NVIDIA’s AI Spending Surge to $279B as Infrastructure Commitments Hit Record Levels, NVDA Stock Gains

NVIDIA’s AI Spending Surge to $279B as Infrastructure Commitments Hit Record Levels, NVDA Stock Gains

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is moving deeper into the center of the global AI infrastructure boom as spending commitments across the industry reach unprecedented levels. The chipmaker is benefiting from rising demand for AI computing, while also helping finance and build the infrastructure needed to support future growth.

The trend is reflected in NVIDIA’s latest results. For the second quarter of fiscal 2027, revenue reached $96.2 billion, up 106% year over year. Data Center revenue rose 117% to $89 billion.

NVIDIA expects another record quarter, forecasting $108 billion in fiscal Q3 revenue. Behind those numbers is a much larger infrastructure cycle involving chips, data centers, networking, electricity, and financing.

The $2.7T AI Spending Wave Is Just Getting Started

The scale of AI investment has expanded sharply. Gartner forecasts worldwide AI spending at $2.7 trillion in 2026, up 49.5% from 2025. AI infrastructure is expected to account for about $1.48 trillion of that spending. Gartner forecasts total AI spending could reach approximately $3.64 trillion in 2027.

Data center investment is also creating a major new demand for electricity.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates global data center electricity consumption will roughly double from 485 TWh in 2025 to 950 TWh in 2030. Electricity use from AI-focused data centers is expected to triple over the same period.

The IEA also expects data centers to account for about 3% of global electricity demand by 2030. In the U.S., they could account for almost half of electricity-demand growth through the end of the decade. This creates demand not only for GPUs but also for networking equipment, cooling systems, power infrastructure, and data center capacity.US data centers electricity use 2030

NVIDIA’s Results Show the Scale of Demand

NVIDIA’s latest financial results provide a direct measure of the AI infrastructure boom. For the quarter ended July 26, 2026, revenue reached $96.2 billion, compared with $46.7 billion a year earlier. Operating income climbed 124% to $63.7 billion, while net income increased 126% to $59.7 billion. GAAP gross margin was 75%.

The Data Center segment remains the main growth engine. Revenue increased 18% from the previous quarter and 117% from a year earlier to $89 billion. NVIDIA’s Edge Computing revenue reached $7.2 billion, up 27% year over year.

Nvidia data center revenue Q2 2027
Source: Nvidia

For fiscal Q3, NVIDIA expects revenue of $108 billion, plus or minus 2%. Its forecast assumes no Data Center compute revenue from China. Gross margin is expected at 74%, plus or minus 50 basis points.

The company has also sharply increased its supply and capacity commitments. NVIDIA’s fiscal Q2 filing shows these commitments rose from $119 billion to $279 billion as of July 26, 2026. The company said the increase was intended to meet future demand.

These commitments are not the same as revenue. They represent future obligations and capacity arrangements. NVIDIA also warns that customers could delay purchases because of shortages of land, electricity, data center shells, or capital.

NVIDIA Moves Into AI Infrastructure Financing

The world’s most valuable company is also expanding beyond chip sales. In August, NVIDIA announced partnerships with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to establish independent financing platforms for AI infrastructure.

The platforms aim to mobilize more than $500 billion of third-party capital over time. The objective is to help fund large AI data centers and computing systems. This reflects a broader shift in the industry.

The IEA says data center investments have become too large to be funded entirely from company balance sheets, making capital markets increasingly important.

However, the $500 billion figure is a target for capital mobilization, not money already committed. NVIDIA’s announcement says the arrangements remain subject to definitive agreements. NVIDIA’s Q2 filing also shows $99 billion of equity investments and $25 billion of equity investment commitments as of July 26, 2026.

OpenAI’s 10-GW Plan Adds Fuel to the AI Buildout

One of the clearest examples of AI infrastructure demand is NVIDIA’s partnership with OpenAI. In September 2025, the companies announced plans for at least 10 gigawatts of NVIDIA systems for OpenAI’s next-generation AI infrastructure.

NVIDIA said it intended to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI progressively as each gigawatt is deployed. The first gigawatt was targeted for deployment in the second half of 2026 using NVIDIA’s Vera Rubin platform.

NVIDIA’s broader infrastructure model now covers computing, networking, software and financing. The company’s fiscal Q2 results also highlighted its DSX platform, which is designed to help infrastructure builders design, build and operate large-scale AI factories. This suggests that NVIDIA’s role in the AI economy is expanding beyond supplying individual processors.

The Next AI Bottleneck: Finding Enough Power

The next challenge is increasingly physical. AI data centers require enormous amounts of electricity, and connecting new facilities to power grids can take years. The IEA says bottlenecks involving grid connections, transformers, gas turbines, advanced chips and other infrastructure are already slowing some projects.

NVIDIA’s own regulatory filing makes a similar point. It says access to land, power, data center shells and capital is crucial to customer deployment.

This creates a potential constraint on how quickly AI computing capacity can grow. Having demand for GPUs does not automatically mean the infrastructure exists to operate them. It also creates a larger connection between the technology and energy markets.

The IEA expects renewables and natural gas to supply much of the additional electricity needed by data centers, with nuclear also becoming more important later this decade.

NVIDIA’s AI Growth Comes With a Bigger Emissions Bill

NVIDIA GHG emissions 2026

The infrastructure boom also raises environmental questions for NVIDIA and its supply chain. It has science-based emissions targets based on a FY2023 baseline, aiming to cut absolute Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions by 50% by FY2030. It also targets a 75% reduction in Scope 3 emissions intensity from the use of sold GPUs per PFLOP by FY2030.

The company has made progress on operational electricity emissions. Its FY26 sustainability report shows 9,822 metric tons of Scope 1 emissions and 568 tons of market-based Scope 2 emissions. However, its wider supply chain footprint has increased sharply.

NVIDIA reported 10.7 million metric tons of Scope 3 emissions in FY26, compared with 6.9 million tons in FY25. Purchased goods and services accounted for 9.3 million tons. That increase highlights the environmental challenge created by rapid hardware expansion.

Nvidia GHG emissions 2026 by scope
Data source: Nvidia
  • The chipmaker is therefore pursuing two parallel goals: increasing computing efficiency while reducing emissions across its operations and value chain.

NVIDIA Stock Moves Higher as AI Spending Accelerates

NVIDIA stock closed at $228.38 on September 30, 2026, gaining 0.5% for the session. The stock rose 1.7% on September 28 after NVIDIA announced a record $150 billion increase to its share-repurchase authorization. This lifts the total remaining authorization to about $235 billion.

Recent trading has therefore taken place alongside continued investor focus on AI infrastructure spending, NVIDIA’s earnings growth and its expanding capital-return program.

NVIDIA NVDA Stock

NVIDIA’s AI Infrastructure Cycle Keeps Expanding

NVIDIA enters the next phase of the AI buildout with several major infrastructure commitments already in place. OpenAI’s planned 10-GW deployment adds another large source of future demand.

At the same time, the industry faces physical and financial constraints. Electricity demand from data centers is projected to nearly double by 2030, while grid connections, power equipment, land, construction capacity and financing could limit the speed of new deployments.

For NVIDIA, the opportunity is therefore no longer limited to selling GPUs. The company is increasingly involved in the broader AI infrastructure stack, including computing, networking, software, capacity and financing.

The scale of those commitments shows how much capital is now moving behind AI. It also makes energy availability, infrastructure delivery, emissions, and the economic returns from AI spending increasingly important factors in the next phase of the market.

The post NVIDIA’s AI Spending Surge to $279B as Infrastructure Commitments Hit Record Levels, NVDA Stock Gains appeared first on Carbon Credits.

700+ Companies Commit to Net Zero by 2040, But Renewable Growth Still Falls Short

700+ Companies Commit to Net Zero by 2040, But Renewable Growth Still Falls Short

More than 700 companies have now committed to reaching net-zero carbon emissions by 2040 through The Climate Pledge, but the rapid growth of corporate climate action is running into a major global challenge: there is still not enough clean energy capacity being built to meet the world’s 2030 renewable target.

