China’s Battery EV Market Grows as Tesla (TSLA Stock) Posts Third Straight Monthly Sales Decline

China’s Battery EV Market Grows as Tesla (TSLA Stock) Posts Third Straight Monthly Sales Decline

China’s electric vehicle market is showing a growing split between battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and other powertrains. The country’s overall passenger vehicle market fell sharply in August. Yet, BEV sales increased year over year, while plug-in hybrids, extended-range EVs and gasoline-powered vehicles all declined.

The shift is also exposing a tougher problem for Tesla. The company’s China retail sales fell for a third consecutive month, even as the broader BEV market expanded.

The latest figures show how quickly China’s auto market is changing. They also highlight the growing role of electrification in cutting oil demand and transportation emissions.

China’s Auto Market Slumps, But BEVs Keep Growing

China’s passenger vehicle retail market dropped 23.6% year-over-year in August, according to China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) data. New energy vehicle (NEV) sales also declined, falling 10.1% to about 1.005 million units. NEVs include BEVs, plug-in hybrids and extended-range electric vehicles.

However, the headline NEV decline masks a major difference between powertrains. BEV retail sales reached 698,000 units in August, up 0.8% from August 2025 and 7.9% from July.

China passenger NEV retail sales august
Source: CnEVPost

Meanwhile, plug-in hybrid sales fell 29.6%, and extended-range EV sales declined 22.2%. Fossil-fuel vehicles, including internal-combustion and conventional hybrid models, plunged about 40%. That made August another important month for China’s transition toward fully electric vehicles.

BEVs did not deliver explosive growth. However, they were the only major powertrain category to post year-over-year growth as the broader auto market contracted.

The result was a record 65.2% NEV penetration rate in China’s passenger vehicle retail market, up from 55.2% a year earlier. In other words, nearly two out of every three new passenger vehicles sold in China in August were NEVs.

Tesla Is Moving in the Opposite Direction

Tesla’s performance stands out because its core product is concentrated in the BEV segment. Tesla sold 50,047 vehicles in China in August, according to CPCA data. That was down 12.4% from 57,152 vehicles a year earlier.

It was also Tesla’s weakest August result in China since 2022. The decline followed a 32.9% year-over-year drop in July and a 14% decline in June, creating three consecutive months of falling China retail sales.

Tesla monthly retail sales in China august
Source: CnEVPost

The month-on-month comparison was better. Tesla’s August sales jumped 83.7% from July, when the company sold only 27,249 vehicles in China.

Still, the rebound was not enough to reverse the underlying annual decline. Through the first eight months of 2026, Tesla’s China retail sales reached 316,251 vehicles, down about 12.4% from the same period last year.

Tesla’s position in China’s NEV market also shows the intensity of competition. The company ranked sixth in August with a 5.0% share of NEV retail sales. BYD led with 233,943 vehicles and a 23.3% share, followed by Geely at 110,560 and Leapmotor at 84,874.

Tesla, therefore, sold less than half as many NEVs as BYD in the Chinese retail market during the month.

China's Aug 2026 NEV retail ranking
Source: CnEVPost

China’s EV Competition Is Getting More Intense

Tesla’s challenge is not simply a weak Chinese auto market. Local manufacturers are continuing to expand their presence across different price points and vehicle categories.

  • Other major players included Changan, SAIC-GM-Wuling, Chery, Huawei-backed HIMA, Li Auto, Nio, Xpeng and Xiaomi.

The rise of these companies matters because China’s EV market is increasingly driven by competition over price, battery technology, charging speed, software and vehicle features.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that China’s EV production costs are around 35% lower than in advanced economies, reflecting the country’s integrated battery, materials and manufacturing supply chains. China also accounted for nearly 75% of global electric car production in 2025.

Tesla once had a much larger position in this market. Reuters reported that Tesla’s share of China’s BEV sector fell to 6.6% in the second quarter of 2026, compared with more than 15% in 2020.

That decline shows the structural change underway. Tesla helped establish the premium mass-market EV category in China, but domestic manufacturers now have increasingly competitive alternatives.

Tesla Stock Reaction

Tesla shares showed little reaction to the August China sales figures. TSLA stock rose about 0.3% on September 9, even as Tesla’s China sales fell 12.4% from a year earlier.

Tesla TSLA stock price

Investors are looking beyond the latest sales numbers. Tesla’s stock has also been affected by concerns over its slowing vehicle sales, rising competition in China and uncertainty around its robotaxi and Cybertruck plans.

The bigger concern is the growing gap between Tesla and China’s broader BEV market. China’s BEV sales increased in August, while Tesla’s sales fell for a third straight month. This suggests Tesla is facing stronger competition, rather than simply a weaker EV market.

China Is Turning to Exports as Domestic Demand Weakens

China’s weakening domestic market is also pushing automakers toward international markets. Passenger vehicle exports reached 894,000 units in August, up 77.5% year over year, even as domestic sales fell 23.7%.

NEV exports were particularly strong, rising 154.7% from a year earlier. NEVs represented 58.4% of China’s passenger vehicle exports during the month. The trend extends beyond August.

IEA data show that Chinese electric car exports increased by more than 120% in the first half of 2026, fully offsetting the decline in domestic electric car sales. Electric vehicles accounted for more than 45% of China’s car exports, compared with around 35% in 2025.

Tesla is also increasingly using Shanghai as an export hub. The EV giant exported 36,119 vehicles from its Shanghai factory in August, up 38.7% year over year. However, that was down 45.6% from July’s record 66,330 exports.

The contrast is important. Tesla’s China retail market is shrinking, while its Shanghai factory is increasingly serving international markets. Chinese automakers face a similar dynamic, but their export growth has been substantially faster.

Electric Cars Are Starting to Cut China’s Oil Demand

The shift toward BEVs also has consequences beyond the auto industry. China is the world’s largest oil importer and has the world’s largest EV fleet. The IEA estimates that EVs already displaced around 1 million barrels of oil per day in China in 2025.

That figure could reach 2.7 million barrels per day by 2030 under current policies. Recent data suggest the effect is becoming visible in national energy statistics.

China’s carbon dioxide emissions fell 1% year over year in the second quarter of 2026, according to analysis by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA). Oil consumption fell about 9%, while transport oil use dropped 16%.

CREA estimated that EVs displaced around 36 million tonnes of oil during the first half of 2026, contributing to an estimated 35 million tonnes of carbon emissions reductions after accounting for emissions from EV charging.

Net avoided greenhouse gas emissions from EV deployment, 2025-2035
Source: IEA

Sinopec’s research arm now expects China’s oil demand to decline by 600,000 barrels per day, or 8.9%, in 2026. Gasoline demand is forecast to fall 8.7%, while diesel demand could decline 11.4%.

EV adoption is not the only factor behind those changes. Higher oil prices, weaker economic activity, and changes in industrial demand also matter. Still, transportation electrification is becoming an increasingly important structural factor.

China’s EV Boom Is Becoming a Global Export Story

China’s auto market is under pressure, but BEVs are still gaining ground as gasoline vehicles lose share. At the same time, Chinese automakers are taking their EVs into overseas markets, increasing competition in Europe, Southeast Asia and other regions.

The IEA says China produced nearly 75% of the world’s electric cars in 2025, while Chinese brands accounted for more than half of EV sales in Southeast Asia.

Tesla faces a different challenge. Its August sales fell even as China’s BEV market grew, showing that stronger competition is hurting its position in the world’s largest EV market.

The long-term outlook for China’s EV market remains strong. The IEA expects EVs to make up more than 60% of China’s car sales in 2026 and more than 90% by 2035.

The shift also has climate implications. More BEVs can reduce oil demand and transport emissions while increasing demand for cleaner electricity and batteries.

READ MORE: China’s New 2030 Climate Playbook and What It Means for the EV Market

The post China’s Battery EV Market Grows as Tesla (TSLA Stock) Posts Third Straight Monthly Sales Decline appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Singapore Targets 12 Million Carbon Credits in Major Article 6 Tender

Singapore Targets 12 Million Carbon Credits in Major Article 6 Tender

Singapore has opened the second stage of a tender to buy at least 12 million Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcomes (ITMOs) under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement. The tender opened on September 7, 2026, by the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI). Only bidders that passed the first stage can now submit detailed project proposals. A briefing for pre-qualified bidders is scheduled for September 23.

The tender marks a major step in Singapore’s plan to secure more international carbon credits. It also shows that the country is moving from signing Article 6 agreements to buying actual future credit supply.

However, the 12 million tonnes are a procurement target, not credits already issued. Projects must still be approved, monitored, and independently verified.

