Cloverly purchases and retires verified carbon removals and offsets in the amount needed to cover user’s carbon emissions. So whether it is one customer’s transaction or the entire business’s footprint, Cloverly can make any activity carbon neutral.

3. Reporting and Visibility

With each purchase, Cloverly produces a unique transaction receipt and certificate with the carbon credits purchased and the impact created. This helps the customer intuitively understand the real-world effects of their climate action.

On the Dashboard, Cloverly aggregates transactions and enables custom reporting to help users track their progress toward becoming climate-positive.

Addressing the Growing Market Demand

The $19 million financing brings Cloverly’s total fundraising to $21.1 million

The Series A financing will fund more development of Cloverly’s digital infrastructure for the voluntary carbon markets. These include the new supplier platform to help buyers, suppliers, and any other company to easily scale their climate impact. 

The new funds will also support growing Cloverly’s team and opening another headquarters in London to address global customer demand. 

One of the original lead investors in the company remarked that the tech startup’s growth is a “testament to their continued innovation to meet this critical market need.”

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Carbon Streaming Invests $15M in Mast for Post-Wildfire Reforestation

Carbon Streaming Corporation signed a project pipeline streaming agreement with Mast Reforestation for up to $15 million, plus another $2 million investment into Mast’s parent company. 

The deal seeks to advance Mast’s pipeline of post-wildfire reforestation projects in the Western USA. Each project will have a separate stream agreement with Carbon Streaming.

Carbon Streaming is pioneering the use of streaming transactions to scale high-integrity carbon credit projects to accelerate global climate action. The streaming company now joins Mast’s existing investors, including Social Capital, TIME Ventures, DBL Partners, and Elemental Excelerator.

The carbon removal credits from the projects will be issued by the Climate Action Reserve’s (CAR) Climate Forward program.

Carbon Credits from The Streaming Deal 

Carbon Streaming will make an upfront deposit under each agreement. In return, the company will receive up to 100% of the carbon credits produced by Mast Reforestation Projects. It will then make ongoing payments to Mast for every carbon credit sold.

The CAR’s program will issue the credits called Forecasted Mitigation Units which will sell at a premium price to typical ARR – Afforestation, Reforestation and Revegetation – credits. This is because of the conservation and biodiversity benefits the projects also bring and their good location.

Carbon Streaming expects the Mast Reforestation Projects to cover over 9,000 acres of land severely damaged by wildfires. Collectively, they can remove about 1 million tonnes of CO2 and generate a corresponding number of carbon credits – 1 million. Each credit represents one tonne of carbon removed.

The first project under the financing agreement is the Sheep Creek Reforestation Stream that can remove about 225,000 tonnes of CO2 equivalent. Carbon credits from this project are based on two planting phases and will be issued in 2025 and 2026, respectively.

The project covers a 2,700+ acre in Montana that was severely burned during the 2021 Harris Mountain Fire. The supply of seedlings from Mast will restore the area and Carbon Streaming financing will support its reforestation efforts. 

Last year, Mast pre-sold all carbon credits from a similar creek project to corporate buyers like Shopify and Time CO2.

Under the terms of this first stream agreement, Carbon Streaming will pay Mast an initial amount of $0.54 million. Then additional stream payments of up to $3 million will follow as the Sheep Creek reaches key milestones such as site preparation and planting.

Carbon Streaming will also make ongoing delivery payments to Mast for each carbon credit sold under the project. The company expects financial payback after first issuance of the credits. 

Impact of the Reforestation Projects

The rate and amount of damage of wildfires have been intensifying in recent years, costing billions of dollars and losing thousands of lives. It also takes decades for fauna and flora to recover from the damages of wildfire. Thus, post-wildfire restoration efforts of Mast are an important part of climate change mitigation. 

Mast is a leading end-to-end reforestation company, combining proven reforestation practices with new technology to regrow healthy, resilient, climate-adapted forests. Its reforestation projects will bring positive impacts to wildlife and terrestrial as well as aquatic ecosystems.

Here’s how Mast’s reforestation project works:

The company invests heavily in biology, software, and hardware technologies to reduce costs and timelines needed to reforest post-wildfire areas. It is supporting these investments through innovative financing models like that of Carbon Streaming. 