The Climate Pledge’s 2026 report counted 705 signatories across 49 countries and territories and 62 industries. The combined revenue of the companies is about $3.8 trillion. The current Climate Pledge website now lists 728 signatories.

At the same time, the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) says the world added a record 692 gigawatts (GW) of renewable power capacity in 2025, bringing total renewable capacity to 5,149 GW.

That is strong growth, but it is still below the pace needed to triple global renewable capacity by 2030. The gap matters for companies trying to cut emissions because corporate demand for clean electricity is growing faster than renewable supply in many markets.

Climate Pledge Companies Are Turning Net-Zero Targets Into Action

The new Climate Pledge report provides some evidence that corporate commitments are translating into action.

Among 119 signatories analyzed in the report, representing about 90% of publicly available signatory revenue, operational carbon emissions fell by an average of 11% between the measured periods. That compares with a 7% average decline among other companies in the dataset.

The Climate Pledge by numbers
Source: The Climate Pledge

The median reduction among the analyzed signatories was even higher at 21%. Three out of four companies reduced emissions from their direct operations and purchased energy. 

The biggest reduction came from Scope 2 emissions, which fell by an average of 35%. These are emissions linked to purchased electricity, heat, steam, and cooling. Renewable energy procurement was a major reason for that decline.

By comparison, Scope 1 emissions fell 4% on average. These come directly from company operations, including fuel use and industrial processes.

That difference highlights a major issue for the next stage of corporate decarbonization. Buying more renewable electricity can reduce power-related emissions, but cutting emissions from factories, fleets, buildings and industrial processes is often harder. 

Angel Hsu, Associate Professor and Founder of the Data Driven Envirolab at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, wrote:

“Through the Net Zero Tracker, we spend our time scrutinizing whether corporate climate commitments are credible and actually hold up over time. What’s encouraging in the data is how many companies are not only staying the course, but in many cases strengthening their targets over time while backing them with measurable progress. That continued commitment is what turns a net-zero claim into a credible plan.”

Renewable Power Is Growing at Record Speed 

Global renewable deployment is nevertheless moving quickly. IRENA reports that 692 GW of renewable capacity was added in 2025, a 15.5% increase from the previous year. Renewables accounted for 85.6% of all new power capacity added globally.

Solar dominated the expansion, with about 511 GW added. Wind contributed another 158.7 GW. Together, solar and wind made up 96.8% of net renewable additions.

  • Renewables now represent about 49% of global installed power capacity, according to IRENA. 

The economics are also improving. IRENA says more than 85% of new renewable projects are now cheaper than fossil-fuel alternatives, while the cost of solar power has fallen 87% since 2010, onshore wind by 55%, and battery storage by 93%. 

The market is therefore no longer simply waiting for renewable technology to become competitive. The bigger challenge is deploying it fast enough and connecting it to consumers.

The World Still Has a 2030 Renewable Capacity Gap

At COP28, countries agreed to work toward tripling global renewable power capacity by 2030. IRENA estimates this means reaching about 11.2 terawatts (TW) by 2030. To get there, the world needs average annual additions of about 1,122 GW between 2025 and 2030, with renewable capacity growing about 16.6% a year. 

The 692 GW added in 2025 was therefore about 430 GW below that annual average pace. Put another way, 2025 deployment reached only about 62% of the average annual capacity addition needed to stay on the tripling path.

renewable power additions
Source: IRENA

IRENA’s latest data also shows that deployment remains highly concentrated. China, the United States and the European Union accounted for 79.5% of all new renewable capacity added in 2025, while Africa accounted for only 1.6%.

That imbalance is a major concern for companies operating across emerging markets, where access to renewable electricity can remain limited even as corporate climate targets become more demanding. 

Grids and Finance Are Becoming the Bottlenecks

The renewable gap is not simply a question of building more solar panels and wind turbines. IRENA’s 2026 analysis points to several practical barriers, including:

  • Grid capacity,
  • Energy storage,
  • Permitting,
  • Financing, and
  • Supply chains.

Grid upgrades are especially important because solar and wind projects can be built faster than new transmission and distribution infrastructure. This creates a growing problem for companies.

A business can have a target to use 100% renewable electricity, but achieving it depends on whether suitable projects exist in the markets where it operates and whether the grid can deliver the required power.

The Climate Pledge report reflects that challenge. Its signatories reduced purchased-energy emissions much faster than direct operational emissions, showing that renewable procurement can move relatively quickly while harder industrial reductions take longer.

That is why corporate demand can play an important role in the renewable market. Long-term power purchase agreements and other procurement contracts can provide developers with predictable demand and help projects secure financing.

Corporate Demand Could Boost Carbon Markets

The Climate Pledge is relevant to the carbon market as well. Its members commit to measure and report emissions, reduce them through operational changes and clean energy, and neutralize remaining emissions with additional, quantifiable, real and permanent offsets. 

Yet, that does not mean all 700-plus companies will rely heavily on carbon credits. The framework puts direct emissions cuts first. But as companies reduce their operational emissions, the remaining emissions become harder to eliminate. That could increase demand for high-quality carbon removals and other credible climate projects over time.

The Climate Pledge
Source: The Climate Pledge

The Climate Pledge report estimates that if its signatories collectively reach net zero, they could eliminate at least 2.6 billion metric tons of CO2e annually. The organization says this is roughly equivalent to one-third of the carbon absorbed by the world’s forests each year.

This is a projection, not a measured reduction already achieved, and the report notes that emissions overlaps between companies mean it should not be treated as a simple absolute emissions reduction. That distinction is important when assessing the real market impact.

The Next Decade Will Test How Fast Markets Can Scale

The two new data sets point to the same market challenge from different directions. Corporate climate commitments are expanding quickly. The Climate Pledge added 107 companies in 2025, a 19% increase from 2024. Signatories now span dozens of industries, including sectors that are difficult to decarbonize. 

Renewable power is also expanding at record levels, but the world still needs much faster deployment to reach the 2030 tripling goal. For companies, this creates both a challenge and a business opportunity.

More renewable capacity, stronger grids and better storage can make corporate emissions targets easier to deliver. Long-term corporate demand can, in turn, help finance new clean energy projects. The key issue is timing.

The Climate Pledge gives companies until 2040 to reach net zero, while the global renewable tripling target arrives in 2030. That leaves only a few years to close the renewable deployment gap. The latest numbers show progress, but they also show how much more infrastructure must be built.

The corporate climate market is growing. The renewable market is growing even faster. However, neither is moving fast enough to close the gap between today’s commitments and the clean energy system needed to meet them.

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Gold Price Up 70%, Costs Up 16%: Miners’ Decarbonization Test

Gold Prices Near Record Highs Put Miners’ Sustainability Spending in Focus

Gold prices remain near historic highs, creating a major cash-flow opportunity for mining companies. The bigger question for the industry is what miners are doing with those stronger margins. Spot gold was around $4,183 per ounce on September 29, 2026, after reaching a record high earlier this year. The latest price is still well above the levels seen before the recent gold boom. 

Mining costs have also increased, but much more slowly than gold prices.

The World Gold Council (WGC) reported that the global average all-in sustaining cost (AISC) reached a record $1,785 per ounce in the first quarter of 2026, up 16% from a year earlier. Gold’s average price rose about 70% year over year during the same period. 

As a result, average AISC margins jumped 134% year over year to a record $3,076 per ounce. This creates an unusual opportunity for miners to invest more in cleaner operations.

The question is whether that money is actually flowing into decarbonization, renewable power, electrification, and other environmental projects.

gold spot price
Source: Bloomberg

Gold Prices Are Rising Faster Than Mining Costs

Gold remained extremely expensive in Q2 2026, even after pulling back from its early-year record. The LBMA Gold Price PM averaged $4,506.29 per ounce during Q2, down 8% from Q1 but still 37% higher than Q2 2025.