Singapore Is Scaling Up Carbon Credit Purchases 

The new tender is much larger than Singapore’s first major government carbon purchase. In September 2025, the country agreed to buy 2.175 million tonnes of nature-based carbon credits from four projects in Ghana, Peru and Paraguay. The deals were worth about S$76 million, with deliveries planned from 2026 to 2030.

The new tender seeks more than five times that volume.

It also covers a wider range of projects. Singapore says the procurement can include nature-based and technology-based projects. That could include renewable energy, methane reduction, industrial projects and carbon removal, depending on the final eligibility rules.

The tender could therefore become an important source of demand for developers seeking long-term buyers for future Article 6 credits.

Article 6 Creates a Different Type of Carbon Market

Article 6.2 allows countries to transfer emissions reductions between countries. These units are known as ITMOs: Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcomes.

A key safeguard is the corresponding adjustment. It stops both countries from counting the same emissions reduction toward their climate targets.

Carbon Credit generation article 6
Source: UNFCCC

For example, if a project in a host country creates an authorised mitigation outcome and transfers it to Singapore, the host country must adjust its emissions accounting. It cannot also count the same reduction toward its own climate target.

This is an important difference between Article 6 transactions and many voluntary carbon market deals. Singapore’s bilateral Implementation Agreements create the framework for project approval, reporting, authorization, and corresponding adjustments.

Why Singapore Needs More International Carbon Credits

Singapore has limited land and fewer options for large-scale domestic carbon removals. International credits therefore form an important part of its climate strategy.

The country aims to reduce emissions to 45–50 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent by 2035 and reach net zero by 2050.

Singapore article 6 network and partnerships

Singapore has estimated that it could need around 2.51 million tonnes of ITMOs each year during its 2021–2030 NDC period. The government plans to secure eligible credits through both direct procurement and its carbon-tax system.

That makes the new 12-million-ton tender important. The volume is large enough to build a bigger supply pipeline, rather than relying mainly on smaller individual deals.

Carbon Tax Creates Another Source of Demand

Singapore’s carbon tax adds another reason to expand the supply of eligible credits. The tax applies to industrial facilities that emit at least 25,000 tonnes of CO2e a year. It covers about 70% of Singapore’s national emissions, according to the government.

The carbon tax rose from S$25 per tonne in 2025 to S$45 per tonne in 2026 and 2027. Singapore plans to raise it to S$50–S$80 per tonne by 2030.

Since 2024, covered companies can use eligible international carbon credits for up to 5% of their taxable emissions. This creates a direct link between Singapore’s domestic carbon price and its international carbon market.

As the tax rises, demand for eligible credits could also increase, provided those credits meet Singapore’s rules.

Quality Matters as Much as Carbon Volume

Singapore is not simply looking for large volumes of cheap credits. Its eligibility rules require projects to meet key principles such as additionality, accurate measurement, permanence, transparency, and no double counting.

The country has also introduced additional safeguards for some project types. For example, certain renewable energy projects face extra requirements because Singapore wants to avoid using credits for projects that may already be financially viable without carbon revenue.

Singapore also requires cancelling 2% of authorized credits at issuance to support an overall reduction in global emissions. Another 5% of proceeds must support adaptation in host countries or the UNFCCC Adaptation Fund. These measures reduce the number of credits available for use, but they are intended to improve environmental integrity.

The Biggest Challenge: Turning Deals Into Real Credits

The large tender also reflects a simple problem: eligible Article 6 credits take time to develop. Singapore says carbon projects can take up to four years to generate credits. That makes early procurement important for companies and governments that need supply later.

Signing an Article 6 agreement also does not automatically create credits. Projects must be identified, approved, and monitored. Host countries must authorise the relevant mitigation outcomes, while developers must meet Singapore’s eligibility and verification requirements.

This creates a gap between policy agreements and actual carbon supply. The new tender is designed to help close that gap by bringing more projects into the pipeline now.

Singapore Is Building a Regional Carbon Network

The tender is part of a wider effort by Singapore to build a network of Article 6 partners across Asia and other regions.

Singapore has signed Implementation Agreements with countries including Ghana, Bhutan, Chile, Mongolia, Papua New Guinea,
Peru, Rwanda, Paraguay, Thailand, Vietnam and the Philippines. Laos also signed an Implementation Agreement with Singapore in September 2026.

Singapore article 6 network and partnerships

This network gives Singapore a wider pool of potential projects. It also gives developing countries access to a buyer that is seeking credits that meet government standards.

That could encourage more investment in projects involving forests, clean energy, methane reduction, waste and other emissions reduction activities.

Carbon Finance Could Benefit Host Countries

The impact of the tender could extend beyond Singapore. Carbon projects often require large upfront investments. Revenue from future credits can help improve the economics of projects that might otherwise struggle to secure financing.

Singapore has also committed US$15 million to the Global Green Growth Institute’s Carbon Transaction Facility and established a Singapore Article 6 Carbon Facility to support project development and capacity building.

The combination of project financing, technical support and future credit demand could help countries develop stronger carbon market infrastructure. The benefits may also include renewable energy, better land management, rural income and other development gains, depending on the projects selected.

The 12M-Ton Tender Puts Article 6 to the Test

The second-stage tender is an important test for the Article 6 market. Singapore has spent years building bilateral agreements and setting strict rules for carbon-credit quality. It is now moving toward a much larger procurement programme.

For developers, the tender could create a major new source of demand. For host countries, it could bring more climate finance. For Singapore, it could help secure the international credits needed for its climate and carbon-tax policies.

The wider message is clear: Article 6 is moving from international climate rules toward real carbon market transactions at scale. As more governments begin to buy credits directly, the quality of those credits will matter as much as their volume.

For the leading carbon buyer in Asia, the new tender is a major step toward building a reliable international carbon supply. For the wider market, it could help turn Article 6 from a policy framework into a functioning source of climate finance.

READ MORE: Singapore and Indonesia Seal Landmark Carbon Credit Deal to Boost Southeast Asia’s Green Economy

The post Singapore Targets 12 Million Carbon Credits in Major Article 6 Tender appeared first on Carbon Credits.

NextEra Energy Secures $1.9 Billion DOE Loan to Restart Duane Arnold Nuclear Plant in Iowa

NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE) and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) have finalized a loan of up to $1.9 billion. This funds the restart of the Duane Arnold Energy Center in Iowa.

The press release highlights that this financing is a key step in bringing the 615-megawatt nuclear facility back online. The plant shut down in 2020. If it gets the needed regulatory approvals, NextEra aims to restart it by early 2029.

The project aligns with the U.S. goal to boost reliable power as electricity demand grows. Nuclear energy remains vital for America’s low-carbon power landscape.

NextEra’s Energy Mix Spans Nuclear to Renewables

NextEra Energy has a broad energy portfolio spanning renewables, nuclear power, natural gas and battery storage. Through NextEra Energy Resources, the company operates more than 40,000 MW of generating capacity and is expanding its infrastructure to meet rising U.S. electricity demand.

                                NextEra Energy Resources: An Energy Pioneer

nextera
Source: NextEra

John Ketchum, chairman, president and CEO of NextEra Energy, said:

“Restarting Duane Arnold is about delivering new power to meet new demand while generating billions of dollars in economic value for Iowans. Just as importantly, it shows how America can support rapid economic growth and rising electricity demand while helping keep power affordable for existing customers.

By bringing new generation online to serve new demand, we can strengthen the grid, create hundreds of good-paying jobs and help ensure Iowa families and businesses are not asked to bear the costs of growth. We appreciate the Administration’s leadership in advancing America’s nuclear renaissance and share its commitment to an all-of-the-above energy strategy that expands supply, strengthens energy security and keeps America competitive.”

Duane Arnold Restart Adds Nuclear Power to Iowa Grid

Located in Linn County, the Duane Arnold Energy Center ran for over four decades before closing in 2020. NextEra is now navigating licensing, engineering, inspections, and readiness work to restart the facility.

In June, the Iowa Utilities Commission gave NextEra a certificate to construct and operate the facility, marking another milestone.

DOE Backs Nuclear Restarts

The DOE financing comes from its Office of Energy Dominance Financing, which supports efforts to reactivate existing nuclear assets.

For the U.S. power sector, restarting a current reactor offers a different option than building a new one. Duane Arnold already has a developed site and infrastructure, though the restart still needs extensive technical and regulatory work.

Electricity demand is rising nationwide. Data centers, manufacturing, and industrial activities are driving higher power use, highlighting the need for reliable generation that runs continuously.