One of the major challenges in North American forestry is the source of seeds and the space to grow them. This is where Mast’s business model comes in, positioning itself as the biggest private seedbank in the American West. The company grows most of the seedlings used for reforestation in California. 

Mast also provides various services ranging from seed collection and cultivation to traditional hand planting and ongoing site monitoring. Its reforestation projects support rural livelihoods while providing jobs across the project’s activities. 

Remarking on the partnership, Mast Founder and CEO Grant Canary said: 

“We are excited to collaborate with Carbon Streaming in this new partnership as it shares our unique vision for scaling reforestation and carbon removal solutions. This Pipeline Agreement is a scalable model that will help us get more trees in the ground, accelerating reforestation efforts in areas devastated by the rise in forest fires amplified by climate change.”

Carbon Streaming is also investing another $2 million into Mast’s parent company. It will be for adding key personnel, and continued investment into software, hardware, and field technology. 

Mast Reforestation seeks to continue growing its pipeline of projects by looking for more partners that see the value in the high-quality carbon removal credits that its reforestation projects generate.

Disclosure: Owners, members, directors and employees of carboncredits.com have/may have stock or option position in any of the companies mentioned: NETZ

Additional disclosure: This communication serves the sole purpose of adding value to the research process and is for information only. Please do your own due diligence. Every investment in securities mentioned in publications of carboncredits.com involve risks which could lead to a total loss of the invested capital.

Please read our Full RISKS and DISCLOSURE here.

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DevvStream’s BFCOP Revolutionizes Carbon Offsetting for Buildings

The climate crisis demands innovative solutions, and DevvStream’s groundbreaking Buildings and Facilities Carbon Offset Program (BFCOP) is a promising step towards a greener future. 

By empowering building owners in the US and Canada to generate revenue through carbon credit sales, DevvStream is positioning itself as a leader in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) initiatives.

BFCOP Targets Key Emission Sources

BFCOP’s primary focus on energy efficiency, renewable power generation, and electric vehicle charging stations addresses a significant issue: building emissions. Buildings account for about 40% of global energy-related carbon emissions. 

In the U.S. alone, almost 6 million buildings contain 100 billion sq. ft. of space, excluding residential. Canada has five hundred thousand buildings to deal with, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA).

There are a lot of sources of greenhouse gas when building a structure, including sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, carbon, particulate matter, etc. Other major sources include the energy needed for the production and transportation of building materials, disposing wastes, and construction equipment.

By targeting this massive potential, DevvStream aims to make a substantial impact on global emissions while offering incentives for building owners through carbon credits to embrace sustainable practices.

BFCOP is a first-of-its-kind program designed to help building owners earn extra revenue with carbon credits. Both new and retrofitted buildings can join in the program with no cost. 

DevvStream’s Growth Potential

For DevvStream, the implications of BFCOP’s success are immense. As a technology-based ESG company, their core mission is to advance the development and monetization of environmental assets, initially focusing on carbon markets. 

The success of BFCOP could solidify Devvstream’s reputation as a pioneer in carbon offset programs, potentially leading to more growth and expansion. This proves timely as the demand for carbon offset credits has been rising and is projected to grow exponentially. 

An industry estimate says that the total value of carbon offsets can be worth $1 trillion as early as 2037. The global voluntary carbon market (VCM) was valued at ~$2 billion in 2021 and is expected to grow 50x by 2030.

Corporate net zero pledges or climate commitments will bolster trading of carbon credits in the VCM. These offsets are from projects or initiatives that avoid, reduce, or remove carbon from the air. Each offset represents one tonne of avoided, reduced, or removed carbon. 

DevvStream is capitalizing on the opportunity that the carbon market provides and its growth potential. Banking on this, the company partners with other major industry players. 

For instance, DevvStream will leverage its relationship with Global Green, an American affiliate of Green Cross International (GCI). Global Green provides DevvStream access to major municipalities across the US and Fortune 100 companies with extensive building portfolios. 

Furthermore, DevvStream’s joint venture Marmota will take care of the Canadian market via its extensive network of municipal and provincial governments. 

BFCOP’s Expansion into the EU Market

The BFCOP’s planned expansion into the EU market shows DevvStream’s ambitions to become a global player in carbon reduction initiatives. Buildings are responsible for around 40% of the EU’s energy consumption and 36% of its GHG emissions. 