Mining costs have also risen, but at a slower pace. The latest global industry data from the World Gold Council, covering Q1 2026, put average all-in sustaining costs (AISC) at a record $1,785 per ounce, up 5% quarter over quarter and 16% year over year. The WGC has not yet published a global Q2 AISC figure.

  • The gap is still striking. Gold’s Q2 average was about $2,721 per ounce above the latest global AISC benchmark.

Gold prices have risen much faster. The difference gives miners substantial room between the revenue earned from each ounce and the cost of sustaining production.

The WGC says royalties were one of the biggest reasons costs increased. In Q1 2026, royalty payments rose 85% year over year and accounted for about 12% of average AISC, compared with around 6% in Q1 2021.

So miners are not keeping the entire benefit of higher gold prices. Governments are also capturing part of the windfall through royalties and taxes.

Even after those costs, however, margins remain exceptionally strong. That gives companies more capacity to fund mine development, debt reduction, dividends, share buybacks, and sustainability projects.

Fed Rate Hike Changes the Gold Equation

The biggest new market driver is the U.S. Federal Reserve.

On September 16, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate range by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%. It was the central bank’s first rate increase in three years. The Fed said inflation remains elevated and that the latest action would support a return to its 2% inflation goal.

The Fed’s latest projections point to a higher path for rates than previously expected. The median projection puts the federal funds rate at 4.1% at the end of 2026, compared with 3.8% in the June projection.

That is a problem for gold because the metal pays no interest. When Treasury yields rise, investors can earn more income from bonds while holding gold still carries no coupon. That increases the opportunity cost of owning bullion.

Markets are now also pricing in the possibility of another Fed increase later this year. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said she supported the September hike and warned that inflation risks remain elevated.

Gold-Fed hike

Major Gold Miners Are Generating Billions in Cash

Recent financial results show how large that cash generation has become.

Newmont generated a record $2.2 billion in free cash flow in Q2 2026. Its average realized gold price was $4,414 per ounce, while gold by-product AISC was $1,621 per ounce. That creates a $2,793-per-ounce spread before other corporate costs and financial items. 

Newmont returned $1.9 billion to shareholders during the quarter. Its 2026 plan also includes about $1.95 billion of sustaining capital, $1.4 billion of development capital and $525 million for exploration and advanced projects. 

Agnico Eagle reported a Q2 realized gold price of $4,483 per ounce and AISC of just $1,459 per ounce, producing a spread of about $3,024 per ounce. It generated record quarterly free cash flow and continued to fund growth projects while returning capital to shareholders.                                       

Barrick reported a Q2 realized gold price of $4,417 per ounce and AISC of $1,866 per ounce, a spread of about $2,551 per ounce. Operating cash flow reached $1.70 billion, up 28% year over year. 

These numbers show the scale of the windfall, but they also show that sustainability is competing with other uses of capital.

Gold Fields Puts $195M Into Renewable Power

Gold Fields provides one of the clearest examples of direct spending on cleaner energy. The company is building a $195 million renewable project at its St Ives operation in Australia, combining a 42-MW wind farm and a 35-MW solar plant. The project aims to reduce reliance on fossil-fuel power and strengthen the mine’s energy supply. 

gold fields renewable projects
Source: Gold Fields

In the first half of 2026, renewable electricity supplied 17.4% of Gold Fields’ group electricity consumption, while Scope 1 and 2 emissions were 4% lower than in H1 2025. At Agnew, renewable electricity already accounted for 43% of power supply.

Gold Fields also has a longer-term target of net-zero emissions by 2050. Its spending shows how higher mining cash flows can fund projects that reduce future fuel and power costs as well as emissions.

Other Miners Are Also Building Cleaner Operations

Gold Fields is not alone. Agnico Eagle has committed to reduce absolute Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 30% by 2030 and reach net zero by 2050.

Agnico Eagle 2030 emmissions target
Source: Agnico Eagle

Its new Hope Bay project in Canada’s Nunavut territory includes a planned 4-MW wind project and 4 MW of battery storage, supported by C$25 million in federal funding. Agnico says the system should cut diesel use by about 3 million litres per year.

Barrick has also included renewable power in its major growth projects. At its Reko Diq copper-gold project in Pakistan, the planned power system includes 150 MW of solar generation. Barrick targets a 30% reduction in emissions intensity by 2030 and net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

There is an important catch, however.

Barrick says its expanding production base could cause absolute emissions to rise in the short and medium term, even as emissions per tonne of ore fall. That illustrates a wider challenge for miners: growing production can work against absolute emissions targets.

Shareholder Returns Compete With Decarbonization

The current gold boom is therefore producing a mixed capital-allocation picture. Miners are spending more on renewable power, energy efficiency, electrification and mine infrastructure. But they are also returning large amounts of cash to shareholders and funding new production.

The WGC noted that many producers entered 2026 with strong or even net-cash balance sheets. Newmont, for example, ended Q2 with $9.0 billion of cash and a $3.4 billion net-cash position, while continuing large share repurchases. 

Gold Fields also reported $2.225 billion of adjusted free cash flow in H1 2026, more than double the previous year’s $925 million. Its capital plans include both growth spending and renewable energy investment. 

This is why simply pointing to record gold margins does not prove miners are becoming greener. The stronger test is how much capital is being directed toward measurable emissions reductions.

Why Gold’s Energy Intensity Creates a Big Climate Opportunity

The opportunity is significant because gold mining is energy intensive. Diesel is used for haul trucks and other mobile equipment, while electricity is needed for crushing, grinding, ventilation, pumping, and processing.

gold mining power emissions

Renewable electricity, battery storage, electrified equipment, and lower-carbon fuels can reduce these emissions. They can also protect miners from volatile fuel prices over time.

Gold Fields already links renewable investment to energy security, lower emissions and cost resilience. The current price environment provides miners with the financial capacity to accelerate that transition. However, the evidence so far points to a mixed picture rather than a single industry-wide trend.

Some companies are making large renewable investments. Others are directing more cash toward production growth and shareholder distributions. Most are pursuing a combination of the two. That makes the next few years important.

The Real Test Is Where the Windfall Goes

Gold’s current price strength has created exceptional margins for many producers. The industry now has more financial room to invest in cleaner mines. But major miners are also returning billions to investors and funding new mines.

The key question for the sector is therefore not whether gold producers have more money to spend. They do.

It is how much of that financial capacity is being converted into lower emissions, cleaner energy and more resilient mining operations. That is where the next phase of the gold boom could have a lasting impact on the mining sector—and its carbon footprint.

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Verra CCS Methodology Gets ICVCM Approval as Carbon Removal Market Grows

Verra’s carbon capture and storage (CCS) methodology has been approved by the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market (ICVCM) under its Core Carbon Principles (CCPs).

The approval adds a major technology-based carbon removal method to the growing list of methodologies that meet the ICVCM’s high-integrity requirements.

Mandy Rambharos, CEO of Verra, says:

“Carbon capture and storage is one of the hardest, most technically demanding technologies in the market, and it has to be done right. The ICVCM’s approval confirms that VM0049 and its accompanying modules meet the highest bar for integrity in the industry, giving buyers and governments confidence in VCS projects that apply an approach essential to reaching net zero. Tackling climate change will take every tool in the toolbox. More credible credits in more sectors means more impactful climate action.”

Inside Verra’s VCS Methodology VM0049 

Verra’s Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) methodology VM0049 Carbon Capture and Storage, v1.0, sets rules for measuring greenhouse gas emission reductions and carbon dioxide removals from projects that capture CO₂ and store it permanently.

The framework also includes modules for direct air capture (DAC), CO₂ transport, CO₂ storage and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS).

The approval comes at an important time for the voluntary carbon market. Buyers are paying more attention to whether carbon credits represent real and lasting climate benefits. For CCS projects, this is especially important because capturing CO₂ is only one part of the process.