U.S. Deputy Secretary of Energy James P. Danly said:

“President Trump has set an ambitious course to restore American nuclear leadership, and the restart of Duane Arnold Nuclear Plant in Iowa marks another step in advancing America’s nuclear renaissance. Returning 615 megawatts of reliable baseload generation will drive down electricity costs, while supporting thousands of American jobs.

This Administration is pursuing a comprehensive nuclear strategy, restarting existing reactors, increasing the output of our nuclear fleet, and accelerating new construction, to build the abundant, affordable, and reliable power system required for American prosperity and reindustrialization.”

Nuclear Already Supplies 18% of U.S. Electricity

The scale of America’s nuclear fleet also highlights why restarting existing reactors is becoming a focus of U.S. energy policy. EIA data shows that the country has roughly 98 gigawatts of nuclear generating capacity.

  • Explaining further, the latest EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts nuclear power to provide 18% of U.S. electricity generation in both 2026 and 2027.
  • At the same time, U.S. electricity sales are expected to reach 4,135 billion kWh in 2026 and 4,211 billion kWh in 2027, driven in part by growing data center demand and increased manufacturing activity.

EIA nuclear

Nuclear plants also operate at high utilization rates, with the EIA reporting an average capacity factor of 91% in 2025.

This reflects the high utilization of nuclear reactors, which operate for long periods. Restarting existing reactors could be crucial as the U.S. seeks reliable power without relying solely on fossil fuels.

$1.9 Billion Financing Supports Nuclear Restart

The Duane Arnold project is set to bring significant economic benefits, too.

  • A study cited by NextEra estimates the recommissioning could create $15.9 billion in economic impact across the U.S. and $9.1 billion in Iowa during construction and 25 years of operation.
  • For Linn County, the study estimates an economic impact of $8.2 billion and $3.2 billion in labor earnings.

The project is expected to generate 393 new full-time jobs during operations, raising total direct employment at the site to about 433 positions. Over its lifetime, it could produce around $75 million in tax revenue.

However, the economic case is just one part of the investment.

Nuclear Restart Fits Into U.S. Energy Strategy

The DOE financing supports the Trump administration’s push to expand U.S. nuclear power and rebuild the domestic nuclear industry.

The administration’s 2025 executive order, “Reinvigorating the Nuclear Industrial Base,” pointed to the country’s slow pace of nuclear development and weakening domestic fuel-cycle infrastructure. It also highlighted growing reliance on foreign reactor designs and nuclear fuel services.

Against this backdrop, restarting existing nuclear plants can help preserve reliable power while the U.S. works to develop new reactors and strengthen its nuclear supply chain.

The DOE said the Duane Arnold financing is the third nuclear plant restart it has supported under the current administration. The 615-MW facility would add more reliable, low-carbon electricity to the Midwest grid and help meet growing power demand.

The project still requires regulatory approvals and further readiness work. However, the $1.9 billion financing moves Duane Arnold another step closer to returning to service.

The post NextEra Energy Secures $1.9 Billion DOE Loan to Restart Duane Arnold Nuclear Plant in Iowa appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Australia’s Forest Carbon Fight: Greens Split as Senate Backs Forest Credits

Australia’s Forest Carbon Fight: Greens Split as Senate Backs Forest Credits

Australia has taken a major step toward using carbon credits to protect native forests. However, the decision has also exposed a deep split within the environmental movement.

The Senate has rejected an attempt to block the Improved Native Forest Management (INFM) method. This allows the new forest carbon credit system to remain in place.

The Greens were divided. Most of their senators supported the government’s position after securing changes to the scheme. Three Greens senators opposed it. The vote highlights a bigger question for Australia’s carbon market:

Can carbon credits help protect forests without allowing companies to rely on offsets instead of cutting their own emissions?

Australia’s Senate Clears a New Path for Forest Carbon

The Coalition tried to disallow the INFM method, arguing that it could affect Australia’s native forestry industry. The motion was defeated 34 votes to 27, allowing the method to continue.

  • Seven Greens senators supported the government, while Senators Nick McKim, Vanessa Bleyer and Jordon Steele-John voted against it.

The federal government says the method gives states another financial option for protecting public native forests. Under the system, states can generate Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) by stopping planned timber harvesting in eligible native forests.

The forests can then continue growing and storing carbon. At the same time, emissions linked to harvesting can be avoided.

The government formally approved the INFM method in June 2026. It is scheduled to expire on September 30, 2036, unless extended under Australian law.

How Forest Credits Work

The basic idea is simple. A state identifies a forest that would otherwise be harvested. If logging is stopped through an eligible project, the additional carbon stored in the forest can be counted as emissions reduction.

Projects must use Australia’s Full Carbon Accounting Model (FullCAM) to calculate the carbon benefit. They also face monitoring, reporting and compliance requirements.

The resulting ACCUs can be sold to companies seeking to offset emissions or meet obligations under Australia’s climate policies. For governments, this creates a potential new source of revenue from forest protection.

For environmental groups, however, the question is whether the carbon benefit is genuinely additional. That issue sits at the heart of the debate.

Why the Greens Are Divided

The Greens have long supported stronger forest protection and deeper emissions cuts. But the party remains divided over the role of carbon markets.

Most Greens senators backed the INFM method after negotiating changes with the government. Greens leader Larissa Waters said the party secured stronger safeguards, including restrictions on how credits can be used by coal and gas companies.

Energy Minister Chris Bowen said:

“If you believe in ending native forest logging or moving away from it and reducing it, then you vote for this method.”

Three Greens senators, however, rejected the deal.

McKim, Bleyer and Steele-John argued that carbon credits could allow major polluters to keep emitting while claiming reductions elsewhere. They also said native forests should be protected for their environmental and biodiversity value, rather than mainly because they can generate carbon credits.

Senator McKim noted:

“Labor is holding koalas hostage… and threatening their extinction unless they can profit from their habitat.”

The disagreement reflects a wider debate over whether forest conservation and carbon markets should be linked.

Supporters argue that carbon revenue can make standing forests more valuable than logging them. Critics say forests should be protected through direct government action, without creating credits that companies can use to offset emissions.

Great Koala National Park Could Become the Big Test

The proposed Great Koala National Park in New South Wales is likely to become one of the most important tests of the new system. The proposed park covers about 476,000 hectares, including more than 176,000 hectares of state forest.

Great Koala National Park Australia

The NSW government says the area could protect more than 12,000 koalas, 36,000 greater gliders and habitat for more than 100 other threatened species.

NSW is developing a carbon project under the new INFM method. The plan is to stop timber harvesting and allow the forests to continue growing and storing carbon.

  • Earlier government estimates suggested the project could generate about 6.4 million tonnes of carbon abatement and sequestration over 25 years, including around 3.7 million ACCUs over 15 years.

Those figures were based on an earlier version of the method. They should not be treated as the final credit volume.

The project will now provide an important real-world test of whether carbon finance can support large-scale forest protection.

Additionality Will Make or Break Forest Credits

The Senate vote does not end concerns about the quality of forest carbon credits. One major issue is additionality.

For a carbon credit to represent a real climate benefit, the protection should not have happened without the project. If a forest was already going to be protected, critics argue that issuing credits could create little additional climate benefit.

Another concern is leakage. If logging stops in one forest but moves to another area, some of the claimed emissions benefit could be lost.

The government considered both issues while developing the INFM method. The final rules include requirements to monitor harvesting and account for potential leakage.

The government received 371 submissions during consultation on the draft method. The results will now depend on how the rules work in actual projects.

A New Phase for Australia’s Carbon Market

The forest credit debate comes as Australia’s ACCU market plays a larger role in national climate policy. The credits are increasingly linked to the Safeguard Mechanism, which requires Australia’s largest industrial facilities to manage their emissions.

The policy continues to show positive momentum, with a noticeable reduction in industrial footprints during 2024–25. Total gross covered emissions decreased by 2.3% year-over-year to 132.8 MtCO₂e. Meanwhile, net emissions dropped at a faster rate of 5.5%, falling to 120.3 MtCO₂e, highlighting increased compliance and market activity.

Australia progress toward net zero
Source: Clean Energy Regulator

The Climate Change Authority’s latest review said the ACCU system remains fundamentally sound but called for improvements in transparency and information for buyers. It also recommended further work on carbon storage permanence and the treatment of credits from different project types.

The INFM method adds another potential source of ACCUs. Instead of planting new forests, projects can generate credits by keeping existing native forests standing and allowing them to grow.

That could expand Australia’s land-sector carbon market. But forest projects also face risks from fires, drought, pests and other disturbances. Ensuring that credited carbon remains stored will therefore be important for market credibility.

The Real Test: Can Australia Forest Credits Deliver?