The bloc has been diligent in finding ways to slash the huge emissions coming from its building sector. DevvStream’s strategic move to expand into the region could attract multinational corporations and governments seeking to achieve their sustainability goals. This would further strengthen DevvStream’s position in the market.

As Sunny Trinh, CEO of DevvStream, pointed out, the BFCOP program offers a simple onboarding process, an advantageous revenue-sharing model, professional implementation, and rapid results. These features make the program an attractive option for organizations looking to reduce their carbon footprint while generating additional revenue.

The Future of DevvStream and Green Technology

The success of the BFCOP initiative could pave the way for DevvStream to explore other green technology projects. These include renewable energy generation, energy efficiency improvements, and carbon sequestration. 

By doing so, DevvStream could continue to assist governments and corporations in meeting their net zero goals and drive the development of more sustainable practices worldwide.

In the US, renewable energy generates about 20% of all electricity generation and that percentage continues to grow. The country is rich with renewable resources, with the amount available being 100x that of the nation’s annual electricity needs. 

Carbon sequestration projects are also getting a lot of traction globally, winning over billions of dollars of investments. And buildings are now considered to have the potential to sequester CO2 through building materials that act as carbon sponges. 

By focusing on the built environment sector, DevvStream’s BFCOP program holds significant promise for the future of carbon reduction. If successful, it could cement DevvStream’s position as a leader in the ESG market and serve as a catalyst for further innovation in the fight against climate change.

Disclosure: Owners, members, directors and employees of carboncredits.com have/may have stock or option position in any of the companies mentioned: DESG

Additional disclosure: This communication serves the sole purpose of adding value to the research process and is for information only. Please do your own due diligence. Every investment in securities mentioned in publications of carboncredits.com involve risks which could lead to a total loss of the invested capital.

Please read our Full RISKS and DISCLOSURE here.

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Carbon Credits: An Essential Tool in the Fight Against Climate Change

Voluntary carbon credits are attracting more attention, both negative and positive, and many believe that they’re playing a crucial role in the fight against climate change. 

As businesses pledge more lofty climate goals to help reduce global carbon emissions, the market specially developed to help polluters cut and manage their carbon footprint is also growing. The instrument or unit used in trading within this market is carbon credits. 

How essential is this marketing tool really in keeping global warming at bay? This piece will explain how as well as discuss the twin role of carbon credits in abating climate change and the major challenges the market must address. 

Taking on the Climate Crisis with Carbon Credits

Carbon credits are also known as carbon offsets in the voluntary carbon market (VCM). Under the compliance or regulated market, they are referred to as carbon allowances or permits that allow the holder a certain amount of carbon emissions. 

The regulated carbon market is born out of the laws mandating carbon reductions. It’s managed by emission trading systems (ETS) and is also called the cap and trade system. It dwarfs the size of the VCM ($1 billion), with market value hitting $851 billion.

While carbon emissions trading in the compliance market is equally effective, our focus is on the VCM. 

Only heavy emitters are mandated by national governments not to go beyond their allowed or cap emission limits but voluntary carbon reduction initiatives from large corporations are also moving the needle in the haystack. More so today when more and more investors and stakeholders are pushing for ambitious CO2 reductions. 

That means companies have to invest in technologies that can massively cut their CO2 footprint. Any emissions they can’t yet avoid or reduce should be offset by buying or investing in projects that generate carbon credits.

Carbon offset credits allow companies to meet their decarbonization targets and reach their net zero emissions goals. As a result, they ramp up global efforts to fight climate change and mitigate their catastrophic effects in two ways. 

The Role of Carbon Offsets in the Fight Against Climate Change

Each carbon credit represents one metric ton of CO2 or its equivalent gas that’s avoided from getting released into or removed from the atmosphere. 

But for a project to produce carbon credits, it has to show that its emission reductions meet a set of criteria. These include being real, additional, measurable, permanent, and verified. 

It is also important that appropriate safeguards are in place to ensure projects really address and mitigate any potential environmental and social risks.

Only after meeting those criteria that the project can issue the credits, corresponding to the amount of carbon emissions reduced. And only when the credit is retired, removed from a registry, can it be counted toward the climate goal. 