Projects must also account for emissions from energy use and transportation and show that the captured CO₂ will remain safely stored.

emissions CCS
Source: Verra

Why ICVCM Approval Matters

The ICVCM created the Core Carbon Principles to set a common standard for high-quality carbon credits.

The organization reviews carbon-crediting methodologies to determine whether they meet requirements designed to support credible climate benefits.

This process matters for CCS because these projects can involve several stages and technologies. A project may capture CO₂ at an industrial facility, move it through a pipeline, and then store it deep underground.

Each stage can create emissions or other risks that need to be measured.

As explained before, VM0049 provides rules for accounting for these activities. It is designed to calculate the emissions reductions and carbon removals linked to eligible CCS projects.

Thus, the ICVCM approval gives the methodology an additional credibility signal in the carbon market.

However, the approval applies to the methodology, not automatically to every project using it. Individual projects still need to meet the relevant VCS requirements and verification rules.

That distinction is important as companies look for higher-quality carbon removal credits.

One Framework Covers Several Technologies

One of the main features of VM0049 is its modular design.

Instead of requiring a completely separate methodology for every type of CCS project, Verra created a main framework that can work with different modules.

The approved modules include:

  • VMD0056: Direct air capture
  • VMD0057: CO₂ transport
  • VMD0058: CO₂ storage
  • VMD0059: Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)

This approach gives project developers more flexibility.

For example, a project could capture CO₂ at one location, transport it through a shared pipeline, and store it at a separate geological site. Multiple facilities could also potentially use the same transportation or storage infrastructure.

The framework can also support projects as they grow or add new technologies.

VM0049 has been active since June 2024 and can be used for eligible projects involving geological carbon storage around the world. The methodology was developed by the CCS+ Initiative, South Pole Carbon Asset Management and Perspectives Climate Group, with support from Verra.

verra ccs
Source: Verra

Energy Use Is Also Important

Carbon capture can require large amounts of energy. Therefore, the source of that electricity matters when calculating the overall climate benefit of a project.

VM0049 includes specific requirements for projects that use renewable electricity.

Projects must show that their renewable electricity comes from newly developed renewable sources dedicated to the CCS project. They cannot simply rely on existing renewable generation and assume that the power has no additional climate impact.

This requirement is important because the amount of CO₂ captured does not tell the full story.

A project could capture a large amount of carbon but still have significant emissions from the energy needed to operate its equipment. A robust methodology therefore needs to look at the project’s wider emissions rather than only the captured CO₂.

CCS Could Support the Growth of Carbon Removal

CCS is becoming an important part of the technology-based carbon removal market.

Direct air capture is one example. DAC systems remove CO₂ directly from the atmosphere. The captured carbon can then be transported and stored underground.

BECCS takes a different approach. It uses biomass-based processes to generate energy or products while capturing the resulting CO₂ and storing it.

Both technologies depend on permanent storage and accurate measurement. This makes clear accounting rules important as the industry moves from small demonstration projects toward larger commercial facilities.

VM0049’s modular approach could help developers use one overall framework for different combinations of capture, transport and storage.

At the same time, the methodology can account for emissions linked to each stage of the process.

cdr

What the Approval Means for the Carbon Market

The ICVCM approval gives CCS developers another methodology that has met the organization’s Core Carbon Principles requirements.

For carbon-credit buyers, the approval can make it easier to identify methodologies that have gone through the ICVCM’s integrity assessment.

However, buyers will still need to examine individual projects. Factors such as the technology used, energy source, monitoring system, storage site, and verification process can affect the actual climate benefit of a project.

This will become increasingly important as the carbon removal market expands.

CCS projects are often complex and require significant infrastructure and capital. A clear methodology can help developers measure their climate benefits and give buyers a common framework for evaluating the resulting credits.

The ICVCM approval therefore marks an important step for technology-based carbon removal. It does not remove the need for project-level due diligence, but it gives the market another methodology that has passed an independent integrity assessment.

As more CCS, DAC, and BECCS projects move toward commercial scale, these standards could play an increasingly important role in building confidence in the carbon removal market.

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CORSIA Credit Crunch: Base Carbon Adds 640,000 Rwanda Credits to Aviation Market

CORSIA Credit Crunch: Base Carbon Adds 640,000 Rwanda Credits to Aviation Market

Toronto-based Base Carbon has secured a major expansion of its aviation-compliance carbon inventory. Verra tagged 639,609 previously issued carbon credits from its Rwanda cookstoves project as eligible for the first phase of CORSIA.

The tagging, announced September 28, 2026, brings the total number of CORSIA-eligible credits issued to date from the project to 1,959,812. The credits use Verra’s VM0050 Energy Efficiency and Fuel-Switch Measures in Cookstoves methodology.

The timing is important. The first phase of CORSIA covers 2024–2026, and aviation operators will soon face their first major compliance cycle under the scheme.

At the same time, the supply of eligible units remains much smaller than expected demand. IATA’s June 2026 estimate shows first-phase CORSIA demand at 213 million tonnes of CO2. In contrast, there’s only 38 million tonnes of eligible-unit supply. This creates a potential shortfall of 175 million tonnes. 

That shortage gives eligible credits a different market value from ordinary voluntary carbon credits.

One Rwanda Project Nears the 2M-Credit Mark

The newly tagged credits come from Base Carbon’s Rwanda Cookstoves Project, developed with the DelAgua Group. The company funded the distribution of about 250,000 fuel-efficient cookstoves to rural Rwandan households. Distribution was completed in late 2022. The project has since moved to Verra’s VM0050 methodology and is now in its issuing phase.

Base Carbon's Rwanda Cookstoves Project
Source: Base Carbon

Base Carbon shared that the project was re-quantified under VM0050 after Verra approved the methodology change in 2025. The revised project is expected to generate about 4.6 million carbon credits over its crediting period.

The September tagging is therefore more than a registry milestone. It increases the portion of the project’s issued inventory that can potentially serve an aviation compliance market.

Base Carbon had already received CORSIA eligibility for earlier credits. In July, Verra tagged 342,356 more credits. This raised Base Carbon’s CORSIA-eligible inventory to about 1.1 million credits. The latest issuance pushes the project’s cumulative CORSIA-eligible tagged volume to almost 2 million tons.

Michael Costa, Chief Executive Officer of Base Carbon, said:

“Today’s announcement further demonstrates the maturity and reliability of our Project through the regular cadence of issuance and eligibility. DelAgua’s consistent operational expertise and execution of the Project continue to strengthen our market position, with fully CORSIA-eligible inventories available to meet aviation compliance demand.”

Why CORSIA Credits Are in Short Supply

The market opportunity comes from CORSIA’s strict eligibility rules. CORSIA is the International Civil Aviation Organization’s global market-based system for addressing the growth of international aviation emissions. It is being implemented in phases, with the first phase running from 2024 to 2026 and the second phase beginning in 2027.

CORSIA implementation overview ICAO
Source: ICAO

Under CORSIA, airlines must cancel approved eligible emissions units to meet their offsetting obligations, but not every carbon credit qualifies. ICAO approved eight emissions-unit programs for the first phase. These include:

  • Verra’s Verified Carbon Standard
  • Gold Standard
  • American Carbon Registry
  • Architecture for REDD+ Transactions
  • Climate Action Reserve
  • Global Carbon Council
  • Isometric
  • Thailand’s voluntary program

Even within those programmes, only certain credits and project types are eligible. For credits generated from 2021 onward, host-country requirements can also apply.

ICAO encourages governments to issue Letters of Authorization. These letters will confirm that credits used under CORSIA won’t count toward national climate targets. This makes CORSIA-eligible supply much narrower than the broader voluntary carbon market.

A 175M-Ton Gap Puts a Premium in Play

The shortage is already attracting market attention. IATA’s June estimate showed 213 million tonnes of first-phase demand against 38 million tonnes of supply.