Australia’s Senate decision does not settle the debate over forest carbon credits. It does, however, create a path for governments to put a financial value on keeping native forests standing.

The Great Koala National Park could become an early test. If its carbon project delivers real additional emissions reductions while protecting important biodiversity, it could show how carbon markets can support large-scale conservation.

But if credits are issued for protection that would have happened anyway, or if they allow major emitters to delay real emissions cuts, the method could face renewed criticism.

The next stage will, therefore, matter more than the Senate vote itself.

Australia now has to show that forest carbon can deliver both real climate benefits and real forest protection. How that works in New South Wales could influence the future of forest carbon projects across Australia.

The post Australia’s Forest Carbon Fight: Greens Split as Senate Backs Forest Credits appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Agreena Lands Record 4.45M-Ton Soil Carbon Deal for 1.6M Hectares in Kazakhstan

Agreena has signed a 7-year agreement for 4.45 million metric tons of soil carbon credits linked to regenerative farming across 1.6 million hectares of farmland in northern Kazakhstan. The agreement is the largest publicly communicated agricultural carbon agreement to date, according to Agreena. A major commodity trading house will purchase the credits, although the buyer has not been named. The project is targeting the transition of 1.6 million hectares to regenerative farming by 2028. It will generate credits through AgreenaCarbon Kazakhstan, a new project that has entered validation under the Verra Verified Carbon Standard (VCS). Frederik Aagaard, chief commercial officer, Agreena said: “A buyer of this scale only commits to those terms when it is confident the supply will be delivered. That assurance rests on the platform behind it: the scientists who design the program, the dMRV technology that measures it, and the commercial team that brings farmers and buyers to the same table.” The deal is important for more than its size. It shows that buyers are increasingly willing to commit to future carbon credit supply years before credits are issued. A Large Forward Carbon Deal for Agriculture Agreena announced a 4.45 million-ton agreement. This deal spans seven years, making it one of the longest commitments for a soil carbon project. The partnership is a forward purchase agreement, meaning the carbon credits will be delivered over time rather than being available immediately. This model can help solve one of the biggest challenges in agricultural carbon markets: financing the changes needed before credits are generated. Farmers often need to change equipment, crop management, and field practices before measurable climate benefits appear. Long-term buyer commitments can provide more certainty that a market will exist for those future credits. Agreena says the revenue from the agreement will support Kazakh farmers as they adopt regenerative farming practices. The company currently works with about 2,500 farmers across approximately 5 million hectares in 20 countries. Kazakhstan is its 21st market. The 1.6 million hectares targeted by the new project would equal roughly 7% of Kazakhstan’s 23.6 million hectares of sown land in 2025, based on national statistics. SEE MORE: Agreena Carbon Project Earns BBB BeZero Rating, Reinforcing Confidence in Nature-Based Carbon Credits Why Kazakhstan Could Become a Soil Carbon Powerhouse Kazakhstan is a major grain producer with a large farming base, making it an attractive market for soil carbon projects. National statistics show that the country planted about 16.1 million hectares of cereals and legumes in 2025. Total crop production also grew, with the physical volume of crop output increasing 7.8% during the year. The new project focuses on the country's northern grain belt. Agreena reports that the region's Chernozem soils are rich in organic matter. However, they have lost around 28% to 30% of their humus due to decades of conventional farming. Rebuilding soil organic carbon could therefore provide both climate and agricultural benefits. Regenerative practices in the project include reduced tillage, better residue management and cover crops. These practices can help keep more carbon in the soil while improving moisture retention and reducing soil disturbance. Agreena says the region receives only about 300 to 450 millimeters of rain each year, making soil moisture an important issue for farmers. Keeping crop residues on fields can help retain moisture, while reduced tillage can lower fuel use. The Credits Still Need to Pass Verra Validation The size of the agreement should not be confused with credits already issued. AgreenaCarbon Kazakhstan, Verra project ID 6105, is currently undergoing validation under Verra's VM0042 v2.2 Improved Agricultural Land Management methodology. Validation checks whether the project meets the right carbon standards and methods. Credits can only move forward after the necessary climate outcomes are measured and independently assessed. This distinction matters for buyers and investors. The 4.45 million tons are contracted future credits, not 4.45 million verified carbon units available today. Verra's VM0042 methodology covers greenhouse gas emission reductions and soil organic carbon removals resulting from improved agricultural practices. These include reduced tillage, improved fertilizer use, residue and water management, and cover crop practices. The methodology was approved by the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market (ICVCM) as meeting its Core Carbon Principles requirements. However, projects still have to meet project-level conditions before their credits can receive a CCP label. Soil Carbon Is Gaining Credibility Agricultural carbon has faced questions about measurement, additionality, and permanence. Soil carbon can change because of weather, farming practices, and other factors, making accurate measurement difficult. Verra has been tightening its rules to address those challenges. VM0042 v2.2 added changes to baseline setting and additionality and strengthened requirements around measuring soil organic carbon. In June 2026, Verra made more corrections and clarifications. These included rules about additionality evidence, baseline descriptions, and when to measure and model. The ICVCM's Core Carbon Principles also require projects to demonstrate additionality and provide safeguards against reversal risks. These requirements matter because soil carbon is not simply a matter of counting how much carbon is present in a field at one point in time. Projects must establish credible baselines and show that the credited climate benefits would not have occurred without the project incentive. Agreena’s First Verified Project Sets the Stage The Kazakhstan project is not Agreena's first major soil carbon initiative. In September 2025, the AgreenaCarbon Project became the first large-scale agricultural project to get verified under Verra's VCS. The project received approval for 2.3 million VCUs across more than 1.6 million hectares. Agreena reported 1.2 million tons of CO2 reductions and 1.1 million tons of CO2 removals. These came from better farming practices and soil carbon sequestration. That experience could help the company scale its Kazakhstan project, although the new project still has to complete its own validation and verification process. Agreena also uses digital measurement, reporting, and verification tools alongside field data, soil sampling, and modeling. Its programme has previously undergone independent assessment under ISO 14064-2. The Carbon Market Is Moving Toward Forward Supply The agreement also reflects a broader change in voluntary carbon markets. Buyers looking for large volumes of credits increasingly need to secure future supply rather than rely only on spot purchases. That is especially relevant for sectors with limited options for cutting their remaining emissions. The data from Sylvera shows that offtake agreements in the market have grown 205% in 2025 from the previous year. Source: Sylvera A seven-year commitment can give developers capital and visibility while giving buyers greater certainty over future volumes. However, forward deals also carry risk. Projects may experience delays, low credit generation, or changes in methods. Also, verification requirements can shift, and future demand may be uncertain. For agricultural projects, weather is another major variable. Drought, flooding, and changes in crop yields can affect the ability of farmers to maintain regenerative practices and the amount of carbon stored in soil. Strong measurement and risk-management systems are therefore essential. Regenerative Farming Could Deliver Wider Benefits The carbon benefits are only part of the potential value. Agreena says reduced tillage can save farmers about 40 to 60 liters of diesel per hectare. Keeping crop residues helps save soil moisture. Stopping stubble burning cuts down on pollution and nitrogen oxide emissions. The company also expects improved soil practices to support biodiversity and make farmland more resilient to drought and flooding. Northern Kazakhstan's grain belt is home to important steppe ecosystems. Agreena highlights two key species: the Sociable Lapwing, which is critically endangered, and the Steppe Eagle, which is endangered. Both could thrive with improved land management. These co-benefits could become increasingly important as carbon buyers look beyond the number of tonnes on a credit and assess broader environmental outcomes. A Major Test for Agricultural Carbon at Scale The 4.45 million-ton agreement is significant, but its real impact will depend on delivery. Still, the opportunity is substantial. Kazakhstan has a large farming sector, while demand for large volumes of higher-quality carbon credits is growing. For Agreena, the agreement provides a major long-term commercial commitment. For Kazakhstan, it could bring new income to farmers while improving soil health and resilience. And for the wider carbon market, the deal sends a clear message: soil carbon is moving from small farm-level projects toward large, long-term carbon supply agreements. Agreena Lands Record 4.45M-Ton Soil Carbon Deal for 1.6M Hectares in Kazakhstan

Agreena has signed a 7-year agreement for 4.45 million metric tons of soil carbon credits linked to regenerative farming across 1.6 million hectares of farmland in northern Kazakhstan. The agreement is the largest publicly communicated agricultural carbon agreement to date, according to Agreena. A major commodity trading house will purchase the credits, although the buyer has not been named.

The project is targeting the transition of 1.6 million hectares to regenerative farming by 2028. It will generate credits through AgreenaCarbon Kazakhstan, a new project that has entered validation under the Verra Verified Carbon Standard (VCS).