In other words, only upon retirement can the buyer, whose name the credit was registered and retired, claim its impacts. Once retired, that credit should not be circulating anymore or traded again in the carbon market. 

The income from the sale of carbon credits will support the development of or, in some cases, the implementation of carbon projects that come under 170+ different types. These include the major categories of the following, among others:

Renewable energy, e.g. solar or wind farms
Fossil-fuel based replacements, e.g. biofuels 
Natural climate solutions, e.g. reforestation
Energy efficiency 
Resource recovery, e.g. methane emissions avoidance

These projects fall under either carbon avoidance/reduction or carbon removal.

Distinguishing between them is important to show the dual role of carbon credits in tackling climate change. 

First role takes effect in the short term: carbon credits from emissions avoided or reduced can help ramp up the transition to a decarbonized economy. Common examples of the projects supported by carbon avoidance credits include renewable energy, energy efficiency, and improved forest management. Avoiding emissions is often a cost-efficient means to tackle CO2 emissions.
Second role happens in the medium and long term: carbon credits playing this role are crucial in scaling up carbon removal projects and they’re essential to offset residual or emissions that are unavoidable. To reach net zero emissions by 2050, about 5 gigatons of CO2 emissions must be removed every year. 

Examples of CO2 removal projects include reforestation and technology-based carbon capture such as direct air capture (DAC). Carbon credits can help finance the development and scale-up of these solutions.

Use of Carbon Credits in Corporate Climate Targets

Aligning corporate sustainability and climate commitments with the latest science is the best practice in the fight against climate change. If a company doesn’t have any baseline to base its emission reduction targets on, it must create one first. 

The Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) has established methodologies for setting climate targets, adopted by more than 1,000 companies. 

They particularly include the large multinational corporations and heavy emitters that are implementing various actions to reduce emissions. These include enhancing energy efficiency, shifting to renewable energy, and tackling value chain or Supply 3 emissions.

Different Types of Climate Targets and Actions

Under the climate mitigation hierarchy, shown above, avoiding emissions directly within the company should be the priority. But for CO2 emissions that can’t be avoided, the next step is to offset them through carbon credits. 

Companies can use carbon offset credits in ways they deem suitable for their climate change goals, which come in different types. They can use it to pledge to be carbon neutral, climate positive, and net zero. 

Though they vary, they all often involve a company or organization supplementing internal reductions by financing reductions elsewhere through the purchase of carbon credits. Offsetting CO2 footprint allows a company to count the reductions in its residual climate mitigation reports. 

Being carbon neutral means compensating for unabated footprint by accounting the carbon credits toward a certain part of its emissions. It can be on a product level or activity level, which is often on a yearly basis. 

Aiming for a climate positive target refers to going beyond the targets set to make a net-positive impact. Microsoft, for instance, has gone one step further in its climate action by stretching their targets beyond being neutral to becoming climate positive. The tech giant has been investing millions of dollars in projects that generate carbon credits, advancing CO2 removal initiatives.

Lastly, reaching a net zero emissions goal means reducing carbon emissions and balancing residual emissions by the target year. For some industry actors, a credible net zero target involves cutting footprint in line with science using carbon removal credits.  

The largest public climate commitment in American history, the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, further propels the market for CO2 removal credits. The financial incentives provided by the climate change law encourage groundbreaking projects across sectors from startups innovating carbon removal technologies. 

So, how committed are the large corporations in their pledge to either be carbon neutral or net zero? 

The chart below shows that. 

After 3 consecutive years of massive growth, the VCM had seen a record high growth in carbon credit issuances and retirements. This is largely due to the growing and intensifying corporate net zero pledges and other climate commitments. 

The number of companies pledging to be net zero increased by almost 400% in 2022 relative to 2015 figure.

This growth is projected to grow even more as both corporations and individuals are pouring their money into carbon projects. The resulting environmental impact of these projects earn the trust of many that carbon credits are indeed serving their purpose. That’s being an essential market tool that entities can use to help battle the bad effects of climate change. 

As a result, though the voluntary carbon credit market is relatively small, it’s experiencing significant momentum and its potential in equipping the world to tackle the climate crisis is attracting more attention.