CORSIA EEU demand versus supply

The forecast showed annual demand climbing from around 56 million tonnes in 2024 to 126 million tonnes in 2025. By 2026, it could hit 213 million tonnes. However, supply was only about 38 million tonnes.

Base Carbon also reported in July that its market data showed the ICE December 2026 CORSIA Phase 1 futures contract had risen about 39% since June 30. The company said the European Commission’s proposal to integrate CORSIA into EU law had added confidence to the market. 

Base Carbon said the new EU framework might create at least 29 million tonnes of CORSIA demand in the first phase. This is compared to an estimated 40 million tonnes of globally tagged Phase 1 supply announced in July. These figures suggest why tagging can materially change the commercial value of previously issued credits.

A credit once just for voluntary use can now benefit a smaller group of regulated aviation buyers if it meets CORSIA requirements.

Beyond Aviation: The Climate Case for Cookstoves

The Rwanda project also illustrates why clean-cooking projects remain important to carbon markets. Traditional cooking with wood and other solid fuels can drive deforestation while creating high levels of household air pollution.

Verra states that its VM0050 methodology offers a better way to measure emissions reductions. This is specifically for improved cookstoves and fuel switching. The Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market (ICVCM) approved the methodology under its Core Carbon Principles framework.

Verra states that improved cookstoves in its Rwanda projects can cut firewood use by about 71%. This helps lower household air pollution and eases pressure on forests.

The climate benefit comes from lower fuel consumption and the resulting reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. That makes the Rwanda project relevant to both the climate and development sides of the carbon market.

The Credits Are Not All Held by Base Carbon

Another important detail is ownership. As of May 2026, Base Carbon held around 1.1 million VM0050 credits from the project. Additionally, about 700,000 credits were issued to project partner DelAgua through its revenue-sharing agreement.

The September announcement talks about the 639,609 credits issued from the project. It doesn’t say that Base Carbon owns all 639,609 now. This distinction matters because the project’s economics are shared between Base Carbon and DelAgua.

Base Carbon has already monetized part of the eligible inventory. In early 2026, DelAgua sold around 200,000 CORSIA-eligible credits. This marked the first time credits were monetized after the VM0050 transition. The new tagging could create more opportunities to sell credits into the aviation market.

More Rwanda Credits Could Follow

Base Carbon expects the project to continue generating credits. The company estimates that about 2.6 million more credits could be issued. These would be released every six months for the rest of the project’s crediting period. It expects those future credits to become CORSIA-eligible as well. 

That potential future supply is significant when compared with the current market. If delivered as expected, the additional volume would exceed the 1.96 million CORSIA-eligible credits already issued from the project. However, future issuance remains a company forecast. Actual volumes will depend on project performance, verification and continued compliance with CORSIA and Verra requirements.

The company has also warned that future results can differ from its projections because of factors outside its control.

Base Carbon CORSIA credits

CORSIA Phase Two Could Expand the Demand Pool

The Rwanda tagging arrives just months before CORSIA’s second phase begins. From 2027, participation will expand based on ICAO’s criteria, with 134 states participating according to the current ICAO list.

The second phase will run from 2027 through 2035, with some countries exempt under the programme’s rules. That broader participation could increase the need for eligible units.

ICAO has approved four programs to provide credits for the 2027–2029 second phase:

  • American Carbon Registry
  • Architecture for REDD+ Transactions
  • Gold Standard
  • Verra’s Verified Carbon Standard/Jurisdictional Nested REDD Programme.

However, the eligibility window and project-level requirements still apply. This means the market could face a continuing difference between the number of carbon credits in existence and the number that airlines can actually use.

CORSIA Is Turning Eligibility Into a Market Asset

Base Carbon’s latest announcement highlights a major change in the carbon market. For years, the key question for a credit was whether it represented a credible emissions reduction. Increasingly, another question matters: where can that credit legally and credibly be used?

CORSIA eligibility can turn an ordinary voluntary market credit into a unit with access to a regulated aviation market. As CORSIA moves deeper into its first compliance cycle and prepares for broader participation from 2027, credits with verified eligibility could become an increasingly important segment of the global carbon market.

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Mercedes-Benz Taps ProLogium’s Gen4 Solid-State Battery in Next EV Push

Mercedes-Benz Taps ProLogium’s Gen4 Solid-State Battery in Next EV Push

Mercedes-Benz has secured priority access to ProLogium’s latest Gen4 solid-state battery cells, expanding a partnership that could help bring higher-energy, safer, and more efficient batteries to future electric vehicles.

The companies signed a joint testing agreement on September 24, 2026. Mercedes-Benz will test ProLogium’s Gen4 cells for electrical, thermal, and safety performance at its own facilities and at specialist testing centers.

One point is important: the official announcement describes “priority access,” not exclusive rights. The agreement gives Mercedes-Benz early access to test the technology, but it does not say that Mercedes has exclusive global rights to the cells.

The deal builds on nearly 10 years of cooperation between the two companies. Mercedes-Benz invested in ProLogium in 2022 and joined its board as part of efforts to develop next-generation battery technology.

Jörg Burzer, Mercedes‑Benz Group AG, Chief Technology Officer, said:

“At Mercedes-Benz, we are committed to shaping the future of electric mobility through technological leadership and innovation. Our long-standing partnership with ProLogium is a strong example of how we bring the best expertise together to advance next-generation battery technologies. By combining ProLogium’s pioneering solid-state battery approach with Mercedes-Benz’s deep battery development, testing, and integration capabilities, we are taking the next step in exploring advanced battery technologies for future electric vehicles.”

More Energy, Less Weight: Gen4’s Big Battery Pitch

Solid-state batteries replace the liquid electrolyte used in conventional lithium-ion cells with a solid material. The technology can allow manufacturers to use higher-capacity materials while reducing some fire and safety risks linked to liquid electrolytes.

ProLogium’s Gen4 lithium ceramic battery uses a fully inorganic electrolyte and ceramic separator. The company says its anode-less version can reach 430–470 Wh/kg and 1,000–1,100 Wh/L at the cell level.

ProLogium's Gen4 lithium ceramic battery
Source: ProLogium

These specifications come from the company. They show cell-level performance, not the energy density of a full vehicle battery pack.

ProLogium states that Gen4 combines high energy density with fast charging. It also performs well in low temperatures and has better safety features. Its active safety system is intended to help prevent thermal runaway.

The potential benefit for EVs is significant. Higher energy density means a battery can store more energy without adding as much weight. That could support longer driving range or allow automakers to use smaller battery packs for the same range.

Mercedes Has Already Put Solid-State to the Road Test

Mercedes-Benz has been testing solid-state batteries on public roads since 2025. In September 2025, the company reported that a modified EQS test vehicle traveled 1,205 kilometers on a single charge from Stuttgart to Malmö. The vehicle arrived with about 137 kilometers of remaining range.

That vehicle used lithium-metal solid-state cells supplied by Factorial Energy, not ProLogium. Mercedes-Benz announced that the new battery boosts usable energy by 25%. It also maintains a weight and size similar to the standard EQS battery.

The demonstration showed the potential of solid-state technology, but it was a test vehicle rather than a mass-produced model. The new ProLogium agreement gives Mercedes another route to develop the technology and compare different solid-state battery approaches.

The EV Battery Market Is Getting Bigger—Fast

The timing is important because global demand for EV batteries is growing rapidly. The International Energy Agency estimates that EV battery deployment hit 1.2 terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2025. This is nearly a 30% increase from 2024 and over seven times the level in 2020. EV batteries accounted for more than 70% of total battery deployment during the year.

Global electric-car sales also exceeded 20 million units in 2025, up about 20% year over year. One in every four new cars sold worldwide was electric. That is creating strong demand for batteries that can deliver better range, faster charging, and improved safety without sharply increasing vehicle cost.

But solid-state technology is entering a market already dominated by conventional lithium-ion batteries. The global battery industry remains heavily concentrated.