Frederik Aagaard, chief commercial officer, Agreena said:

“A buyer of this scale only commits to those terms when it is confident the supply will be delivered. That assurance rests on the platform behind it: the scientists who design the program, the dMRV technology that measures it, and the commercial team that brings farmers and buyers to the same table.”

The deal is important for more than its size. It shows that buyers are increasingly willing to commit to future carbon credit supply years before credits are issued.

A Large Forward Carbon Deal for Agriculture

Agreena announced a 4.45 million-ton agreement. This deal spans seven years, making it one of the longest commitments for a soil carbon project.

The partnership is a forward purchase agreement, meaning the carbon credits will be delivered over time rather than being available immediately. This model can help solve one of the biggest challenges in agricultural carbon markets: financing the changes needed before credits are generated.

Farmers often need to change equipment, crop management, and field practices before measurable climate benefits appear. Long-term buyer commitments can provide more certainty that a market will exist for those future credits.

Agreena says the revenue from the agreement will support Kazakh farmers as they adopt regenerative farming practices. The company currently works with about 2,500 farmers across approximately 5 million hectares in 20 countries. Kazakhstan is its 21st market.

The 1.6 million hectares targeted by the new project would equal roughly 7% of Kazakhstan’s 23.6 million hectares of sown land in 2025, based on national statistics.

Why Kazakhstan Could Become a Soil Carbon Powerhouse

Kazakhstan is a major grain producer with a large farming base, making it an attractive market for soil carbon projects. National statistics show that the country planted about 16.1 million hectares of cereals and legumes in 2025. Total crop production also grew, with the physical volume of crop output increasing 7.8% during the year.

The new project focuses on the country’s northern grain belt. Agreena reports that the region’s Chernozem soils are rich in organic matter. However, they have lost around 28% to 30% of their humus due to decades of conventional farming. Rebuilding soil organic carbon could therefore provide both climate and agricultural benefits.

Regenerative practices in the project include reduced tillage, better residue management and cover crops. These practices can help keep more carbon in the soil while improving moisture retention and reducing soil disturbance.

Agreena says the region receives only about 300 to 450 millimeters of rain each year, making soil moisture an important issue for farmers. Keeping crop residues on fields can help retain moisture, while reduced tillage can lower fuel use.

Agreena soil carbon deal kazakhstan

The Credits Still Need to Pass Verra Validation

The size of the agreement should not be confused with credits already issued. AgreenaCarbon Kazakhstan, Verra project ID 6105, is currently undergoing validation under Verra’s VM0042 v2.2 Improved Agricultural Land Management methodology.

Validation checks whether the project meets the right carbon standards and methods. Credits can only move forward after the necessary climate outcomes are measured and independently assessed.

This distinction matters for buyers and investors. The 4.45 million tons are contracted future credits, not 4.45 million verified carbon units available today.

Verra’s VM0042 methodology covers greenhouse gas emission reductions and soil organic carbon removals resulting from improved agricultural practices. These include reduced tillage, improved fertilizer use, residue and water management, and cover crop practices.

The methodology was approved by the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market (ICVCM) as meeting its Core Carbon Principles requirements. However, projects still have to meet project-level conditions before their credits can receive a CCP label.

Soil Carbon Is Gaining Credibility

Agricultural carbon has faced questions about measurement, additionality, and permanence. Soil carbon can change because of weather, farming practices, and other factors, making accurate measurement difficult.

Verra has been tightening its rules to address those challenges. VM0042 v2.2 added changes to baseline setting and additionality and strengthened requirements around measuring soil organic carbon.

In June 2026, Verra made more corrections and clarifications. These included rules about additionality evidence, baseline descriptions, and when to measure and model. The ICVCM’s Core Carbon Principles also require projects to demonstrate additionality and provide safeguards against reversal risks.

These requirements matter because soil carbon is not simply a matter of counting how much carbon is present in a field at one point in time. Projects must establish credible baselines and show that the credited climate benefits would not have occurred without the project incentive.

Agreena’s First Verified Project Sets the Stage

The Kazakhstan project is not Agreena’s first major soil carbon initiative. In September 2025, the AgreenaCarbon Project became the first large-scale agricultural project to get verified under Verra’s VCS. The project received approval for 2.3 million VCUs across more than 1.6 million hectares.

Your web browser does not support iframes, which means that the video cannot play. 

 

Agreena reported 1.2 million tons of CO2 reductions and 1.1 million tons of CO2 removals. These came from better farming practices and soil carbon sequestration. That experience could help the company scale its Kazakhstan project, although the new project still has to complete its own validation and verification process.

Agreena also uses digital measurement, reporting, and verification tools alongside field data, soil sampling, and modeling. Its programme has previously undergone independent assessment under ISO 14064-2.

The Carbon Market Is Moving Toward Forward Supply

The agreement also reflects a broader change in voluntary carbon markets. Buyers looking for large volumes of credits increasingly need to secure future supply rather than rely only on spot purchases. That is especially relevant for sectors with limited options for cutting their remaining emissions.

The data from Sylvera shows that offtake agreements in the market have grown 205% in 2025 from the previous year.

annual offtake agreements sylvera
Source: Sylvera

A seven-year commitment can give developers capital and visibility while giving buyers greater certainty over future volumes.

However, forward deals also carry risk. Projects may experience delays, low credit generation, or changes in methods. Also, verification requirements can shift, and future demand may be uncertain.

For agricultural projects, weather is another major variable. Drought, flooding, and changes in crop yields can affect the ability of farmers to maintain regenerative practices and the amount of carbon stored in soil. Strong measurement and risk-management systems are therefore essential.

Regenerative Farming Could Deliver Wider Benefits

The carbon benefits are only part of the potential value. Agreena says reduced tillage can save farmers about 40 to 60 liters of diesel per hectare. Keeping crop residues helps save soil moisture. Stopping stubble burning cuts down on pollution and nitrogen oxide emissions.

The company also expects improved soil practices to support biodiversity and make farmland more resilient to drought and flooding.

Northern Kazakhstan’s grain belt is home to important steppe ecosystems. Agreena highlights two key species: the Sociable Lapwing, which is critically endangered, and the Steppe Eagle, which is endangered. Both could thrive with improved land management.

These co-benefits could become increasingly important as carbon buyers look beyond the number of tonnes on a credit and assess broader environmental outcomes.

A Major Test for Agricultural Carbon at Scale

The 4.45 million-ton agreement is significant, but its real impact will depend on delivery. Still, the opportunity is substantial. Kazakhstan has a large farming sector, while demand for large volumes of higher-quality carbon credits is growing.

For Agreena, the agreement provides a major long-term commercial commitment. For Kazakhstan, it could bring new income to farmers while improving soil health and resilience. And for the wider carbon market, the deal sends a clear message: soil carbon is moving from small farm-level projects toward large, long-term carbon supply agreements.

The post Agreena Lands Record 4.45M-Ton Soil Carbon Deal for 1.6M Hectares in Kazakhstan appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Nuclear Power Could Triple by 2050 as It Helps Avoid 43.6 Billion Tonnes of CO₂

nuclear

Global nuclear power is entering a new period of expansion as governments look for reliable, low-carbon electricity to meet rising energy demand.

The World Nuclear Association’s (WNA) World Nuclear Outlook Report 2026 finds that national nuclear targets are collectively strong enough to support more than a tripling of global nuclear capacity by 2050. If those ambitions are delivered, global capacity could reach 1,457 GWe by the middle of the century.

The growth would build on nuclear power’s existing contribution to emissions reductions. Since 1970, nuclear generation has avoided an estimated 43.6 billion tonnes of CO₂ emissions compared with producing the same electricity from gas-fired power plants. Compared with coal, the avoided emissions rise to 97.2 billion tonnes.

However, the report makes clear that reaching the 2050 target will depend less on setting new ambitions and more on delivering reactors at a much faster pace.

Nuclear Generation Reaches a Record High

Nuclear power already supplies a significant share of global electricity.

  • Worldwide nuclear generation reached a record 2,702 TWh in 2025, up from 2,667 TWh a year earlier. That was enough to provide about 9% of global electricity.

nulcear

The increase was driven largely by Asia. Nuclear generation across the region has risen by approximately 2.5 times since 2012, with China accounting for much of the expansion alongside growing output from countries including India, Pakistan and the United Arab Emirates.

At the same time, nuclear’s share of global electricity has fallen from around 17% in the mid-1990s. That does not mean nuclear generation has declined. Instead, global electricity production has expanded faster than nuclear output.