It is, therefore, understandable that industry estimates show that the VCM will continue to expand. 

Key Challenges to Deal With 

The upward growth trend of the VCM is not a straight line; there are some major challenges the market has to address to reach its full potential. Let’s identify three of them and why facing them heads on is essential for the carbon market to keep growing.

Providing solutions to these challenges will uncork more potential for carbon credits to serve their role as an important tool in combating climate change. The guideline established by the Integrity Council the “Core Carbon Principles” was designed to help promote integrity, transparency, and market growth. 

Guaranteeing Quality and Impact 

Though standards do exist that certify projects to ensure they meet certain methodology requirements, investors still don’t have full transparency on how the projects are progressing. 

Add to that the concerns stakeholders bring up when it comes to some issues linked to the projects they support. These often involve matters relating to additionality and permanence of the carbon reductions the projects claim to achieve. 

For example, what if the trees protected under a reforestation project are burned down due to wildfire? Any carbon they promise to capture releases back into the atmosphere, and thus, loses their permanence. This raises questions about the permanence of the credits linked to the project. 

Hence, assuring the quality of the carbon credits and their environmental impact is very important. 

Getting Everyone’s Understanding Uniform

It’s clear that carbon credits do have a crucial role in the world’s quest to mitigate climate, not all stakeholders or concerned parties agree on how to use this tool as part and parcel of their climate strategy. 

That is because there’s no single standard that guides the market. This causes confusions and differences in the use of the credits in companies’ net zero pathways.

Eliminating the differences is critical so that company leaders know how to align the use of carbon credits in their corporate sustainability plans and climate strategies. Should they invest directly into carbon removal innovations or support other carbon avoidance projects? A clear and uniform standard can help resolve this matter. 

Clearing out Ambiguity in Regulations

Article 6 of the Paris Agreement gave birth to the voluntary carbon credits, advancing them as an important market tool or mechanism to drive investments in climate action. However, negotiations about the specific Article 6 guidelines are still ongoing, leaving unclear regulatory obligations for market players. 

For instance, should carbon offsets bought by a private company count toward a country’s climate goals? Or that they remain private and voluntary? Should governments stay out of the VCM transactions and let market forces be at play on their own?

Making the lines clear can give both project developers and investors enough drive to continue their work. Confusion about regulatory requirements will deter them from innovating and investing. 

Undeniably, carbon credits do play a crucial part in the fight against climate change. They enable corporate investors to support climate actions that are beyond their reach and fund their own carbon removal projects. 

But to bring out the market’s full potential, removing the key roadblocks along its way is necessary. This will be beneficial not just in battling the climate crisis but also in providing other benefits to people and the planet.

The post Carbon Credits: An Essential Tool in the Fight Against Climate Change appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Satellite Found Alarming Methane Emissions in Turkmenistan

Methane emissions from two major fossil fuel fields in Turkmenistan last year are contributing more to global warming than the total carbon emissions of the UK, satellite data from Kayrros has shown.

Kayrros analyzed datasets from satellite imagery through its Methane Watch program that tracks methane (CH4) emissions worldwide. 

The company told The Guardian that the oil and gas fields together leaked CH4 emissions equivalent to a total of 366 million tonnes of CO2, greater than the UK’s entire CO2 emissions in 2022 – 331 million tonnes of CO2.

Methane Emissions Flaring Up

Methane is the second most abundant anthropogenic GHG after CO2 which is responsible for about 20% of global emissions. This gas is more than 25x as potent as CO2 at trapping heat in the atmosphere. It can be emitted from various sources, natural or anthropogenic (human-influenced) such as:

Landfills 
Oil and natural gas systems
Agricultural activities
Coal mining
Wastewater treatment
Industrial processes

Over the last 200 years, methane concentrations in the air have more than doubled, largely because of human-related activities.

Methane emissions have gone up alarmingly since 2007. Climate scientists said that this rising CH4 emissions may be the biggest threat to keep global temperatures below 1.5C. 

Together, CH4 emissions from Russia, U.S., China, Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and Nigeria account for about 50% of the entire anthropogenic methane pollution. The specific source of methane varies per country. For instance, Russia releases the gas from natural oil and gas systems while coal production is responsible for China’s emissions. 