Electric vehicle battery sales share by chemistry and region
Source: IEA

The IEA says global lithium-ion battery manufacturing capacity exceeded 4 TWh at the end of 2025, up about 30% from 2024. China accounted for more than 80% of global manufacturing capacity and more than 80% of battery-cell production.

Chinese battery makers also supplied almost 75% of global EV battery deployment in 2025. This creates a major challenge for European automakers seeking more control over their battery supply chains.

Solid-state batteries could offer both a technology advantage and a chance to diversify supply. ProLogium is building its first overseas gigafactory in Dunkirk, France, giving Europe another potential source of advanced battery cells.

ProLogium Is Moving Toward Mass Production

ProLogium has already moved beyond the laboratory stage. The company began mass production of its Gen3.5 lithium ceramic battery in Taiwan in September 2026. A third-party TÜV test confirmed a 381 Wh/kg gravimetric energy density and 903 Wh/L volumetric energy density for its 185.4-Ah large-format cell.

ProLogium says its Taiwan gigafactory had shipped more than 800,000 cells by 2026. It is now preparing to bring Gen4 production to Europe.

The Dunkirk factory broke ground in February 2026. ProLogium’s current plan calls for 0.8 GWh of Gen4 production in 2028, with capacity rising to 4 GWh by 2030 and 12 GWh by 2032.

The company has also reserved land that could allow the site to expand to as much as 48 GWh in the future. This planned expansion will be important if automakers want solid-state cells at meaningful scale.

Europe Wants More Local Battery Production

The European link is important for Mercedes-Benz. The EU’s battery industry remains much smaller than China’s. By the end of 2025, Europe held just 6–7% of the world’s lithium-ion battery manufacturing capacity. In contrast, China dominated with over 80%.

Building more local battery capacity can reduce supply chain risks and support Europe’s automotive industry. Mercedes-Benz has been working on this through several battery partnerships and its wider electrification strategy.

The company says its Ambition 2039 plan aims for its new-vehicle fleet to be net carbon-neutral across the value chain and vehicle life cycle by 2039. Mercedes also targets reducing lifecycle CO2 emissions per passenger car by up to 50% by 2030 compared with 2020.

Mercedes-Benz Ambition 2039 plan
Source: Mercedes-Benz

Battery production is a major part of that strategy. Mercedes needs battery-cell partners to achieve net-carbon-neutral cell production. This could cut emissions from battery manufacturing by around 40%.

Could Better Batteries Also Cut EV Emissions?

Solid-state batteries are not automatically low-carbon. Their climate benefit depends on the materials used, where cells are manufactured, the electricity used in production, and what happens to the battery at the end of its life.

However, higher energy density—such as shifting from standard 250 Wh/kg cells to next-gen 450 Wh/kg designs—can slash cell weight by up to 50%, drastically reducing the amount of raw battery material needed for a given range. Furthermore, keeping batteries operating well past 320,000 km (200,000 miles) ensures better lifetime efficiency. This helps an EV emit up to 75% less CO₂ over its life compared to a gas-powered vehicle.
Mercedes-Benz also wants to reduce the use of critical materials. The company believes future battery tech might let it remove materials like cobalt from some designs. It is also working on improving battery recyclability. These factors make battery chemistry part of the wider EV sustainability story.

The Next EV Battery Race Goes Beyond Range

The Mercedes-ProLogium agreement is significant because it combines automotive demand with battery innovation and European manufacturing ambitions. Mercedes gets early access to ProLogium’s Gen4 technology. ProLogium gets another major automaker testing its cells and a potential path toward future vehicle applications.

For the energy transition, the potential prize is not simply longer-range EVs. Energy-dense batteries can lead to lighter batteries, more efficient vehicles, and less material use. This may also lower lifecycle emissions, but only if the cells are made sustainably and at a competitive cost.

The latest agreement is a testing and evaluation step. Still, it shows that the next stage of the EV battery race is moving from the laboratory toward commercial production, supply chain control, and lifecycle sustainability.

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Meta Backs U.S. Startup MacroCycle to Scale Recycled Plastic Capacity

Meta is expanding its efforts to address supply-chain emissions by backing a new source of recycled plastic in the U.S.

The technology giant has signed a multi-year agreement with circular plastics startup MacroCycle Technologies to purchase environmental attribute certificates (EACs) linked to recycled polyethylene terephthalate (rPET) from MacroCycle’s first commercial plant in the Southeastern U.S.

The agreement gives MacroCycle long-term demand for its recycled PET and could help the startup secure financing for plant construction. The facility is expected to produce 5,000 tonnes of recycled PET annually.

For Meta, the deal provides another route to address emissions associated with plastics in its supply chain. For MacroCycle, it brings a major corporate buyer into the project as the company moves from developing its technology to commercial-scale production.

The agreement also arrives as the global plastics industry faces a major recycling gap.

Plastic Production Is Growing Faster Than Recycling

The need for additional recycling capacity is significant.

The OECD projects that global plastics production and use will increase from 435 million tonnes in 2020 to 736 million tonnes by 2040 under its baseline scenario. Meanwhile, recycled plastics would account for only about 6% of total plastics use by 2040.

plastic production
Source: OECD

That gap creates pressure on companies to find more ways to keep plastic in circulation.

PET is one of the more established recycling streams, but the U.S. market still faces challenges around collection, processing capacity, and demand.

The latest data from the National Association for PET Container Resources (NAPCOR) show that the U.S. PET bottle recycling rate fell to 30.2% in 2024 from 32.5% in 2023. However, the North American PET bottle collection rate reached 39.2%.

At the same time, recycled PET imports reached a record level in 2024, accounting for 23% of total rPET supply in the U.S. and Canada. Domestic sales of rPET also declined 3% from 2023.

US PET BOTTLE
Source: NAPCOR

So, while the industry is recovering more PET, the market still needs reliable domestic capacity and buyers for recycled material.

Meta Targets Supply-Chain Emissions With Lower-Carbon Materials

Meta reported a greenhouse gas footprint of about 8.2 million metric tonnes of CO₂ equivalent, with Scope 3 emissions accounting for 99% of the total. The company says most emissions are tied to suppliers, making its supply chain a key area for emissions reductions.

That gives lower-carbon materials a growing role in Meta’s climate strategy.

The company already prioritizes post-consumer recycled plastics and recycled metals, including copper, aluminum and steel, in data center IT hardware such as server racks. It is also exploring lower-carbon materials for packaging and transportation.

Now, Meta is applying a similar approach to recycled PET.

Devon Lake, Head of Net Zero Strategy at Meta, said:

“Reaching net zero means advancing lower-carbon solutions across our supply chain and in the materials we use. We have been working to address emissions across our supply chain on materials like cement and steel, and our early procurement of materials from these sectors helped pave the way for the maturing markets we see now. We hope this transaction with MacroCycle will have a similar outcome in the plastics market.”

The EAC agreement is therefore part of a broader effort to create demand for lower-carbon materials. At the same time, it gives MacroCycle a long-term commercial commitment that can support developing new recycling capacity.

emissions meta
Source: Meta

MacroCycle Targets Hard-to-Recycle PET Waste

MacroCycle Technologies is targeting that opportunity with a different approach to recycling.

Founded in 2023 out of MIT and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, the startup has raised more than $10 million. Its early supporters include Breakthrough Energy, Clean Energy Ventures, and Volta Circle.

Unlocking SolvoGenesis

The company uses its proprietary SolvoGenesis™ platform, a solvent-based process designed to dissolve and purify PET while keeping the polymer chain intact.

That differs from conventional mechanical recycling, which can struggle with mixed, blended, or contaminated waste streams.

MacroCycle says its process can turn difficult PET waste into high-purity, virgin-quality recycled PET that can replace fossil-fuel-based material in applications such as packaging and textiles.

macrocycle
Source: MacroCycle

Stwart Pena Feliz, Co-Founder & CEO of MacroCycle Technologies, emphasized,

“Most recycling forces a trade-off: mechanical processes are cheap but degrade the material with every cycle and struggle with complex waste streams. Chemical processes that break PET all the way down to its monomers are energy-hungry and expensive.”