  • The existing fleet is also performing strongly. The global average reactor capacity factor rose to 83.7% in 2025, compared with 82.9% in 2024.
  • The report found no general decline in performance among reactors operating for more than 40 years.

That strengthens the case for keeping existing plants online while new capacity is built.

nuclear

Nuclear’s Climate Contribution Is Already Significant

Nuclear power’s role in reducing emissions extends well beyond its current electricity output.

Nuclear vs. Gas-Fired Emissions: At today’s generation levels, nuclear power avoids roughly 1.25 billion tonnes of CO₂ emissions every year compared with gas-fired generation. WNA says that is greater than the combined annual emissions from aviation and shipping.

Nuclear vs. Coal Emissions: The comparison with coal is even more significant because coal has a higher carbon intensity.

The report estimates that nuclear generation has avoided 97.2 billion tonnes of CO₂ compared with coal-fired electricity since 1970. That cumulative figure is larger than the 38.1 billion tonnes of CO₂ emitted by the entire global energy sector in 2025.

A Low-Carbon Power Source: As electricity demand grows, expanding nuclear generation could provide another source of low-carbon power without relying on fossil fuel combustion.

Here’s the summary of nuclear’s climate impact in the infographic below:

nuclear emissions

2050: Global Nuclear Capacity Could Reach 1,457 GWe

The report’s central outlook is based on a combination of existing reactors, projects already moving through development, and additional capacity linked to national government targets.

Under its projection, global nuclear capacity reaches 1,457 GWe in 2050. The calculation assumes existing reactors operate for up to 80 years where appropriate, current projects enter service, and additional reactors needed to meet national targets are constructed.

nuclear power 2050

The project pipeline is gradually becoming more concrete.

Capacity under construction increased from 76 GWe to 82 GWe, while planned capacity rose from 107 GWe to 114 GWe. Meanwhile, proposed capacity declined from 294 GWe to 289 GWe and potential capacity dropped from 24 GWe to 13 GWe.

That shift is important because it suggests some projects are moving toward more advanced stages of development.

Still, a substantial gap remains. The report estimates that another 559 GWe would be required beyond identified projects to meet governments’ stated nuclear targets.

China, India and New Nuclear Markets

Most of the projected growth will come from countries that already operate nuclear reactors. Existing nuclear countries are expected to account for 1,303 GWe of the projected 2050 capacity. New nuclear entrants could contribute another 154 GWe.

Five countries — China, France, India, Russia and the US — are projected to account for a combined 986 GWe by 2050.

China is particularly important to the near-term outlook. Nine of the 11 reactors that began construction in 2025 were in China, with the remaining two in Russia.

India also has ambitious plans. The country currently has around 8 GWe of nuclear capacity, providing approximately 3% of its electricity. Its government is targeting 100 GWe by 2047, which would require a major increase in construction and industrial capacity.

Meanwhile, new entrants are beginning to expand the geographic reach of nuclear power. The report expects countries without operating reactors in 2026 to collectively reach 154 GWe by 2050.

nuclear capacity

The Nuclear Buildout Needs to Accelerate

This is where the outlook faces its biggest challenge.

The industry started construction on 11 reactors in 2025, matching the previous year’s total. However, the World Nuclear Association estimates that construction starts would eventually need to reach around six times current levels by the mid-2030s to achieve the tripling objective.

Construction times also vary considerably.

China’s Zhangzhou 2 reactor reached the grid after 62 months, while India’s Rajasthan 7 took 163 months. The report links China’s shorter construction period to its active programme of standardized reactors built in series.

That difference illustrates one of the central lessons of the report: building reactors repeatedly can preserve expertise, strengthen supply chains and allow developers to apply experience from one project to the next.

Countries that build reactors only occasionally face a different challenge. Long gaps can result in the loss of skilled workers and institutional knowledge, while each new project can effectively become a first-of-a-kind undertaking.

Keeping Existing Reactors Online Matters

New construction is only one part of the nuclear expansion strategy.

Currently, 401 GWe of the 423 GWe of nuclear capacity are operating. It could still be in service in 2050 under its operating-life assumptions. Of that amount, 230 GWe would come from reactors operating between 60 and 80 years.

That makes lifetime extensions particularly important.

Furthermore, 46 reactors had already been operating for more than 50 years as of August 2026. Their continued performance demonstrates that reactor age alone does not necessarily prevent reliable operation.

For countries seeking to increase low-carbon electricity quickly, extending the life of existing reactors can therefore complement new construction.

Financing, Fuel and Supply Chains Are Critical

Despite stronger government support, nuclear projects face high upfront costs and long development timelines.

The report argues that financing must move beyond one-off project structures toward repeatable programmes. Governments can reduce investment risk through long-term policy commitments, revenue frameworks, public-private partnerships and appropriate risk-sharing mechanisms. Multilateral development banks and export credit agencies could also help attract private capital.

At the same time, the nuclear supply chain will need to expand. Tripling capacity would require additional manufacturing, construction, specialist engineering, transportation and nuclear-qualified suppliers.

Uranium supply is another potential bottleneck. The report warns that nuclear expansion will require significantly more uranium and says exploration and mine development must accelerate because new projects can take years to develop. Fuel-cycle capacity for conversion, enrichment and fabrication will also need to grow ahead of demand.

SMRs Could Broaden Nuclear’s Role

Small modular reactors could eventually complement large conventional reactors.

The report says SMRs may simplify project delivery, reduce capital requirements per unit and support more flexible financing models. Factory manufacturing and modular construction could also encourage standardization and potentially shorten construction schedules.

However, most SMR designs still require further licensing, demonstration, and first-of-a-kind deployment. Therefore, large reactors are expected to provide most of the capacity added through 2050, even if SMRs become increasingly important.

Nuclear’s role could also extend beyond electricity. Advanced reactors could provide industrial heat, district heating, desalination and energy for synthetic fuels and other hard-to-abate applications.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) also expects strong long-term growth. In its Announced Pledges Scenario, the IEA predicts over 1,000 SMRs to be used worldwide by 2050. This would add up to about 120 gigawatts (GW) of capacity. It also estimates SMR investment could rise from about $5 billion today to more than $25 billion by 2030.

SMR IEA

Nuclear’s 2050 Goal Depends on Delivery

The World Nuclear Outlook 2026 presents a clear contrast between ambition and execution.

Governments have established enough targets to support a tripling of nuclear capacity. The pipeline is also becoming more concrete, with more capacity moving into construction and planned categories.

But those targets will only translate into operating reactors if countries can solve the practical challenges of financing, licensing, construction, fuel supply, manufacturing and workforce development.

For the energy transition, the potential payoff is significant. Nuclear already provides a large source of low-carbon electricity and has helped avoid tens of billions of tonnes of CO₂ emissions over the past five decades.

The next stage will depend on whether the industry can turn that established climate contribution into a much larger fleet.

The nuclear industry has set the target. Now it needs to build the capacity to deliver it.

The post Nuclear Power Could Triple by 2050 as It Helps Avoid 43.6 Billion Tonnes of CO₂ appeared first on Carbon Credits.

RBC Buys Chestnut’s IFM Carbon Credits as Demand for Removals Grows

U.S.-based Chestnut Carbon has reached an agreement to deliver Improved Forest Management (IFM) carbon credits to Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) as corporate demand shifts toward higher-quality carbon removal projects.

The deal will direct carbon-market funding toward privately owned forests across the U.S. It also gives landowners another source of long-term income while supporting practices designed to improve forest health.

Brian Hong, Director, Environmental Markets Solutions Group at RBC

“Directing capital to high-quality, third-party verified climate solutions is important to how RBC can support clients in the transition to a low-carbon and resilient economy. This project is compelling to us because it makes responsible forest stewardship economically viable for landowners while delivering environmental benefits at scale across the United States.”

Why Chestnut’s IFM Carbon Credits Matter

Chestnut’s IFM portfolio covers more than 200,000 acres across 37 U.S. states. The company works with private forest owners through its Forest Carbon Works conservation program.

Broadly speaking, Improved Forest Management projects seek to increase or maintain the amount of carbon stored in forests through better management practices.

These can include:

  • longer harvest rotations
  • retaining larger trees
  • selective thinning
  • improving forest structure
  • prescribed burns

Such practices can also help forests deal with climate-related threats. Healthier forests can be better prepared for wildfire, drought, and other disturbances.

Brian DiMarino, Chief Commercial and Operating Officer at Chestnut, said:

“We’re incredibly proud to be a part of RBC’s commitment to impact through high-quality nature-based carbon removal. Leading financial institutions continue to recognize that nature-based carbon removal is critical in addressing climate change. Lasting conservation happens when economic opportunity is aligned with responsible forest stewardship.”