And only recently, highest emissions of methane was discovered in Turkmenistan that are also mostly from its oil and gas fields, which experts claim to be “mind-boggling” and “infuriating”. 

Turkmenistan – the Worst Methane Super-Emitter 

The NASA monitoring device revealed that Turkmenistan is one of the worst ‘super-emitters’ of methane in the world. 

The space agency’s Earth Surface Mineral Dust Investigation (EMIT) advances studies of airborne dust and its impact on climate change. But scientists can also use the EMIT device to detect places with the most significant methane emissions. 

Satellite imagery identified Turkmenistan as the country with the highest number of super-emitting events – 184 out of 1,005 events. Moreover, Kayrros also discovered that 70 out of the top 100 biggest super-emitter events were in Turkmenistan.

The biggest event with the highest gas leak of all also happened in the country, on the Caspian coast. The fossil fuel field in the western part of the coast released about 2.6 million tonnes of methane in 2022. The other field in the east leaked 1.8 million tonnes.

Kayrros analysis determined that 427 tons of methane is leaking each hour in August last year. That is equal to the emission rate of 67 million cars. 

The analyzed data covers a 4-year period, from 2019 to 2022, which show a level trend for Turkmenistan’s total emissions. Overall, the country is responsible for 840 methane super-emitting events, including leaks from wells, tanks, and pipes.

According to Kayrros, Turkmenoil, the national oil company, owned most of the facilities leaking the potent gas. The gas rich Central Asian country is China’s second biggest supplier of gas.

Another large emitter of methane is the Permian Basin oilfield in New Mexico. It’s one of the largest oilfields in the world, generating a plume about 2 miles long.

The third CH4 super-emitter is a waste-processing complex in Iran, emitting a plume at least 3 miles long. Methane is a byproduct of decomposition, and so landfills are also a major source. 

Kayrros said that methane leaks from oil and gas systems can be avoided by doing proper maintenance, repairing valves and pipes that leak, and replacing worn parts. 

Antoine Rostand, Kayrros president, said that the management of methane emissions was extremely poor and out of control. Rostand also said that:

“We know where the super emitters are and who is doing it. We just need the policymakers and investors to do their job, which is to crack down on methane emissions.”

The Need to Manage CH4 Emissions 

The world pays a lot of attention to cutting CO2 emissions while methane emissions are often overlooked. But in fact, about ⅓ of the global warming in the past hundred years was due to methane.

There has been a global methane pledge to cut human-caused emissions by 30% by 2030 declared during the Glasgow UN Climate Summit in 2021. 150 national governments participated but some of the major emitters haven’t signed up, including Turkmenistan.

If only Turkmenistan can stop the leaks from its aging Soviet-era oil and gas equipment and practices, it can be the world’s largest methane reducer, experts say. But it wasn’t a priority for the country’s current president, Serdar Berdimuhamedov.

Experts believe that this year’s climate conference happening in the United Arab Emirates, COP28, presents an opportunity to propel methane emission cutting actions in the country. The UAE has strong ties with Turkmenistan and expertise in oil and gas production.

The UAE is also a member of the Global Methane Pledge and its national oil company, Adnoc, is part of the OGMP2 (Oil and Gas Methane Partnership 2.0), a voluntary UN initiative to reduce methane leaks. Adnoc said it will build a supergiant gas field in Turkmenistan and have other energy projects in the country. It ranks in the top 5 lowest emitters in the oil and gas industry and also has one of the lowest methane intensities (0.01%).

Hopes are high that the COP28 will be a wake-up call for Turkmenistan and other super-emitters of methane to bring down their emissions.

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Musk Breaks Ground on Tesla’s $1 Billion Texas Lithium Refinery

Tesla and Elon Musk break ground at the site of the electric carmaker’s new lithium refinery in Corpus Christi, the first of its kind in North America, which will cost $1 billion upon completion. 

Tesla and Lithium Production for EVs

Last year, Musk tweeted that Tesla may get into the lithium mining and refining business directly due to the high cost of the metal element. He also said that the availability of battery-grade lithium was a “fundamental chokepoint” for the EV industry and other sectors.