“SolvoGenesis™ sidesteps the tradeoff. We dissolve and purify PET while keeping the polymer chain intact, which is why we can take the mixed, blended, and contaminated waste that other processes reject and still come out with virgin-quality material at a fraction of the energy. The feedstock that is difficult for others to use is the feedstock we are built for.”

The company is now preparing to scale that technology commercially.

Meta’s EAC Deal Helps Create Demand

This is where the agreement becomes important for MacroCycle.

The company will generate third-party verified EACs from recycled PET produced at its first commercial plant. Meta will purchase those certificates over a multi-year period.

For an early-stage manufacturer, securing a long-term buyer can make it easier to finance new production capacity.

MacroCycle says Meta’s agreement provides the long-term product demand needed to help finance construction of its first American PET recycling and production plant.

The facility is expected to produce 5,000 tonnes of recycled PET each year. It will also create jobs through construction and ongoing operations while diverting PET and polyester waste from landfills and incinerators.

The structure also reflects a broader trend in clean manufacturing. Companies can use advance procurement and long-term purchasing agreements to support emerging technologies before they reach large commercial scale.

Meta has used similar procurement strategies in other lower-carbon materials markets, including cement and steel. The company hopes its partnership with MacroCycle can help create a similar market-development effect for plastics.

U.S. rPET Supply Creates Another Opportunity

The deal also comes as the U.S. recycled PET market faces a supply imbalance.

MacroCycle says the U.S. imports more than 40% of its virgin PET and more than 20% of its recycled PET. At the same time, domestic rPET capacity is shrinking.

NAPCOR’s data reinforces the importance of domestic capacity. Although U.S. PET bottle recycling remains above its previous decade average, rPET imports reached a record 23% of total supply in 2024.

That creates an opportunity for producers that can turn domestic plastic waste into recycled material for U.S. customers.

MacroCycle’s planned plant could help address both sides of the equation. It would divert PET and polyester waste from disposal while adding U.S.-based recycled PET production.

However, the first facility will still represent a relatively small share of the broader market.

US rPET bottle plastic recyling
Source: NAPCOR

MacroCycle Plans Larger Plants

MacroCycle sees the first 5,000-tonne facility as a starting point rather than an endpoint.

The company is working to secure additional buyers for its recycled PET. Future plants could produce as much as 50,000 metric tonnes of material annually, according to co-founder and CEO Stwart Peña Feliz.

That would give subsequent facilities a much larger role in the recycled PET market.

Meanwhile, for Meta, the agreement adds recycled plastic to its broader effort to reduce emissions across its value chain. With Scope 3 emissions making up nearly all of its reported GHG footprint, supplier-related emissions remain a major focus of that strategy.

The MacroCycle agreement will not solve the plastics industry’s recycling gap on its own. But it illustrates how corporate demand can help emerging recycling companies move toward commercial production.

All in all, as global plastic use continues to grow while recycled content remains limited, long-term procurement agreements could become an important source of demand for new recycling infrastructure.

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Federal Judges Restore $7B “Solar for All Program” After EPA Cancellation

Federal Judges Restore $7B "Solar for All Program" After EPA Cancellation

Two U.S. federal judges have ruled that the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) acted unlawfully when it ended the $7 billion Solar for All program, reopening the path for a nationwide effort to expand solar power in low-income communities.

The first ruling came on September 18, 2026, when U.S. District Judge Mary McElroy in Rhode Island vacated the EPA’s decision to terminate the program. Four days later, U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan in Washington, D.C., also ruled that the EPA exceeded its authority when it canceled the program. 

The rulings matter for climate and energy markets because Solar for All was designed to fund more than 4 gigawatts (GW) of distributed solar and cut an estimated 30 million metric tons of CO2 equivalent over five years.

However, the money is not immediately flowing again. The EPA is reviewing the rulings and considering its options, including possible appeals.

What “Solar for All” Was Designed to Do

The Solar for All program was created under the Inflation Reduction Act as part of the $27 billion Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund. In April 2024, the EPA selected 60 recipients to receive the $7 billion in grants. The money went to states, territories, Tribal governments, municipalities, and nonprofits to develop or expand solar programs for low-income and disadvantaged households.

The original plan was ambitious. EPA estimated the program could help more than 900,000 households access residential or community solar. It projected more than $350 million in annual electricity-bill savings. That’s more than $8 billion over the 25-year life of the funded solar assets. 

The program was also expected to support about 200,000 jobs nationwide. The grants were structured across several groups. EPA selected 49 state-level recipients for about $5.5 billion, six Tribal recipients for more than $500 million, and five multistate recipients for about $1 billion.

The Solar Projects Were Already Moving

The court rulings come after many recipients had already started building their programs. Solar for All money was intended to support more than simply installing rooftop panels. Grant recipients could use funding for financing, technical assistance, workforce development, interconnection and community engagement.

For example, the Illinois Solar for All program is still operating a 2026–2027 project cycle. Its current schedule includes applications for residential solar, public facilities, and community solar projects. 

New Jersey’s $156 million award was designed to support residential and community solar, including projects serving low- and moderate-income households. The state gave the example of a 2.82-MW community solar project expected to serve about 440 households and save subscribers more than $111,000 a year.

These examples show the practical role the program was expected to play. The legal fight therefore concerns funding for programs that had already moved beyond the planning stage.

Why the Judges Rejected the Cancellation

The EPA ended Solar for All in August 2025, following passage of the federal spending law known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. The agency argued that the legislation removed its authority and funding to continue the program. 

The EPA’s current website still states that Administrator Lee Zeldin announced the termination on August 7, 2025, saying the agency was acting to align with congressional intent. The courts reached a different conclusion about already obligated grants.

Judge McElroy found that Congress had funded and obligated the grants and that the EPA did not have authority to simply terminate them. She therefore vacated the termination decision. 

Judge Chutkan reached a similar conclusion in the Harris County case. She ruled that EPA’s program-wide elimination decision was “arbitrary and capricious, contrary to law, and in excess of statutory authority.” She vacated that decision, meaning the EPA cannot continue acting on the basis that the spending law required or authorized Solar for All’s termination.

The D.C. ruling is particularly significant because it addressed the EPA’s broader decision to eliminate the program, rather than only one grant.

Federal Judges Restore $7B Solar for All Program

Solar for All Could Cut Emissions and Energy Costs

The program’s environmental value comes mainly from expanding distributed solar, including rooftop and community solar systems.

EPA estimated the 4-GW-plus program could reduce 30 million metric tons of CO2e cumulatively over five years. That estimate was based on expected generation and the emissions that would be avoided by producing more electricity from solar. 

Distributed solar can also reduce exposure to rising electricity prices by allowing households and communities to generate part of their own power or subscribe to shared solar projects.

The climate benefit is also tied to the wider U.S. electricity transition.

The Energy Information Administration reported that wind and utility-scale solar generated 17% of U.S. electricity in 2025. Including small-scale solar, the combined share of wind and solar reached about 19%. Small-scale solar generation increased 11% in 2025, reaching about 93 billion kilowatt-hours. 

US electricity generation 2026 by source solar EIA
Source: EIA

Solar for All was designed to expand that growth into communities that have historically had less access to solar financing.

America’s Power Demand Adds to the Stakes

The potential return of Solar for All comes as U.S. electricity demand is entering a period of faster growth. EIA expects total U.S. electricity generation to increase 1.1% in 2026 and 2.6% in 2027. It also forecasts the combined share of wind and solar to rise from about 18% in 2025 to 21% in 2027. 

Solar power generation

Small-scale solar is already expanding rapidly. EIA estimates U.S. small-scale solar capacity reached about 59.5 GW at the end of 2025, up from 53.2 GW in 2024. Residential systems accounted for about 40.5 GW of that capacity.