The Case for Forest Carbon

However, forest management cannot remove every risk. Instead, the goal is to improve resilience while maintaining the long-term productivity of the land.

For private landowners, carbon finance can add another economic reason to keep forests standing. It can provide income without requiring owners to sell land for development or increase harvesting.

Chestnut says its portfolio focuses on privately owned, at-risk U.S. forests. The company also uses a removals-focused approach, with carbon stored in forests forming the basis of its credits.

That focus matters as buyers become more selective about the type of climate benefit they are purchasing.

Carbon Market Buyers Are Paying More for Quality

The carbon market is increasingly moving from a volume-driven model toward one that places a greater value on quality.

Sylvera’s latest data supports that shift. In the first half of 2026, BBB+ rated IFM credits averaged $18.65 per credit, up from $16.34 in the same period of 2025. By comparison, IFM credits rated BB or lower fell to $13.06 from $15.02.

carbon credits retirement IFM
Source: Sylvera

As a result, the price gap between high- and lower-rated IFM credits widened to $5.59 in H1 2026, from just $1.32 a year earlier.

Carbon credits retirement
Source: Sylvera
  • The broader market shows a similar pattern. In Q2 2026, credits rated BBB or higher represented only 27% of rated retirement volume but 51% of rated market value. In other words, higher-quality credits accounted for a much larger share of market value than their volume would suggest.
  • Total retirement market value for Q2 2026 was $247 million.

This trend could benefit well-structured IFM projects. Buyers increasingly want stronger evidence around additionality, permanence, and the amount of carbon actually stored.

Rise In Demand for Nature-Based Removals

The shift toward removals is also visible in corporate purchasing activity.

MSCI found that publicly disclosed, multiyear offtake agreements for nature-based carbon credits reached a record in 2024. Companies announced 10 such deals in the first half of 2024 alone, compared with five during all of 2023.

More importantly, nine of those 10 deals focused entirely on removal credits. These agreements allow companies to secure future supplies of carbon credits while giving project developers greater certainty to invest in projects.

MSCI’s broader market analysis also shows the growing flow of capital toward removals. Between 2021 and the third quarter of 2024, about $43 billion was committed or directly raised for carbon-credit activities, with most of the capital going toward carbon-removal projects, including nature-based and engineered removals.

MSCI carbon removal credits
Sourced from Chestnut Carbon White Paper

This is why long-term agreements such as the Chestnut-RBC deal could become more important. They can give developers predictable demand while helping buyers secure access to higher-quality projects.

RBC Reports 59,519 Carbon Credit Retirements

The Chestnut agreement adds to RBC’s broader use of carbon credits.

According to its 2025 Sustainability Report, RBC purchased and retired 59,519 carbon credits to match its Scope 1 emissions, Scope 2 market-based emissions and business-travel emissions.

  • The bank reported 25,927 tonnes of Scope 1 emissions, 3,562 tonnes of market-based Scope 2 emissions, and 30,030 tonnes from business travel.
  • Its Scope 1 and 2 market-based emissions were 70% below 2018 levels in 2025, while all electricity used across its properties came from renewable sources.

RBC says it sources credits from third-party verified projects and considers factors such as additionality, permanence, location, technology, credit vintage, and environmental and community benefits. Its carbon-credit procurement includes projects registered with Verra, the American Carbon Registry, and Climate Action Reserve.

However, the bank does not disclose the amount it paid for its 2025 carbon credits. Therefore, the financial value of the 59,519 credits cannot be calculated from the sustainability report.

RBC carbon credit retirement
Source: RBC

A Small Operational Footprint, But Larger Financing Exposure

Carbon credits address only one part of RBC’s climate footprint.

  • The bank reported about 29.7 million tonnes of disclosed financed emissions across the sectors covered by its PCAF reporting. Oil and gas represented the largest share, at about 26.4 million tonnes of CO₂e.

At the same time, RBC reported C$29 billion in authorized lending exposure to low-carbon energy and enabling activities, including C$10.2 billion in renewable energy.

The contrast is significant. RBC’s operational emissions are measured in tens of thousands of tonnes, while its financed emissions run into the tens of millions.

Carbon Finance Gives IFM Projects a New Opportunity

Still, the Chestnut agreement shows how carbon finance can support action beyond a company’s direct operations. It connects corporate demand with private landowners and forest-management projects.

As the carbon market matures, buyers are likely to focus less on simply purchasing credits and more on where the carbon is stored, how long it stays there, and whether the claimed climate benefit is credible.

For IFM developers such as Chestnut, that shift could create a stronger market for projects that combine carbon removal with healthier and more resilient forests.

The post RBC Buys Chestnut’s IFM Carbon Credits as Demand for Removals Grows appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Singapore, Laos Sign Article 6 Carbon Credit Deal to Unlock Climate Finance

Singapore and Laos have signed a new agreement to collaborate on carbon credits under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, creating a legal framework for the development and international transfer of high-integrity carbon credits.

As per reports, the Implementation Agreement was signed virtually on September 4 by Singapore’s Minister for Sustainability and the Environment and Minister in charge of Trade Relations, Grace Fu, and Lao PDR’s Minister of Agriculture and Environment, Dr. Linkham Douangsavanh.

The deal marks Singapore’s 12th bilateral Implementation Agreement on carbon credits and its fourth with an ASEAN member state.

The agreement could help channel new carbon finance into emissions-reduction projects in Laos while giving Singapore access to additional high-quality carbon credits.

Grace Fu further noted,

“Singapore and Lao PDR share a strong and longstanding partnership. As fellow ASEAN Member States, we are committed
to working together on regional and bilateral initiatives. The signing of the Implementation Agreement is an important milestone in our bilateral partnership and unlocks new opportunities in carbon markets for businesses and local communities. By working together, ASEAN can lead the way in building a low-carbon future that delivers tangible benefits across the region.”

Singapore and Laos Build Article 6 Carbon Market Framework

Carbon markets are becoming a central tool in global climate policy despite ongoing concerns over credit quality and transparency. As per MSCI, the global carbon-credit market is projected to grow modestly by 2030, reaching USD 5–20 billion, but could expand sharply by 2050 to USD 60–270 billion as demand strengthens and high-quality supply becomes more constrained.

The image below explains the growth in detail:

carbon market
Source: MSCI

This agreement establishes a legally binding framework for carbon mitigation projects that comply with the Article 6 rulebook.

Under the framework, project developers in Laos can develop eligible emissions-reduction projects and seek authorization to transfer their carbon credits internationally.

The credits must undergo corresponding adjustments before they can be transferred for eligible international uses. This mechanism is designed to prevent the same emissions reduction from being counted toward both countries’ climate targets.

Singapore and Laos will set out the procedures for project authorization and corresponding adjustments. Singapore will publish details on eligible carbon-crediting methodologies and the authorization process through its Article 6 platform.

The framework therefore provides project developers with a clearer path to participate in the growing international carbon market.

Carbon Finance to Support Laos’ Climate Goals

Beyond creating a carbon trading framework, the agreement is designed to direct climate finance toward emissions-reduction opportunities in Lao PDR.

  • Singapore has committed to channel 5% of the proceeds from authorized carbon credits under the agreement toward climate adaptation measures in Laos.
  • The agreement also includes a separate contribution toward global emissions reduction. Singapore will cancel 2% of the correspondingly adjusted carbon credits at first issuance.

These cancelled credits cannot be sold, traded, or counted toward the emissions targets of any country. Together, these provisions are intended to ensure that the carbon market generates benefits beyond the sale and transfer of credits.

Projects authorized under the agreement are also expected to support sustainable development in Laos, including job creation and reductions in environmental pollution.

Singapore Expands Its International Carbon Market Strategy

The agreement fits into Singapore’s broader strategy of using international carbon markets alongside domestic climate policies. Notably, the country introduced Southeast Asia’s first national carbon tax in 2019. The tax applies to large industrial facilities emitting at least 25,000 tonnes of greenhouse gases annually.

The country is also raising its carbon price. Singapore’s carbon tax is set to increase from S$25 per tonne currently to S$50-S$80 per tonne by 2030.

singapore carbon market

To help companies manage some of the cost, Singapore allows covered facilities to use eligible international carbon credits to offset up to 5% of their taxable emissions under its International Carbon Credits framework.

As a result, access to high-quality international credits is becoming increasingly important for companies operating under Singapore’s carbon pricing system.

Singapore Expands Article 6 Partnerships

The partnership also strengthens Singapore’s position as a regional hub for carbon trading and climate finance. The city-state already hosts major carbon market and climate finance businesses, including Climate Impact X.