The Tesla and SpaceX tech CEO showed the average price of lithium per tonne, which increased massively last year – $78,032/tonne. It has soared up to over 480% from 2021 to 2022, per Benchmark Mineral Intelligence data. 

That big growth is driven by the upsurge in EV sales and a struggle to secure supply.

Musk said that there’s no shortage of lithium because it’s available almost everywhere but extracting and refining it is slow. True enough, there are deposits of lithium all over the U.S. to meet the growing demand.

The US Geological Survey reported that the country has 750,000 tonnes of recoverable lithium in 2021. This figure will go up as new reserves are discovered and established.

Global lithium production increased by 21% in 2022 compared to 2021, surpassing the highest in 2018 levels. 

This increase was not because of new mines, but in large part due to existing Australian capacity getting online. Chile producers also increased production levels by several thousand tonnes.

The US is home to the world’s biggest lithium deposits after those in the so-called Lithium Triangle region in South America – Argentina, Bolivia and Chile. While the states of Nevada, North Carolina, and California together housed about 4% of the world’s lithium reserves.

Still, EV battery production capacity is rising at twice the speed of lithium supply.

Here’s the analysis by cicenergigune of North American EV battery gigafactories.

Source: cienergigune

The U.S. is currently producing only about 1,000 tonnes of lithium. But the country is projected to produce 91 GWh of lithium-ion batteries in 2025, which needs more than 75,000 tonnes of lithium content. 

According to BloombergNEF, an increase of more than 300% in installed lithium cell production capacity worldwide is expected to reach about 1,769 GWh. China (63%) still takes the lead, followed by Europe (15%) while the US (9%) falls down to the third spot. 

Lithium Cell Production Capacity in 2025

Lithium, a non-ferrous metal, is also known as “white gold” and is valuable in making EVs as it’s the lightest and least dense solid element. What that means for Tesla is producing EV units with a high power-to-weight ratio. 

So unsurprisingly, the giant EV maker plans to build in-house lithium refinery and battery materials processing, refining, and manufacturing operations for its sustainable product line. Tesla’s investment in this facility is critical to its mission to accelerate the world’s transition to clean and sustainable energy. 

That largely involves turning on the switch on EV production and accelerating end-use electrification and sustainable power generation and storage. This path enables Tesla to improve its bottom line while significantly earning revenues through its carbon credit sales. The credits are from the carbon emission reductions achieved with the company’s EV production. 

The $1 Billion Lithium Refinery 

Tesla will invest $375 million to construct the refinery to do away with its reliance on outside lithium supply. Once finished, the site will represent an investment of over $1 billion

Musk further said that Tesla aims to produce enough battery-grade lithium hydroxide at the South Texas facility to make 1 million electric cars each year. Their goal is also to produce more lithium than what the rest of North America produces in that location.

Mining giant Albemarle revealed plans to invest $1.3 billion in a lithium processing facility in South Carolina last March. The company’s Silver Peak mining site in Clayton Valley in Nevada is currently the only one operating lithium mine in the US. It produces around 6,000 tons each year of lithium carbonate, representing only 1% of the world’s lithium carbonate supply

Tesla expects its Texas facility to also process other intermediate lithium sources, such as recycled batteries and manufacturing scrap. The 1,200+ acre facility will be the place of the first industrial deployment of an acid-free lithium refining route.

Acid-free Lithium Refining Process 

The conventional process of refining ore into battery-grade lithium usually involves crushing the raw material, heating it at high temperatures, and mixing it in a slurry with acids. Hydrochloric acid is often used in this process, which is considered hazardous by the U.S. Clean Air Act.

But Tesla’s innovative acid-free lithium processing will use less hazardous reagents and produce usable byproducts. It says in its Texas Comptroller’s filings that the refinery’s byproduct, a mixture of sand and limestone, will make beneficial use of traditional waste streams for producing construction materials. 

Musk asserted that the facility will have no toxic emissions, saying “you could live right in the middle of the refinery and not suffer any ill effects.”

However, he didn’t disclose what would be the exact chemistry that Tesla will use for its acid-free lithium refinery. Yet, Texas Republican Governor, Greg Abbott, praised Elon Musk as the greatest entrepreneur on the planet.

The post Musk Breaks Ground on Tesla’s $1 Billion Texas Lithium Refinery appeared first on Carbon Credits.