That growth matters for the grid. Rooftop and community solar can produce electricity closer to where it is consumed and, when paired with storage, can also improve local resilience during outages.

Solar for All recipients were specifically allowed to use funding for storage and other enabling upgrades. EPA said the program could improve grid reliability and climate resilience in disadvantaged communities. 

The $7B Question: What’s Next?

The court rulings do not mean every Solar for All project can immediately spend its grant money again. Judge Chutkan noted that the EPA has said the funds will remain in a Treasury account through September 30, 2031.

The agency had also paused the closeout process for Harris County while the case was pending. That provides a potential path for the grants to move forward, but legal and administrative steps remain.

The EPA has said it is reviewing the decisions and considering an appeal. The separate lawsuits also mean the future of the program could remain tied up in federal courts for some time. 

For solar developers and community organizations, the uncertainty matters because project financing and construction schedules depend on when grant funding becomes available.

A Legal Test for U.S. Clean Energy Funding

The Solar for All rulings come at an important moment for U.S. clean energy. Solar deployment is growing, electricity demand is rising, and small-scale generation is becoming a larger part of the country’s power system.

At the same time, the federal government has changed its approach to several clean energy programmes, creating uncertainty for developers and investors. The two court decisions show that legal and funding risk can be as important to clean energy markets as technology and project economics.

The immediate issue is now implementation. The next stage will depend on whether the EPA accepts the rulings, appeals them, or begins restoring the affected grants. For now, two federal courts have made the same basic finding: the EPA could not use the 2025 spending law as authority to simply cancel the already obligated Solar for All programme.

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US, Argentina Launch $7B Andes-Atlantic Corridor to Expand Lithium, Copper, and Energy

The United States and Argentina are building a new economic corridor to move critical minerals, energy, and other resources from Argentina’s interior to global markets.

The Andes-Atlantic Corridor, launched during United Nations General Assembly week in New York, will connect Argentina’s mineral-rich northwest and the Vaca Muerta energy basin with Atlantic ports and Western markets. The plan covers railways, waterways, ports, pipelines, power infrastructure, and digital networks. The U.S. and Argentina say the corridor is designed to reduce transportation bottlenecks and attract more private investment into mining and energy.

Critical minerals sit at the center of the initiative. Argentina has major lithium resources and a growing pipeline of copper projects, while the U.S. is looking to strengthen supply chains for materials used in batteries, electricity networks, electric vehicles and advanced technologies.

The move also brings a significant U.S. financing commitment.

EXIM Opens Door to Up to $7 Billion

Alongside the corridor, the U.S. Export-Import Bank (EXIM) signed a U.S.-Argentina Build the Future Framework.

The agreement could mobilize up to $7 billion in financing through 2027 for projects across critical minerals development and processing, energy security, grid modernization, digital connectivity, commercial space and advanced technologies.

Importantly, the $7 billion is not a single mining investment. Instead, it creates a broader financing framework that can support eligible projects across several strategic sectors.

EXIM Chairman John Jovanovic said:

“EXIM is moving boldly into the industries of the future. To do this, we must secure our supply chains, support American jobs, and ensure American workers, products, and expertise reach all parts of the Western Hemisphere. We’re proud to enter into such an important partnership with Argentina and excited to see our two countries grow together.”

The framework could also help Argentina develop its mineral resources using U.S. equipment, technology, and mining expertise. EXIM said the cooperation is consistent with its Supply Chain Resiliency Initiative, which focuses on critical minerals and rare earth elements.

For Argentina, the financing could help address one of the biggest challenges facing large mining projects: infrastructure.

Lithium and copper deposits are often located far from major ports. Better railways, waterways, and power infrastructure can make it easier and cheaper to move minerals from mining regions to processing facilities and export markets.

A G7 Infrastructure Corridor

The Andes-Atlantic Corridor is also part of the G7 Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII).

The U.S. and Argentina describe it as the first PGII corridor in the Western Hemisphere. The initiative joins a broader network of strategic infrastructure corridors backed through the G7 framework.

The G7 connection gives the project a wider supply-chain role. Rather than focusing only on individual mines, the corridor links mineral production with transportation, energy and digital infrastructure.

This approach is significant as countries try to diversify supplies of strategic materials and reduce exposure to concentrated supply chains.

The State Department said the corridor will help “strengthen supply chains for critical minerals and energy,” including lithium and copper.

Argentina’s Lithium Supply Could Become More Important

Lithium is one of the clearest opportunities.

Argentina is already a major global lithium producer, with most of its production coming from brine deposits in the Andes. The country produced about 23,000 metric tons of lithium in 2025, according to the latest U.S. Geological Survey data, while its reserves stood at roughly 4.4 million metric tons.

lithium
Source: IEA

The country is also expanding its project pipeline. Better infrastructure could help new lithium operations reach export markets and connect more efficiently with international battery supply chains.

This is relevant to the U.S. because domestic lithium production remains limited. The 2026 USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries report said U.S. lithium production increased in 2025, but the agency withheld the exact production figure because of proprietary data concerns.

The United States therefore has an interest in developing additional reliable sources of lithium outside its borders while also expanding domestic production.

                   US Lithium data

US lithium
Source: USGS

Copper Adds Another Supply-Chain Link

Copper is just as important to the broader energy transition.

Electricity grids, electric vehicles, charging networks, renewable power projects and data centers all require copper. As electricity demand rises, access to new copper supplies is becoming an important part of infrastructure planning.

The U.S. produced approximately 1 million metric tons of recoverable copper in 2025, according to USGS data.

  • However, the United States still relies on imports to meet part of its copper needs.

Here’s the complete data on US copper:

us copper
Source: USGS

Argentina could provide another source.

The country has several large copper projects in the Andes, including projects that could eventually add significant new supply to global markets. Connecting these deposits to railways, ports, and reliable power could help move projects closer to commercial development.

The Andes-Atlantic Corridor specifically identifies copper and lithium among the critical minerals it aims to support.

Rare Earths Highlight the Processing Challenge

The U.S. is also trying to build more rare-earth capacity, which is used in permanent magnets, electric motors, electronics, defense systems, and other advanced technologies.

U.S. mines produced an estimated 51,000 metric tons of rare-earth-oxide equivalent in mineral concentrates in 2025, according to USGS. Production came mainly from Mountain Pass, California, while monazite was also recovered from mineral-sand operations in the Southeast.

But mining is only one part of the supply chain.

The United States is also working to expand processing and manufacturing capacity because critical minerals must be refined and converted into usable materials before they can support batteries, magnets, electronics, and other products.

This is why the EXIM agreement’s focus on development and processing is important. The framework is not limited to extracting minerals. It can also support infrastructure and technologies needed to move resources further through the supply chain.

US rare earth import

Energy Is a Major Part of the Corridor

The initiative extends beyond minerals.

Argentina’s Vaca Muerta shale formation is another major focus, with the corridor intended to improve infrastructure connecting the energy basin to export markets. The U.S. and Argentina are also looking at pipelines, power infrastructure and ports as part of the wider strategy.

EXIM separately signed a term sheet related to Argentina LNG, with up to $6 billion in potential financing under consideration for the project.

That makes the Andes-Atlantic Corridor both a minerals and energy infrastructure initiative.

For the clean energy economy, the mineral side is particularly important. Lithium supports battery storage and electric vehicles, while copper is essential for expanding electricity networks. At the same time, Argentina’s energy resources could provide additional economic activity and infrastructure investment.

From Mineral Resources to Supply Chains

The significance of the Andes-Atlantic Corridor goes beyond the headline $7 billion figure.

Argentina already has important mineral and energy resources. The challenge is connecting those resources to infrastructure, financing, and global customers.

The new U.S.-Argentina framework attempts to bring those pieces together.

In conclusion, the next test will be project execution. The two countries now need to move from the framework to actual financing, construction, mining, and processing projects.

And this could determine how quickly the Andes-Atlantic Corridor becomes a meaningful part of the Western Hemisphere’s critical mineral supply chain.

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