More broadly, the agreement shows how Article 6 is moving from an international rulebook toward practical bilateral carbon market arrangements.

  • Singapore has now signed similar Implementation Agreements with Bhutan, Chile, Ghana, Mongolia, Paraguay, Papua New Guinea, Peru, Rwanda, Thailand, the Philippines, and Vietnam.

Why the Laos Deal Matters for the Carbon Market

The agreement gives Laos a new pathway to attract international climate finance for emissions-reduction and sustainable development projects. At the same time, it expands Singapore’s pipeline of high-integrity carbon credits and strengthens its role as a regional hub for carbon trading and climate finance.

More importantly, the deal shows how Article 6 is moving from global rules into practical bilateral carbon market partnerships. With 12 implementation agreements now signed, including four with ASEAN member states, Singapore is building a network that could support greater cross-border investment in climate action while helping countries meet their emissions goals.

The post Singapore, Laos Sign Article 6 Carbon Credit Deal to Unlock Climate Finance appeared first on Carbon Credits.

Europe’s Largest Carbon Capture Facility Launches in the Netherlands to 800,000 Tons of CO2

Europe’s Largest Carbon Capture Facility Launches in the Netherlands to 800,000 Tons of CO2

Europe has opened its largest industrial carbon capture and storage (CCS) facility at Yara International’s Sluiskil ammonia and fertilizer plant in the Netherlands. The facility was officially inaugurated on September 7, 2026, marking a major step for Europe’s push to reduce emissions from heavy industry. 

Yara expects the site to capture and liquefy up to 800,000 metric tons of CO2 per year from ammonia production. The captured carbon will then be shipped to Norway and permanently stored beneath the North Sea.

Over 15 years, the project is expected to capture and store about 12 million tons of CO2. The European Commission announced that this project is the largest commercial CCS facility in Europe. It is also one of the first complete cross-border systems for capturing, transporting, and permanently storing industrial CO2.

The project matters beyond Yara. It shows how captured industrial emissions could be moved across borders to storage sites, creating a model that other hard-to-abate industries could use. Svein Tore Holsether, President and CEO of Yara International, remarked:

“This is an important day for Yara and for European industry. The carbon capture facility in Sluiskil proves that large-scale industrial decarbonization is possible today. As global competition intensifies, Europe must find ways to cut emissions while keeping industry, jobs and critical value chains in Europe. That is exactly what this project is about.”

Capturing 800,000 Tons of CO2 Each Year

Yara’s Sluiskil site is one of Europe’s largest ammonia and fertilizer production facilities. Ammonia production generates process emissions that are difficult to eliminate through renewable power alone.

The new CCS system captures CO2 from the ammonia production process before it reaches the atmosphere. The gas is then compressed and liquefied at the Dutch site for transport.

Yara says the project can capture up to 800,000 tons of CO2 annually, equal to roughly 0.5%  of the Netherlands’ annual emissions. This is based on the company’s earlier comparison with 2022 national emissions.

The system is designed to operate as part of a wider transport and storage chain rather than as a standalone capture project. That distinction is important because capturing CO2 is only the first step. The carbon must also be transported safely and stored permanently.

Captured CO2 Will Travel From the Netherlands to Norway

After capture and liquefaction, the CO2 will be loaded onto ships operated by Northern Lights, the Norwegian CO2 transport and storage company.

The carbon will travel to Øygarden on Norway’s western coast. From there, Northern Lights will transport it through pipelines and inject it about 2,600 meters beneath the seabed on the Norwegian continental shelf.

Yara’s project will use two ships, each capable of carrying about 7,200 tons of liquefied CO2. The company previously outlined a schedule of up to two loaded ships per week.

The project is significant because it creates a cross-border CCS chain linking an industrial emitter in one country with a geological storage site in another.

Northern Lights is part of Norway’s Longship CCS program. Norway’s government has committed about NOK 22 billion in support for construction and operation of Longship. The total estimated cost of the broader project, including 10 years of operation, is about NOK 34 billion.

Longship’s first phase has an annual CO2 storage capacity of 1.5 million tons, with plans to expand to 5 million tons in a second phase. It already has agreements with Yara in the Netherlands, Ørsted in Denmark, and Stockholm Exergi in Sweden.

Europe largest carbon capture storage ccs facility

CCS Offers Heavy Industry a New Route to Cut Emissions

The fertilizer industry faces a difficult decarbonization challenge. Ammonia is essential for fertilizer production, but conventional ammonia manufacturing relies heavily on fossil fuels and also creates process emissions.

Electrification and low-carbon hydrogen can reduce some emissions, but they require major changes in energy supply and industrial processes. CCS can address emissions that are harder to remove through efficiency or renewable energy alone.

The European Commission has identified CCS as an important tool for industries such as chemicals, cement and waste management. It says Europe needs to be ready to capture at least 50 million tons of CO2 annually by 2030. That requirement could rise to around 280 million tons by 2040 and approximately 450 million tons by 2050.

The EU has also set a legally binding target of at least 50 million tons of annual CO2 injection capacity by 2030 under the Net-Zero Industry Act.

Europe annual carbon injection
Source: Clean Air Task Force

Against that target, Yara’s 800,000-ton annual capture capacity represents about 1.6% of the EU’s 2030 storage-injection goal. The comparison is not a direct measure of total emissions reduction because the EU target refers to injection capacity, while Yara’s figure refers to capture capacity. Still, it shows why projects at this scale are becoming important pieces of Europe’s carbon-management infrastructure.

CCS Meets Europe’s Carbon Pricing Market

The Sluiskil project is not a conventional carbon removal project. That distinction matters. The facility captures industrial process CO2 that would otherwise enter the atmosphere. It does not directly remove CO2 that was already in the atmosphere.

Under the EU’s carbon management framework, CCS can cover fossil, biogenic or atmospheric CO2, while permanent removals generally refer to CO2 captured from atmospheric or biogenic sources.

The immediate financial incentive for Yara is therefore linked to avoiding emissions and the cost of carbon allowances rather than generating a traditional voluntary carbon credit.

Yara says capturing and permanently storing the emissions will allow the company to avoid carbon taxation on the captured volumes. EU legislation also provides rules under the EU Emissions Trading System for captured CO2 that is transferred for permanent geological storage.

This creates an important connection between CCS infrastructure and Europe’s carbon pricing market.

As the EU ETS carbon price increases over time, the economic value of permanently storing industrial emissions can also increase. At the same time, the cost of capture, liquefaction, shipping, and storage remains an important factor in determining whether projects are commercially attractive.

Yara’s 2026 Capital Markets Day materials put the Sluiskil project’s net investment at about $200 million. It further reported that the project was 75% complete at the time of the presentation. Yara also described the project as having a double-digit expected internal rate of return before the blue premium.

Yara Is Linking CCS to Its Wider Climate Strategy

The Sluiskil project is part of Yara’s broader emissions reduction strategy. According to its 2025 Annual Report, Yara reduced its scope 1 and 2 emissions by 17% against its stated baseline by 2025. Its greenhouse gas emissions intensity reached 2.7 tons of CO2e per ton of nitrogen, meeting its 2025 target.

Yara carbon emissions
Source: Yara

Yara has a target to reduce absolute scope 1 and 2 emissions by 30% by 2030 from a 2019 baseline. It also has a 2030 target to reduce scope 3 emissions from the use of sold products by 11.1% from a 2021 baseline.

Yara reduction emissions target
Source: Yara

The company reported $15.7 billion in revenue in 2025 and operates in more than 60 countries. For Yara, CCS therefore serves two purposes:

  • reducing emissions from an existing industrial site and supporting the company’s longer-term effort to lower the carbon intensity of fertilizer production.                                                                                  

Putting Europe’s Carbon Strategy to the Test

Yara’s Sluiskil facility arrives at a critical point for Europe’s climate and industrial policy. The EU wants to rapidly expand carbon storage while protecting energy-intensive industries from rising carbon costs and international competition. The challenge is turning that ambition into commercially viable infrastructure.

The Sluiskil project provides a real-world test. It combines industrial capture, liquefaction, maritime transport and permanent geological storage across national borders.

The project also highlights an important point for carbon markets: not every tonne of CO2 permanently stored will become a tradable carbon removal credit. In this case, the main climate benefit comes from preventing industrial emissions from entering the atmosphere and allowing the emitter to manage its obligations under Europe’s carbon pricing system.

For Europe’s hard-to-abate industries, however, that could prove just as important as the growth of carbon removal markets.

The post Europe’s Largest Carbon Capture Facility Launches in the Netherlands to 800,000 Tons of CO2 appeared first on Carbon Credits.