VC Funding in Climate Prediction Tech Startups Soars Up

The renewed need to focus on predicting weather or climate and protecting against its impacts makes ClimateAi’s platform and other climate prediction tech startups more important than ever, attracting more funds from venture capital investors. 

Climate change is quickly hastening and its impacts are destroying food production and infrastructure, depleting water resources, and killing lives. Its effects are obvious, from immense heat waves to destructive floods and wildfires. 

Meanwhile, there has been a growing group of climate intelligence startups using AI and data to predict weather like ClimateAi. They’re increasing in number quickly, which VCs believe to significantly make communities and businesses adapt to climate change. 

Investment Into Climate Tech Startups Skyrockets

Studies show that extreme weather events are likely to become more frequent or more intense as the planet heats up. So what’s that got to do with startups?

From predicting any chances for rain for a planned vacation to possible flood or fire incidence of constructing properties, climate tech startups offer both consumers and companies weather prediction services. 

They use AI along with a host of data points from satellites to provide real-time weather and climate determinations.

And as the effects of climate change get worse, the data that these VC-backed startups produce and manage keep on growing. So does the amount of VC funding they receive; weather prediction is a hot theme among funded tech startups recently.

According to Crunchbase data, investments into weather and climate prediction startups went up, from over $145 million in 2017 to over $541 million in 2021. A sample of investment in the space revealed at least 23 startups focusing on climate prediction have secured funding. 

ClimateAi, in particular, had raised $22 million last month in its Series B funding round led by Four Rivers Group. Other investors that participated include Neotribe’s Ignite fund, Yaletown Partners, Radical Ventures, Neotribe Seed Fund, and Academy Investor Network.

ClimateAi: What it Does and How its Platform Works

The new round brings ClimateAi’s total funding to $38 million. Since its oversubscribed Series A fundraising, the climate tech startup had grown its annual revenue by a factor of 5. The California-based startup had also increased its customer base 4x

ClimateAi’s unique platform, ClimateLens, uses AI technologies to produce actionable weather and climate-related insights for businesses worldwide. 

The startup works with companies across industries to build climate resilience, from research and development to operations and supply chain. These include agriculture, food and beverages, manufacturing, finance, apparel, retail, energy, and government and NGOs.

The company’s technology can identify locations for climate-smart expansions for certain crops and manufacturing sites, for instance. 

Their data can also help manufacturers adjust shipment or delivery schedules to maximize efficiency at times of good weather. It could help wineries as well to learn which places will have more rainfall to plant crops next season.

ClimateAi’s climate resilience platform also helps companies and governments in the aspects of climate risk management, asset diligence and portfolio management, demand planning, sales and marketing, and sustainability and TCFD reporting.

Proceeds from the latest funding round will be for expanding into new territories such as India and low-income countries where climate adaptation is urgent. The funds will also help the climate tech startup grow its team for continued AI-backed innovations in climate resilience. 

Climate Tech Innovations Across Sectors

As climate change issues seep through all sectors, the applications for climate prediction technologies are increasing and widening. These climate technologies are also scalable, the reason why VC investors are pouring money into this growing sector. 

Many of the startups operating in this market are using the platform-as-a-service model. This allows them to use the same climate data for various purposes and offer them to different entities.

That only means weather and climate tech startups have found their way into almost every sector, expanding from the agriculture and energy industries. ClimateAi’s CEO, Himanshu Gupta asserted that:

“Tomorrow there’s going to be every company on this planet Earth whose operations and supply chains will be impacted by climate change… And if they act on it, it will lead to not only increased profits for these companies, but also improved resilience for the communities they serve.”

Venture funding into climate-risk startups favor the areas of property, travel, and insurance since 2017. 

Another climate-focused startup, One Concern, closed over $22 million to help real estate developers understand climate risks to their properties. The climate resilience tech firm enables companies to focus on their adaptation strategies through its resilience analytics. 

Tomorrow.io, a SaaS weather intelligence platform that provides real-time weather forecasts, has raised $20 million to help retail and sporting businesses cut down energy expenses using climate analytics.

As more and more sectors are bearing the brunt of the climate crisis, climate prediction startups will also see more investors backing up their innovations. 

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